Estac Troyes vs Le Mans Prédiction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Prédiction IA Estac Troyes ou match nul
39%
30%
31%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Estac Troyes vs Le Mans : Sportiko estime que Estac Troyes a 39% de chances de s'imposer, Le Mans 31% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Oct 2026, 21:40.

Pronostics Premium

Premium
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
  • L'équipe extérieure marque 71%
  • Plus de 1,5 buts 71%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi. Voir les sélections Premium

Match Report

Estac Troyes claimed a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Le Mans in Ligue 1's ninth matchday, despite spending much of the game without the ball. Le Mans dominated possession at 61% but created remarkably little, managing just three total shots and one on target throughout the ninety minutes.

Troyes broke the deadlock in the 33rd minute through Mouhamed Diop, and the hosts went into the break a goal to the good. The second half grew fractious, with yellow cards shown to Torrente, Gozzi, Kocik, and Boura in quick succession, while a VAR intervention at the 67th minute altered one decision on the night. Despite the disciplinary chaos, Troyes remained composed, and I. Boura — booked just minutes earlier — added a second goal in the 71st minute to put the result beyond doubt.

The statistics told the full story of Troyes' efficiency: an expected goals figure of 1.79 against Le Mans' 0.31 underlined their clinical edge. The pre-match AI model had identified a Troyes win as the most likely outcome at 39%, a call that proved well-founded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Michel Diaz Yellow Card
18' ▮
Mouhamed Diop assist: Timothé Nkada
33' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 45'
Habib Diallo ⇄ Billal Brahimi
Timothé Nkada ⇄ Kandet Diawara
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Antoine Rabillard ⇄ Dame Gueye
HT 1–0
▮ 47'
Raúl Torrente Yellow Card
Paolo Gozzi Yellow Card
52' ▮
⇄ 60'
Alexandre Lauray ⇄ Jean Vercruysse
Paolo Gozzi ⇄ I. Boura
66' ⇄
▮ 67'
Nicolas Kocik Yellow Card
Kandet Diawara Original decision changed
67' 🖵
I. Boura Yellow Card
69' ▮
I. Boura
71' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 74'
Noa Boissé Yellow Card
⇄ 74'
Lucas Calodat ⇄ Yasser Larouci
⇄ 74'
Louis Mafouta ⇄ William Harhouz
Renaud Ripart ⇄ Jérémy Le Douaron
79' ⇄
Mouhamed Diop ⇄ Iron Gomis
79' ⇄
Merwan Ifnaoui ⇄ Hugo Picard
90+2' ⇄
FT 2–0
Estac Troyes

Match Stats

Le Mans
39% Ball Possession 61%
1.79 Expected Goals (xG) 0.31
14 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 2
2 Shots outsidebox 1
4 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
357 Total passes 576
282 Passes accurate 504
15 Free Kicks 14
Estac Troyes
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Mouhamed Diop M 8.2 79' 1 – 3 33 (29%) 1
6 Adrien Monfray D 8.0 90' – – 2 53 (47%) 3
2 L. Maronnier D 7.5 90' – – – 32 (28%) 3
14 I. Boura D 7.3 24' 1 – 2 6 (3%) –
11 Iron Gomis M 7.2 11' – – – 4 (3%) 1
29 Karim Dermane M 7.1 90' – – – 50 (45%) 5
23 Timothé Nkada F 7.1 46' – 1 1 8 (6%) –
4 Michel Diaz D 7.0 90' – – – 25 (21%) 1
17 Antoine Mille M 7.0 90' – – 1 35 (30%) 4
7 Kandet Diawara F 6.9 44' – – 2 3 (3%) 2
40 Hillel Konaté G 6.6 90' – – – 25 (11%) –
9 Jérémy Le Douaron F 6.5 11' – – 1 – –
10 Merwan Ifnaoui F 6.4 92' – – 1 35 (23%) 4
20 Renaud Ripart F 6.4 79' – – 1 17 (7%) 1
5 Paolo Gozzi D 6.3 66' – – – 30 (25%) –
Le Mans
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
98 Nicolas Kocik G 7.3 90' – – – 46 (38%) –
17 S. Yohou D 6.9 90' – – 1 86 (83%) –
16 Raúl Torrente D 6.6 90' – – 1 72 (65%) 3
9 Antoine Rabillard M 6.5 46' – – – 12 (8%) 1
18 Lucas Buades M 6.4 90' – – – 32 (26%) 3
7 Billal Brahimi F 6.4 44' – – – 33 (29%) 1
14 Louis Mafouta F 6.3 74' – – – 23 (20%) –
29 Lucas Bretelle M 6.3 90' – – – 70 (63%) 2
25 Dame Gueye F 6.2 44' – – – 15 (13%) –
20 William Harhouz F 6.2 16' – – – 3 (1%) –
13 Habib Diallo F 6.1 46' – – – 10 (4%) 1
8 Alexandre Lauray M 6.1 60' – – – 39 (32%) 2
76 Yasser Larouci D 6.0 16' – – – 5 (4%) –
10 Jean Vercruysse M 6.0 30' – – – 15 (15%) –
15 Noa Boissé D 5.9 90' – – – 92 (83%) 1
22 Lucas Calodat M 5.8 74' – – 1 23 (20%) 1
Premium

