Lens vs Le Havre Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

05 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Le Havre

Away

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Prédiction IA Le Havre ou match nul

25%

31%

44%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Lens vs Le Havre : Sportiko estime que Lens a 25% de chances de s'imposer, Le Havre 44% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Lens

LDWLL

Le Havre

LDLDL

Last 3 meetings Lens · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Lens faces Le Havre, both teams looking to bolster their standings. Lens has shown strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Le Havre has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game. Lens will aim to exploit Le Havre’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly through quick transitions and set-pieces. Conversely, Le Havre must improve their midfield control to mitigate Lens's attacking threats. This matchup could hinge on Lens's ability to capitalize on their offensive strengths against a leaky Le Havre defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

25%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

44%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Le Havre goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	12	9	4	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	5	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Lens goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Players in form

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

Le Havre

M. Samatta 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

31%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

31%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.7%	11.9%	9.2%	4.1%	1.4%
1	7.9%	14.6%	8.7%	3.9%	1.3%
2	4.5%	6.1%	4.1%	1.9%	0.6%
3	1.4%	1.9%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lens	Draw	Le Havre
Lens	15.3%	4.7%	2.2%
Draw	9.3%	20.5%	17.3%
Le Havre	1.0%	3.7%	25.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lens vs Le Havre

2 Lens Wins

0 Draws

1 Le Havre Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jan 2026	Lens	1 - 0	Le Havre
24 Aug 2025	Le Havre	1 - 2	Lens
01 Mar 2025	Lens	3 - 4	Le Havre

Voir les 6 confrontations — Premium

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Le Havre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Toulouse	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Angers	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Lyon	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Monaco	L	0 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.