Marseille vs Nice Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

05 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Nice

Away

Prédiction IA Marseille ou match nul

36%

34%

30%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Marseille vs Nice : Sportiko estime que Marseille a 36% de chances de s'imposer, Nice 30% et le match nul 34%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Marseille

LLLLL

Nice

WLDLD

Last 3 meetings Marseille · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this Ligue 1 clash, Marseille faces off against Nice. Marseille has shown strong attacking form, averaging 2.1 goals per game in the last five matches, while Nice has been more defensively solid, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Both teams have key players in form, with Marseille’s forward line capitalizing on defensive errors. However, Nice’s midfield can dominate possession, potentially disrupting Marseille’s rhythm. Expect a tightly contested match, with midfield battles likely determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nice goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	11	6	2
1	12	15	7	2	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Marseille goals · most likely 1–1 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Marseille

A. Gouiri 4 gls

Nice

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

34%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

34%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.8%	10.9%	6.1%	2.0%	0.5%
1	12.2%	15.3%	6.6%	2.1%	0.5%
2	7.5%	7.2%	3.5%	1.1%	0.3%
3	2.7%	2.6%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Marseille	Draw	Nice
Marseille	21.1%	4.3%	1.4%
Draw	14.3%	23.6%	13.3%
Nice	1.4%	3.9%	16.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Marseille vs Nice

1 Marseille Wins

1 Draws

1 Nice Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Marseille	1 - 1	Nice
21 Nov 2025	Nice	1 - 5	Marseille
26 Jan 2025	Nice	2 - 0	Marseille

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lille	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Auxerre	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Le Mans	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Paris FC	L	3 - 0
22 Aug	H Lorient	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.