Moreirense vs Estrela Prédiction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10
FT
Post on X
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Prédiction IA Estrela ou match nul
31%
30%
39%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Moreirense vs Estrela : Sportiko estime que Moreirense a 31% de chances de s'imposer, Estrela 39% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Oct 2026, 17:34.

Pronostics Premium

Premium
  • L'équipe extérieure marque 73%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Plus de 1,5 buts 73%
Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi. Voir les sélections Premium

Timeline

▮ 19'
Santiago Serra Yellow Card
Kiko ⇄ Álvaro Martínez
36' ⇄
HT 0–0
Landerson assist: Manuel Mendonça
50' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 57'
Lovro Zvonarek
⇄ 68'
Ianis Stoica ⇄ Jefferson Encada
Landerson ⇄ Chipyoka Songa
68' ⇄
L. Vonić ⇄ Yan Maranhão
68' ⇄
Manuel Mendonça ⇄ Rodrigo Alonso
79' ⇄
⇄ 83'
Kevin Höög Jansson ⇄ Tom Moustier
⇄ 83'
Lucas Mincarelli ⇄ Rafa Soares
Nile John assist: Tiago Andrade
90+5' ⚽ 2–1
FT 2–1
Moreirense

Match Stats

Estrela
53% Ball Possession 47%
0.5 Expected Goals (xG) 0.74
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 6
3 Shots insidebox 9
8 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Corner Kicks 3
4 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
424 Total passes 386
357 Passes accurate 294
15 Free Kicks 10
Moreirense
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Nile John M 7.9 90' 1 – 3 38 (30%) 3
11 Landerson M 7.5 68' 1 – 1 13 (13%) 1
66 Gilberto Batista D 7.3 90' – – – 68 (61%) 2
4 Kevyn Monteiro D 7.2 90' – – – 63 (57%) –
7 Manuel Mendonça M 7.2 79' – 1 1 18 (12%) 1
19 Tiago Andrade M 7.1 90' – 1 3 22 (18%) 1
99 Yan Maranhão F 6.7 22' – – 1 3 (3%) –
21 Rodrigo Alonso M 6.5 11' – – – 16 (14%) 2
28 Chipyoka Songa F 6.5 22' – – – 12 (10%) –
17 Álvaro Martínez D 6.4 54' – – – 32 (30%) 1
13 André Ferreira G 6.3 90' – – – 22 (16%) –
27 Kiko D 6.3 36' – – – 12 (9%) 2
79 L. Vonić F 6.2 68' – – – 11 (10%) –
76 Dinis Pinto D 6.0 90' – – 2 27 (20%) –
65 Guilherme Liberato M 5.8 90' – – – 66 (54%) 2
Estrela
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Lovro Zvonarek M 7.4 90' 1 – 1 23 (18%) 3
30 Patrick Luan D 6.9 90' – – – 73 (64%) –
5 Stefan Leković D 6.6 90' – – – 54 (46%) 2
21 Max Scholze D 6.5 90' – – 1 39 (36%) 3
10 Ianis Stoica M 6.4 68' – – 3 14 (9%) 3
37 Leandro Antonetti F 6.3 90' – – 3 6 (2%) 1
78 Santiago Serra M 6.2 90' – – – 23 (20%) 1
17 Jefferson Encada D 6.1 22' – – – 8 (8%) –
55 Rafa Soares D 6.1 7' – – – 8 (5%) –
99 Abraham Marcus M 6.0 90' – – 1 25 (17%) 4
28 Tom Moustier M 5.9 7' – – 1 4 (3%) –
24 Léo Linck G 5.8 90' – – – 51 (30%) –
6 Kevin Höög Jansson M 5.8 83' – – 1 28 (19%) 3
3 Lucas Mincarelli D 5.6 83' – – – 28 (17%) 3
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Estrela ou match nul
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Moreirense
LWWLL
Estrela
LLWLL
Last 3 meetings Moreirense · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Moreirense faces Estrela on November 1, 2026. Moreirense has shown a solid home record, with a 60% win rate in their last ten matches at home. Conversely, Estrela has struggled on the road, securing only 30% of their points away from home this season. Key players to watch include Moreirense's leading scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Estrela's playmaker, known for creating goal-scoring opportunities. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they look to improve their standings in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
31%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
39%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Moreirense
N. John 3 gls
Estrela
A. Marcus 4 gls
L. Antonetti 4 gls
I. Stoica 4 gls

