Auxerre vs Paris FC Prédiction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10
FT
Post on X
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Paris FC
20%
25%
55%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Auxerre vs Paris FC : Sportiko estime que Auxerre a 20% de chances de s'imposer, Paris FC 55% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 7 Nov 2026, 19:54.

Match Report

Paris FC claimed a hard-fought 1–0 victory at Auxerre in Ligue 1, with the visitors controlling large portions of the contest despite a goalless first half. The opening period was not short of incident, however, as three yellow cards were distributed inside the first 16 minutes and a Fredrik Oppegård goal for Auxerre was ruled out by VAR on 39 minutes, keeping the scoreline level at the break.

Paris FC's dominance in possession — 66% to Auxerre's 34% — eventually told in the second half, when Lassine Sinayoko broke the deadlock on 63 minutes to settle the contest. The visitors also held an edge in corners (5–1) and total shots (10–7), reflecting their overall control throughout the 90 minutes. Both sides turned to their benches shortly after the goal, with a flurry of substitutions between the 65th and 74th minutes as each manager looked to influence the closing stages.

Auxerre struggled to create meaningful chances in response, managing just two shots on target across the entire match. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Paris FC win as the most likely outcome at 55%, a call that proved correct as the visitors secured all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 15'
Pierre Lees Melou Yellow Card
Cameron Archer Yellow Card
15' ▮
Sinaly Diomandé Yellow Card
16' ▮
Fredrik Oppegård Goal cancelled
39' 🖵
HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 63'
Lassine Sinayoko assist: Pablo Pagis
Telli Siwe ⇄ Clement Akpa
65' ⇄
Marvin Senaya ⇄ Lamine Sy
65' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Moses Simon ⇄ Luca Koleosho
⇄ 73'
Ilan Kebbal ⇄ Patrick Zabi
Naouirou Ahamada ⇄ Kévin Danois
74' ⇄
Danny Namaso ⇄ Remy Labeau Lascary
74' ⇄
Yellow Card
80' ▮
Fredrik Oppegård ⇄ Rayan Mandengue
85' ⇄
Kévin Danois Yellow Card
88' ▮
⇄ 90'
Lassine Sinayoko ⇄ Omar Sissoko
⇄ 90'
Pablo Pagis ⇄ Moustapha Mbow
FT 0–1
Auxerre

Match Stats

Paris FC
34% Ball Possession 66%
0.75 Expected Goals (xG) 0.94
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 3
1 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 4
3 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 0
24 Fouls 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
381 Total passes 725
316 Passes accurate 658
14 Free Kicks 22
Auxerre
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 Marvin Senaya D 7.0 65' – – 1 15 (11%) 7
21 Romain Faivre F 7.0 90' – – 2 35 (32%) 2
92 Clement Akpa D 6.9 25' – – – 24 (21%) –
20 Sinaly Diomandé D 6.8 90' – – – 34 (29%) –
4 Axel Tuanzebe D 6.7 90' – – – 55 (46%) –
3 Remy Labeau Lascary F 6.6 16' – – – 3 (2%) –
13 Telli Siwe D 6.6 65' – – – 27 (21%) 1
5 Kévin Danois M 6.5 16' – – – 8 (8%) –
22 Fredrik Oppegård M 6.5 85' – – – 28 (24%) –
17 P. Ekwah M 6.5 90' – – 1 51 (47%) 1
27 Lamine Sy D 6.4 25' – – – 8 (7%) –
8 Naouirou Ahamada M 6.4 74' – – 1 24 (21%) –
32 Rayan Mandengue D 6.3 5' – – – 5 (5%) –
10 Danny Namaso F 6.2 74' – – – 12 (9%) –
9 Cameron Archer F 6.1 90' – – 2 15 (14%) –
1 Paul Nardi G 5.6 90' – – – 31 (13%) –
Paris FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Lassine Sinayoko F 7.7 90' 1 – 2 20 (12%) 1
7 Pablo Pagis M 7.7 90' – 1 2 43 (38%) 1
42 Diego Coppola D 7.6 90' – – 1 111 (104%) –
14 Hamari Traoré D 7.5 90' – – – 88 (84%) –
6 Otávio D 7.5 90' – – 1 89 (81%) 1
33 Pierre Lees Melou M 7.2 90' – – 1 106 (97%) 3
20 Maxime López M 7.1 90' – – 1 111 (106%) –
10 Ilan Kebbal M 7.1 73' – – – 38 (35%) –
8 Patrick Zabi M 7.0 17' – – – 9 (9%) 1
1 Kevin Trapp G 6.9 90' – – – 29 (23%) –
23 Rudy Matondo M 6.9 90' – – 1 35 (30%) 5
15 Luca Koleosho F 6.5 24' – – 1 10 (9%) –
27 Moses Simon M 6.4 66' – – – 33 (28%) 1
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Paris FC
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Auxerre
LLDWL
Paris FC
WWLWL
Last 2 meetings Auxerre · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Auxerre will face Paris FC. Auxerre's current performance shows a struggle in defense, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match over their last five fixtures. In contrast, Paris FC has demonstrated a more robust form, with a solid midfield presence and a goal-scoring average of 1.8 goals per match in the same period. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as Auxerre has been vulnerable in defending them, while Paris FC has been effective in converting such opportunities. The match promises to be a tactical battle, with Auxerre seeking to improve defensively against a Paris FC side that thrives on exploiting defensive weaknesses.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Paris FC leads 0-1. Win probability: 88.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11.1%.

64' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Paris FC win: 84.5%. BTTS: 26.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 75.4%. Over 1.5 remaining: 44.5%.

39' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Auxerre win: 55%. BTTS: 65.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
20%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
55%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Auxerre
C. Archer 6 gls
Paris FC
L. Sinayoko 9 gls

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Head to Head: Auxerre vs Paris FC

0 Auxerre Wins
2 Draws
0 Paris FC Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Feb 2026 Auxerre 0 - 0 Paris FC
29 Nov 2025 Paris FC 1 - 1 Auxerre

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Paris FC L 0 - 1
01 Nov A Strasbourg L 5 - 1
25 Oct H Le Mans D 1 - 1
18 Oct A Le Havre W 1 - 3
11 Oct A Rennes L 4 - 1

Paris FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Auxerre W 0 - 1
01 Nov H Monaco W 3 - 1
24 Oct A Lens L 2 - 1
18 Oct H Rennes W 4 - 3
10 Oct A Lorient L 1 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Lille
10 6 3 1 +7 21
3
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
4
Marseille
10 6 0 4 +8 18
5
Lyon
10 5 2 3 +6 17
6
Nice
10 5 2 3 +3 17
7
Monaco
10 4 4 2 +2 16
8
Rennes
10 5 1 4 0 16
9
Stade Brestois 29
10 4 3 3 +6 15
10
Lorient
10 4 3 3 +1 15
11
Lens
10 4 1 5 +2 13
12
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Le Mans
10 1 5 4 -7 8
16
Angers
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
18
Le Havre
10 0 2 8 -13 2

Auxerre

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: W. Still
1 Nardi
13 Siwe
20 Diomandé
4 Tuanzebe
29 Senaya
22 Oppegård
17 Ekwah
8 Ahamada
10 Namaso
9 Archer
21 Faivre

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 P. Nardi G
29 M. Senaya D
4 A. Tuanzebe D
20 S. Diomandé D
13 T. Siwe D
8 N. Ahamada M
17 P. Ekwah M
22 F. Oppegård M
21 R. Faivre F
9 C. Archer F
10 D. Namaso F

Substitutes

27 L. Sy D
77 Aristide Zossou M
92 C. Akpa D
5 K. Danois M
23 M. Diop G
32 R. Mandengue D
3 R. Labeau Lascary F
15 C. Makosso D
46 A. Piedfort M

Paris FC

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: L. Rosenior
1 Trapp
6 Otávio
42 Coppola
14 Traoré
27 Simon
33 Lees-Melou
20 Lopez
23 Matondo
7 Pagis
10 Kebbal
9 Sinayoko

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 K. Trapp G
14 H. Traoré D
42 D. Coppola D
6 Otávio D
23 R. Matondo M
20 M. Lopez M
33 P. Lees-Melou M
27 M. Simon M
10 I. Kebbal M
7 P. Pagis M
9 L. Sinayoko F

Substitutes

28 T. De Smet D
15 L. Koleosho F
11 J. Krasso F
4 V. Marchetti M
3 E. Mbemba D
5 M. Mbow D
16 O. Nkambadio G
18 O. Sissoko F
8 E. Zabi M

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