Accéder à l'analyse complète de l'IA pour Estac Troyes vs Le Mans

  • Tous les 70+ marchés de probabilité
  • Rapport de match — Analyse approfondie IA
  • Types de sélections que vous choisissez
Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Estac Troyes ou match nul
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Estac Troyes
LWDLL
Le Mans
DLDLL

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Estac Troyes hosts Le Mans, with both teams aiming for crucial points. Troyes has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record, while Le Mans struggles with consistency in away matches. Recent form indicates Troyes has a slight edge, with stronger performances in their last five outings compared to Le Mans. Set pieces and midfield control will be pivotal, as both teams rely on transition play to create scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
31%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

Le Mans
L. Mafouta 4 gls
A. Bourabaa 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Estac Troyes vs Le Mans

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Paris Saint Germain L 1 - 0
31 Oct H Le Mans W 2 - 0
25 Oct A Toulouse D 0 - 0
17 Oct H Lens L 1 - 3
11 Oct H Marseille L 0 - 2

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Monaco D 1 - 1
31 Oct A Estac Troyes L 2 - 0
25 Oct A Auxerre D 1 - 1
16 Oct H Toulouse L 0 - 3
10 Oct A Paris Saint Germain L 3 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
3
Lille
9 5 3 1 +6 18
4
Lyon
9 5 2 2 +8 17
5
Rennes
9 5 1 3 +1 16
6
Marseille
9 5 0 4 +7 15
7
Monaco
9 4 3 2 +2 15
8
Nice
9 4 2 3 +1 14
9
Lens
9 4 1 4 +3 13
10
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
11
Stade Brestois 29
9 3 3 3 +4 12
12
Lorient
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Angers
9 2 2 5 -8 8
16
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Le Mans
9 1 4 4 -7 7
18
Le Havre
9 0 2 7 -11 2

Estac Troyes

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: S. Dumont
40 Konaté
5 Gozzi
4 Diaz
6 Monfray
2 Maronnier
8 Diop
29 Karim
17 Mille
23 Nkada
20 Ripart
10 Ifnaoui

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 H. Konaté G
2 L. Maronnier D
6 A. Monfray D
4 M. Diaz D
5 P. Gozzi D
17 A. Mille M
29 D. Karim M
8 M. Diop M
10 M. Ifnaoui F
20 R. Ripart F
23 T. Nkada F

Substitutes

7 K. Diawara F
14 I. Boura D
33 P. Beach G
11 I. Gomis M
9 J. Le Douaron F
26 A. Phliponeau M
22 H. Picard M
36 I. Soukouna M
44 Y. Titi D

Le Mans

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: P. Videira
98 Kocik
16 Torrente
17 Yohou
15 Boissé
8 Lauray
22 Calodat
29 Bretelle
9 Rabillard
18 Buadés
13 Diallo
14 Mafouta

Starting XI

# Player Pos
98 N. Kocik G
15 N. Boissé D
17 S. Yohou D
16 Raúl Torrente D
8 A. Lauray M
18 L. Buadés M
9 A. Rabillard M
29 L. Bretelle M
22 L. Calodat M
14 L. Mafouta F
13 H. Diallo F

Substitutes

26 R. Bamba D
7 B. Brahimi F
25 D. Guèye F
20 W. Harhouz F
1 E. Hatfout G
76 Y. Larouci D
23 D. Traoré M
10 J. Vercruysse M
5 H. Voyer D

Assistant Sportiko

Fonctionnalités, le concours ou le football

Inscrivez-vous gratuitement pour discuter avec l'Assistant Sportiko — posez vos questions sur les prédictions, le concours, tout ce qui touche au football.

Inscription gratuite Vous avez déjà un compte ? Connectez-vous