Toulouse vs Lens Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

30 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Lens

Away

Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

Prédiction IA Lens ou match nul

22%

28%

50%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Toulouse vs Lens : Sportiko estime que Toulouse a 22% de chances de s'imposer, Lens 50% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Toulouse

WDLDL

Lens

LDWLL

Last 3 meetings Toulouse · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Toulouse will face Lens in a Ligue 1 matchup on January 30, 2027. Toulouse currently holds a mid-table position with a balanced attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while Lens has shown resilience with a solid defense, conceding only 1.2 goals per game this season. Both teams have a tendency for tight matches, as evidenced by their recent encounters. Key players to watch include Toulouse's leading scorer, who has netted 8 goals thus far, and Lens’ goalkeeper, known for his shot-stopping ability. This clash could hinge on which team can capitalize on set-piece opportunities and defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lens goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	10	5	2	1
1	6	14	10	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Toulouse goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

28%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

28%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	10.5%	9.7%	5.2%	2.1%
1	5.9%	13.5%	9.6%	5.1%	2.0%
2	3.7%	5.9%	4.7%	2.5%	1.0%
3	1.2%	2.0%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toulouse	Draw	Lens
Toulouse	12.0%	3.7%	1.9%
Draw	9.2%	17.8%	16.0%
Lens	1.5%	4.7%	33.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Toulouse vs Lens

0 Toulouse Wins

1 Draws

2 Lens Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Apr 2026	Lens	3 - 2	Toulouse
02 Jan 2026	Toulouse	0 - 3	Lens
10 May 2025	Toulouse	1 - 1	Lens

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.