Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12

28 Nov 2026, 16:00

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Paris FC

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Stade Brestois 29

57%

27%

16%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC : Sportiko estime que Stade Brestois 29 a 57% de chances de s'imposer, Paris FC 16% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Stade Brestois 29

LLWDD

Paris FC

WDWWD

Last 2 meetings Stade Brestois 29 · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this Ligue 1 matchup, Stade Brestois 29 faces Paris FC. Brestois has shown a mixed form this season, with a home record that includes a solid defensive structure, allowing an average of 1.2 goals per game. Paris FC, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, managing only a 30% win rate away from home and conceding 1.5 goals per game. The key for Brestois will be to leverage their home advantage to control possession and capitalize on set pieces, while Paris FC will need to improve their away form and tighten their defense to secure points. This clash is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

57%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

16%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris FC goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	5	3	1
1	13	13	4	1
2	12	9	4	1
3	7	5	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Stade Brestois 29 goals · most likely 1–0 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Stade Brestois 29

K. Doumbia 4 gls

Paris FC

L. Sinayoko 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

27%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

27%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

78% Home (No Draw) 22% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	5.3%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%
1	13.1%	12.8%	4.4%	1.2%	0.2%
2	12.1%	9.5%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%
3	6.8%	5.3%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.8%	2.2%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Stade Brestois 29	Draw	Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29	36.0%	3.6%	0.9%
Draw	20.1%	17.9%	6.9%
Paris FC	2.2%	3.6%	8.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC

0 Stade Brestois 29 Wins

0 Draws

2 Paris FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Paris FC	4 - 0	Stade Brestois 29
14 Sep 2025	Stade Brestois 29	1 - 2	Paris FC

Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Auxerre	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Le Havre	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2

Paris FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Strasbourg	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Lyon	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	A Marseille	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Nice	W	3 - 0
22 Aug	A Estac Troyes	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.