Utrecht vs Willem II Prédiction
FT
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Prédiction IA
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Utrecht
62%
22%
16%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Utrecht vs Willem II : Sportiko estime que Utrecht a 62% de chances de s'imposer, Willem II 16% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 11 Oct 2026, 12:13.
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Timeline
Yoann Cathline
Yellow Card
45'
▮
HT 0–0
Yoann Cathline
assist: Dani de Wit
53'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
60'
Jaden Slory
assist: Vito van Crooij
Arthur Zagre
⇄ Per Kloosterboer
68'
⇄
Niklas Vesterlund
⇄ Ángel Alarcón
68'
⇄
⇄
72'
Jaden Slory
⇄ Eser Gürbüz
⇄
72'
T. Vilhena
⇄ Anass Zarrouk
Yoann Cathline
assist: O. Agougil
75'
⚽
2–1
Nikolas Panagiotou
Yellow Card
80'
▮
⇄
81'
Vito van Crooij
⇄ Thomas Verheydt
⇄
81'
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
⇄ Alessandro Ciranni
M. Broholm
⇄ Adrian Blake
82'
⇄
O. Agougil
⇄ Davy van den Berg
82'
⇄
⇄
87'
Uriel van Aalst
⇄ O. Martin
Ángel Alarcón
assist: Adrian Blake
90+2'
⚽
3–1
Yoann Cathline
⇄ Sem van Duijn
90+3'
⇄
FT 3–1
Utrecht
Match Stats
Willem II
58%
Ball Possession
42%
1.21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
24
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
2
10
Shots off Goal
5
8
Blocked Shots
2
19
Shots insidebox
7
5
Shots outsidebox
2
7
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
480
Total passes
351
413
Passes accurate
278
13
Free Kicks
13
Utrecht
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Yoann Cathline F | 9.2 | 93' | 2 | – | 6 | 27 (24%) | 3 |
| 11 Ángel Alarcón F | 7.7 | 22' | 1 | – | 4 | 14 (9%) | 1 |
| 38 O. Agougil M | 7.7 | 82' | – | 1 | – | 50 (44%) | 1 |
| 8 Joris van Overeem M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 71 (62%) | 2 |
| 20 Dani de Wit F | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 26 (22%) | 1 |
| 2 Siebe Horemans D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 57 (55%) | – |
| 3 Matisse Didden D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (33%) | – |
| 15 Adrian Blake F | 6.8 | 8' | – | 1 | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 23 Niklas Vesterlund M | 6.6 | 68' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | 1 |
| 32 Per Kloosterboer D | 6.6 | 22' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 92 Arthur Zagre M | 6.5 | 68' | – | – | 3 | 32 (29%) | 2 |
| 34 Davy van den Berg M | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | 2 |
| 80 M. Broholm F | 6.4 | 82' | – | – | 4 | 40 (33%) | 2 |
| 1 Vasilis Barkas G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | – |
| 5 Nikolas Panagiotou D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (42%) | 2 |
Willem II
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Vito van Crooij M | 6.9 | 81' | – | 1 | – | 12 (11%) | 1 |
| 7 Jaden Slory M | 6.8 | 72' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (10%) | 2 |
| 9 Devin Haen F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 18 (12%) | – |
| 3 Finn Stam D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (47%) | – |
| 50 Eser Gürbüz F | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 6 Calvin Twigt M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (37%) | – |
| 28 Thomas Verheydt F | 6.4 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 24 Nathan Tjoe-A-On D | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 17 O. Martin F | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 2 Alessandro Ciranni D | 6.1 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 5 Hidde ter Avest D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (37%) | – |
| 18 Anass Zarrouk M | 6.0 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | 2 |
| 19 Uriel van Aalst M | 5.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | 1 |
| 26 M. Delanghe G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (20%) | – |
| 52 T. Vilhena M | 5.8 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 23 Maxim Dekker D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (62%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Utrecht
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Utrecht
LWDWW
Willem II
DLWLL
Last 3 meetings
Utrecht · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
Utrecht will face Willem II in a crucial Eredivisie matchup. Utrecht has shown strong home form this season, capitalizing on set pieces and maintaining high ball possession. Willem II, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of two goals per match in their last five fixtures. Key players to watch include Utrecht's top scorer, who is particularly effective in tight spaces, and Willem II's playmaker, who can create opportunities on the counter. This clash will be pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their league standings.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
62%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Utrecht vs Willem II
2
Utrecht Wins
0
Draws
1
Willem II Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar 2025 | Willem II | 2 - 3 | Utrecht |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Utrecht | 3 - 2 | Willem II |
| 15 May 2022 | Willem II | 3 - 0 | Utrecht |
Utrecht — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | A Telstar | L | 4 - 2 |
| 29 Oct | A Kozakken Boys | W | 0 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H PEC Zwolle | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Twente | W | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Oct | H Willem II | W | 3 - 1 |
Willem II — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H PEC Zwolle | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A PSV Eindhoven | L | 7 - 0 |
| 27 Oct | A Helmond Sport | W | 3 - 4 |
| 24 Oct | H Cambuur | L | 1 - 6 |
| 17 Oct | A Sparta Rotterdam | L | 3 - 2 |
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 24 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 10 | +18 | 23 |
| 5 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |
Cambuur
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Utrecht
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |
Telstar
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 |
Utrecht
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: A. Correia
1
Barkas
5
Panagiotou
3
Didden
2
Horemans
92
Zagré
38
Agougil
8
Overeem
23
Vesterlund
10
Cathline
20
Wit
80
Broholm
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Barkas | G |
| 2 | S. Horemans | D |
| 3 | M. Didden | D |
| 5 | N. Panagiotou | D |
| 23 | N. Vesterlund | M |
| 8 | J. van Overeem | M |
| 38 | O. Agougil | M |
| 92 | A. Zagré | M |
| 80 | M. Broholm | F |
| 20 | D. de Wit | F |
| 10 | Y. Cathline | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Ángel Alarcón | F |
| 39 | N. Amrabat | F |
| 15 | A. Blake | F |
| 33 | K. Gadellaa | G |
| 32 | P. Kloosterboer | D |
| 18 | J. Medić | D |
| 6 | G. Offerhaus | D |
| 21 | N. Ogidi Nwankwo | D |
| 22 | S. Padt | G |
| 17 | S. van Duijn | F |
| 34 | D. van den Berg | M |
Willem II
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Stegeman
26
Delanghe
24
Tjoe-A-On
23
Dekker
3
Stam
5
Avest
52
Vilhena
6
Twigt
32
Crooij
19
Aalst
7
Slory
9
Haen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | M. Delanghe | G |
| 5 | H. ter Avest | D |
| 3 | F. Stam | D |
| 23 | M. Dekker | D |
| 24 | N. Tjoe-A-On | D |
| 6 | C. Twigt | M |
| 52 | T. Vilhena | M |
| 7 | J. Slory | M |
| 19 | Uriel van Aalst | M |
| 32 | V. van Crooij | M |
| 9 | D. Haen | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | A. Et-Taïbi | D |
| 50 | E. Gürbüz | F |
| 83 | M. Lemmens | D |
| 14 | Jens Mathijsen | D |
| 17 | O. Martin | F |
| 10 | J. Schuurman | M |
| 28 | T. Verheydt | F |
| 18 | Anass Zarrouk | M |
| 31 | K. de Leeuw | G |
| 22 | Per van Loon | M |
| 21 | W. van der Steen | G |
| 2 | A. Ciranni | D |