Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

05 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Paris Saint Germain

Away

Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

Prédiction IA Paris Saint Germain pour gagner ou match nul

12%

22%

66%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain : Sportiko estime que Toulouse a 12% de chances de s'imposer, Paris Saint Germain 66% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Toulouse

WDLDL

Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Last 3 meetings Toulouse · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Paris Saint Germain, the focus will be on PSG's offensive prowess against Toulouse's defensive resilience. PSG boasts a formidable attacking lineup, with an average of 2.5 goals per game in the current season, while Toulouse has shown an ability to frustrate opponents, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Additionally, PSG's midfield control and ball possession (averaging around 63%) may overwhelm Toulouse, who will need to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities to secure points. This match presents an intriguing tactical battle, with Toulouse aiming to disrupt PSG's rhythm while maximizing their chances on the break.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris Saint Germain goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	12	9	5	2
1	3	11	10	7	4	2
2	2	4	4	3	2	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Toulouse goals · most likely 0–2 (12.3%)

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Players in form

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

Paris Saint Germain

Ferran Torres 4 gls

Marquinhos 3 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

66%

Draw

22%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

66%

Draw

22%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

84% Away (No Draw) 16% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	10.3%	12.3%	8.7%	4.6%
1	3.2%	10.5%	9.9%	7.1%	3.8%
2	1.8%	3.8%	4.0%	2.9%	1.5%
3	0.5%	1.0%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toulouse	Draw	Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse	7.6%	3.7%	2.7%
Draw	4.2%	13.4%	19.3%
Paris Saint Germain	0.6%	2.9%	45.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Away Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain

0 Toulouse Wins

0 Draws

3 Paris Saint Germain Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Apr 2026	Paris Saint Germain	3 - 1	Toulouse
30 Aug 2025	Toulouse	3 - 6	Paris Saint Germain
15 Feb 2025	Toulouse	0 - 1	Paris Saint Germain

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Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.