Le Mans vs Monaco Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10

07 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Monaco

Away

Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

37%

27%

36%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Le Mans vs Monaco : Sportiko estime que Le Mans a 37% de chances de s'imposer, Monaco 36% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Le Mans

WDDLD

Monaco

WDWWW

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Le Mans faces Monaco on November 7, 2026. Monaco currently boasts a strong attacking lineup, with an average of 2.1 goals per match this season, while Le Mans has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The disparity in league standings indicates Monaco’s superior form, as they typically dominate possession and create more chances. Le Mans will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on set-pieces to compete effectively against a high-pressing Monaco side. Overall, it will be crucial for Le Mans to execute a disciplined game plan to keep the match competitive.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monaco goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	5	5	3	1
1	6	12	8	4	2	1
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Le Mans goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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Players in form

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

Monaco

Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

36%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

36%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 18% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 36% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	5.4%	5.3%	2.7%	1.1%
1	5.6%	12.2%	8.4%	4.3%	1.7%
2	5.5%	8.6%	6.7%	3.4%	1.3%
3	2.9%	4.5%	3.5%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.2%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Le Mans	Draw	Monaco
Le Mans	22.8%	4.7%	2.5%
Draw	13.1%	15.3%	12.7%
Monaco	2.5%	4.7%	21.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Le Mans vs Monaco

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.