Alverca vs Rio Ave Prédiction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Prédiction IA Alverca ou match nul
47%
29%
24%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Alverca vs Rio Ave : Sportiko estime que Alverca a 47% de chances de s'imposer, Rio Ave 24% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 19 Sep 2026, 18:58.

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Timeline

Dawda Camara assist: Chiquinho
3' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
⇄ 59'
Pedro Amaral ⇄ Marios Vrousai
⇄ 59'
Roland Galčík ⇄ Sebastian Clemmensen
Figueiredo ⇄ André Vidigal
68' ⇄
Dawda Camara ⇄ Vivaldo
68' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Miguel Patricío ⇄ Malik Sellouki
⇄ 69'
João Tomé ⇄ Tamblé Monteiro
⇄ 69'
Tamás Nikitscher ⇄ Caike
Chiquinho ⇄ Matheus França
74' ⇄
Francisco Chissumba ⇄ Yaya Bojang
84' ⇄
Rayan Lucas ⇄ Zé Rafael
84' ⇄
▮ 87'
Simon Garcia Yellow Card
Davy Gui Yellow Card
88' ▮
André Vidigal Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
▮ 90+5'
Francisco Petrasso Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Alverca

Match Stats

Rio Ave
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 1
7 Shots outsidebox 5
8 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
350 Total passes 399
286 Passes accurate 330
7 Free Kicks 12
Alverca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Dawda Camara F 7.8 68' 1 – 3 11 (6%) –
21 Sergi Gómez D 7.7 90' – – – 44 (43%) –
10 Chiquinho F 7.7 74' – 1 3 14 (11%) 6
12 Isaac James D 7.4 90' – – 1 32 (26%) 4
14 Steven Baseya D 7.4 90' – – – 51 (43%) 3
31 Matheus Mendes G 7.3 90' – – – 27 (20%) –
6 Davy Gui M 7.2 90' – – 2 31 (26%) 8
7 André Vidigal M 7.1 22' – – 1 10 (9%) 1
4 Yaya Bojang D 7.0 6' – – – 1 (1%) –
22 Figueiredo F 6.8 68' – – 2 18 (16%) 1
20 Diogo Spencer M 6.8 90' – – 3 42 (29%) –
55 Francisco Chissumba M 6.7 84' – – 4 13 (11%) –
35 Rayan Lucas M 6.7 84' – – 1 38 (32%) 4
93 Zé Rafael M 6.6 6' – – – 5 (5%) –
9 Vivaldo F 6.6 22' – – 2 8 (6%) 1
26 Matheus França F 6.4 16' – – 1 4 (2%) –
Rio Ave
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
32 Vitor Hugo G 7.9 90' – – – 32 (28%) –
17 Marios Vrousai F 6.7 31' – – 1 11 (10%) –
9 Tamblé Monteiro F 6.6 21' – – 1 10 (9%) 2
20 João Tomé D 6.5 69' – – – 30 (23%) 1
23 Francisco Petrasso D 6.5 90' – – – 54 (43%) 1
19 Malik Sellouki M 6.5 21' – – – 12 (12%) –
80 Sebastian Clemmensen F 6.4 31' – – – 9 (8%) –
60 Caike D 6.4 21' – – – 13 (10%) 3
3 Simon Garcia D 6.3 90' – – – 67 (64%) –
5 Andreas Ndoj M 6.3 90' – – – 43 (35%) 1
11 Jalen Blesa F 6.2 90' – – – 17 (11%) 1
79 Miguel Patricío M 6.2 69' – – – 17 (12%) 2
30 Roland Galčík M 6.1 59' – – 2 10 (9%) 2
44 Tamás Nikitscher M 6.0 69' – – 1 26 (22%) 3
24 Pedro Amaral D 5.9 59' – – – 27 (21%) 1
7 Diogo Bezerra M 5.2 90' – – 1 21 (13%) 1
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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Alverca ou match nul
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Alverca
WWLDL
Rio Ave
LDLLW
Last 2 meetings Alverca · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Alverca faces Rio Ave, with both teams looking to secure crucial points. Alverca has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of only 1.2 goals per match this season, while Rio Ave has struggled to convert opportunities, averaging 1 goal per match. The midfield battle will be key, as both teams rely on controlling possession to set the tempo. With both squads aiming for improved performances, this match could be tightly contested. Expect a focus on defensive strategies from both sides.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Alverca leads 1-0. Win probability: 88.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Alverca leads. Win probability: 78.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.6%.

3' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Alverca win: 75.8%. BTTS: 64.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
24%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Alverca
D. Camara 3 gls
Rio Ave

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Alverca vs Rio Ave

1 Alverca Wins
1 Draws
0 Rio Ave Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Apr 2026 Rio Ave 1 - 2 Alverca
08 Nov 2025 Alverca 1 - 1 Rio Ave

Alverca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Rio Ave W 1 - 0
12 Sep A Nacional W 1 - 3
05 Sep H SC Braga L 1 - 2
29 Aug H Santa Clara D 1 - 1
22 Aug A Sporting CP L 3 - 1

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Alverca L 1 - 0
14 Sep H Estrela D 3 - 3
06 Sep A Santa Clara L 4 - 0
28 Aug H Sporting CP L 0 - 4
22 Aug A Estoril W 0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Rio Ave

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Silaidopoulos
32 Hugo
24 Amaral
3 Garcia
23 Petrasso
20 Tomé
5 Ntoi
44 Nikitscher
30 Galčík
79 Patricio
7 Bezerra
11 Blesa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
32 Vitor Hugo G
20 João Tomé D
23 F. Petrasso D
3 S. Garcia D
24 Pedro Amaral D
44 T. Nikitscher M
5 A. Ntoi M
7 Diogo Bezerra M
79 M. Patricio M
30 R. Galčík M
11 J. Blesa F

Substitutes

22 K. Chamorro G
9 Tamble Monteiro F
80 S. Clemmensen F
54 G. Liavas M
60 Caike D
27 T. Medina M
19 M. Sellouki M
39 Gustavo Mancha D
17 M. Vrousai F
70 A. Wenck M
21 R. Šiler F
77 D. Špikić F

Alverca

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Ramón Catalá
31 Mendes
12 James
21 Gómez
14 Baseya
55 Chissumba
6 Gui
35 Rayan
20 Marques
22 Figueiredo
19 Camara
10 Chiquinho

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Matheus Mendes G
14 S. Baseya D
21 Sergi Gómez D
12 I. James D
20 Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques M
35 Rayan M
6 D. Gui M
55 Francisco Chissumba M
10 Chiquinho F
19 D. Camara F
22 Figueiredo F

Substitutes

8 Vasco Moreira M
91 Jhonatan G
26 Matheus França F
24 E. Jemide D
18 Z. Kassary M
17 S. Merheg F
11 C. Nuozzi F
9 Vivaldo Semedo F
27 Toni Tamarit F
93 Zé Rafael M
7 André Vidigal M
4 Y. Bojang D

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