Willem II vs Ajax Prédiction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

09 Jan 2027, 19:00

Post on X

Ajax

Away

Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Ajax

14%

23%

63%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Willem II vs Ajax : Sportiko estime que Willem II a 14% de chances de s'imposer, Ajax 63% et le match nul 23%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 11.3%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Willem II

LLDLD

Ajax

DWWLW

Last 3 meetings Willem II · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, Willem II will face Ajax. Historically, Ajax has dominated this matchup, winning a significant majority of their encounters. Ajax boasts a stronger squad depth and attacking prowess, highlighted by their high conversion rate of chances, averaging over 2 goals per game this season. Meanwhile, Willem II has struggled defensively, often conceding multiple goals, which could be a critical factor in this match. Expect Ajax to leverage their offensive capabilities to secure a decisive victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	11	8	4	2
1	3	11	10	7	4	1
2	2	4	4	3	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Willem II goals · most likely 0–2 (11.3%)

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Players in form

Willem II

No scorer data.

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

23%

Home Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

23%

Home Win

14%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

82% Away (No Draw) 18% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 14% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	9.7%	11.3%	7.8%	4.0%
1	3.4%	11.0%	10.1%	7.0%	3.6%
2	2.1%	4.3%	4.5%	3.1%	1.6%
3	0.6%	1.3%	1.3%	0.9%	0.5%
4	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Willem II	Draw	Ajax
Willem II	7.8%	3.6%	2.8%
Draw	5.8%	14.0%	20.1%
Ajax	1.0%	3.5%	41.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Willem II vs Ajax

0 Willem II Wins

0 Draws

3 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Sep 2026	Ajax	5 - 1	Willem II
13 Apr 2025	Willem II	1 - 2	Ajax
27 Oct 2024	Ajax	1 - 0	Willem II

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Willem II — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Fortuna Sittard	L	0 - 1
15 Sep	A Ajax	L	5 - 1
11 Sep	A AZ Alkmaar	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Excelsior	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	H Heerenveen	D	2 - 2

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.