Lyon vs Estac Troyes Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

13 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Estac Troyes

Away

Prédiction IA Lyon gagnant

80%

15%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Lyon vs Estac Troyes : Sportiko estime que Lyon a 80% de chances de s'imposer, Estac Troyes 5% et le match nul 15%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Lyon

WWDWD

Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Lyon · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Lyon will face Estac Troyes in a Ligue 1 encounter, where both teams will look to secure crucial points. Lyon's recent form shows a strong attacking presence, averaging over 2 goals per match in their last five outings, while Troyes has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in the same period. Historically, Lyon has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 70% of their last encounters. If Lyon can maintain their offensive momentum and capitalize on Troyes' defensive vulnerabilities, they could secure a comfortable victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estac Troyes goals →

	0	1	2
0	5	2	1
1	10	7	2
2	15	8	2
3	13	8	2
4	9	5	1
5	5	3	1

↑ Lyon goals · most likely 2–0 (14.6%)

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Players in form

Lyon

E. Nuamah 3 gls

Z. Athekame 2 gls

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

81%

4.5

19%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

59% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

81%

4.5

19%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

23%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.8%	1.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	10.0%	7.1%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
2	14.6%	8.5%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
3	13.1%	7.6%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	8.8%	5.1%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lyon	Draw	Estac Troyes
Lyon	57.9%	2.0%	0.4%
Draw	21.5%	9.0%	2.2%
Estac Troyes	2.3%	2.0%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

76%

3.5

24%

Home Exact Goals

19%

26%

23%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

56%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lyon vs Estac Troyes

3 Lyon Wins

0 Draws

0 Estac Troyes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Feb 2023	Estac Troyes	1 - 3	Lyon
19 Aug 2022	Lyon	4 - 1	Estac Troyes
16 Jan 2022	Estac Troyes	0 - 1	Lyon

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.