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Head to Head: Moreirense vs Estrela

1 Moreirense Wins
2 Draws
0 Estrela Wins
Date Home Score Away
02 May 2026 Moreirense 3 - 2 Estrela
20 Dec 2025 Estrela 0 - 0 Moreirense
02 Mar 2025 Moreirense 1 - 1 Estrela
Voir les 6 confrontations — Premium

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Sporting CP L 1 - 0
31 Oct H Estrela W 2 - 1
25 Oct A Estoril W 1 - 3
17 Oct A AVS L 1 - 0
09 Oct H GIL Vicente L 0 - 1

Estrela — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct A Moreirense L 2 - 1
24 Oct H Casa Pia L 0 - 2
17 Oct A Fazendense W 1 - 2
11 Oct A Arouca L 1 - 0
20 Sep H Academico Viseu L 0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
10 10 0 0 +21 30
2
Benfica
10 8 1 1 +19 25
3
Sporting CP
11 7 3 1 +13 24
4
Santa Clara
10 6 3 1 +9 21
5
Arouca
11 6 2 3 +5 20
6
Academico Viseu
10 6 2 2 +3 20
7
GIL Vicente
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
SC Braga
10 4 2 4 +1 14
9
Moreirense
11 4 2 5 -5 14
10
Famalicao
11 3 4 4 +1 13
11
Alverca
11 3 3 5 -1 12
12
Estrela
10 2 4 4 -4 10
13
Vitória SC
10 2 3 5 0 9
14
Maritimo
10 2 2 6 -12 8
15
Casa Pia
11 2 2 7 -14 8
16
Nacional
10 2 1 7 -9 7
17
Rio Ave
10 2 1 7 -14 7
18
Estoril
10 0 2 8 -14 2

Moreirense

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Costa
13 Ferreira
27 Kiko
4 Monteiro
66 Batista
76 Pinto
65 Liberato
23 John
19 Andrade
7 Mendonça
11 Landerson
79 Vonić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 André Ferreira G
76 Dinis Pinto D
66 Gilberto Batista D
4 Kevyn Monteiro D
27 Kiko D
23 N. John M
65 Guilherme Liberato M
11 Landerson M
7 Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça M
19 Tiago Andrade M
79 L. Vonić F

Substitutes

25 Afonso Assis M
1 Aranha G
26 Maracás D
17 Álvaro Martínez D
21 Rodri Alonso M
2 Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos D
28 Chipyoka Songa F
8 M. Stjepanović M
89 Afonso Vieira F
99 Maranhão F
32 José D
12 Francisco Barbosa Sampaio G

Estrela

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Pepa
24 Linck
3 Davin
5 Leković
30 Luan
21 Scholze
78 Serra
6 Jansson
10 Stoica
14 Zvonarek
99 Marcus
37 Antonetti

Starting XI

# Player Pos
24 Léo Linck G
21 M. Scholze D
30 Patrick Luan D
5 S. Leković D
3 L. Mincarelli Davin D
6 K. Höög Jansson M
78 Santiago Serra M
99 A. Marcus M
14 L. Zvonarek M
10 I. Stoica M
37 L. Antonetti F

Substitutes

17 Jefferson Encada D
22 David Grilo G
49 R. Muteba F
28 T. Moustier M
71 E. Pedro Vanga M
51 Diogo Pinto G
55 Rafa Soares D
4 Bernardo Schappo D
79 A. Chernev D
72 H. Poniewas F

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