Auxerre vs Le Mans Prédiction
Pronostic Auxerre vs Le Mans : Sportiko estime que Auxerre a 46% de chances de s'imposer, Le Mans 27% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 25 Oct 2026, 18:12.
Pronostics Premium
Premium- L'équipe extérieure marque 71%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Match Report
Auxerre and Le Mans played out a competitive 1–1 draw in Ligue 1's eighth matchday, with all the action coming in the second half after a goalless and card-heavy first period that saw three yellow cards distributed before the break.
Le Mans took the lead three minutes into the second half when Lucas Buades converted and had the goal confirmed by VAR. Auxerre responded quickly, with Cameron Archer levelling matters at 56 minutes to restore parity. Despite Le Mans dominating possession at 60% and earning seven corner kicks to Auxerre's one, it was the hosts who edged the expected goals metric at 1.23 to 0.82, suggesting they created the cleaner chances on the night.
Both sides made a flurry of late substitutions as they pushed for a winner, but neither could find a decisive moment. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Auxerre win as the most likely outcome at 46%, though in the end the spoils were shared. The result leaves both sides with work to do as the season progresses.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Auxerre
Match Stats
Auxerre
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Cameron Archer F | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 19 (15%) | – |
| 4 Axel Tuanzebe D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (42%) | – |
| 15 Christ Makosso D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (42%) | – |
| 8 Naouirou Ahamada M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (52%) | – |
| 22 Fredrik Oppegård M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | – |
| 32 Rayan Mandengue D | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 5 Kévin Danois M | 6.5 | 86' | – | – | – | 53 (41%) | 4 |
| 17 P. Ekwah M | 6.5 | 4' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
| 27 Lamine Sy M | 6.4 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 29 (24%) | 3 |
| 77 Aristide Zossou M | 6.4 | 4' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 92 Clement Akpa D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 69 (55%) | – |
| 1 Paul Nardi G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | – |
| 10 Danny Namaso M | 6.0 | 86' | – | – | 2 | 25 (22%) | 2 |
| 21 Romain Faivre M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 44 (30%) | – |
Le Mans
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Lucas Bretelle M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 35 (30%) | 6 |
| 18 Lucas Buades M | 7.4 | 87' | 1 | – | 3 | 16 (10%) | 3 |
| 25 Dame Gueye F | 7.0 | 27' | – | – | 2 | 6 (2%) | – |
| 26 Rayan Bamba D | 6.9 | 3' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 23 Daouda Traore M | 6.8 | 4' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 19 Djibril Sidibé D | 6.7 | 53' | – | – | 2 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 98 Nicolas Kocik G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (18%) | – |
| 15 Noa Boissé D | 6.6 | 37' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | 2 |
| 8 Alexandre Lauray M | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | – | 31 (23%) | 3 |
| 17 S. Yohou D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | 3 |
| 10 Jean Vercruysse M | 6.4 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 13 Habib Diallo F | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | 1 |
| 22 Lucas Calodat M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (14%) | 3 |
| 14 Louis Mafouta F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 19 (12%) | 2 |
| 16 Raúl Torrente D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (27%) | 3 |
| 9 Antoine Rabillard M | 6.0 | 86' | – | – | – | 19 (11%) | – |
Accéder à l'analyse complète de l'IA pour Auxerre vs Le Mans
- Tous les 70+ marchés de probabilité
- Rapport de match — Analyse approfondie IA
- Types de sélections que vous choisissez
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMatch summary
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
C. Archer
6 gls
L. Mafouta
4 gls
A. Bourabaa
3 gls
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Auxerre vs Le Mans
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Auxerre — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Paris FC | L | 0 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Strasbourg | L | 5 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Le Mans | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Le Havre | W | 1 - 3 |
| 11 Oct | A Rennes | L | 4 - 1 |
Le Mans — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | A Estac Troyes | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Auxerre | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Oct | H Toulouse | L | 0 - 3 |
| 10 Oct | A Paris Saint Germain | L | 3 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | H Lorient | W | 2 - 1 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |
Paris FC
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Nice
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Lens
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |
Auxerre
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |
Le Mans
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
Le Mans
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: P. Videira
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 98 | N. Kocik | G |
| 19 | D. Sidibé | D |
| 17 | S. Yohou | D |
| 16 | Raúl Torrente | D |
| 18 | L. Buadés | M |
| 9 | A. Rabillard | M |
| 29 | L. Bretelle | M |
| 8 | A. Lauray | M |
| 22 | L. Calodat | M |
| 14 | L. Mafouta | F |
| 13 | H. Diallo | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | R. Bamba | D |
| 15 | N. Boissé | D |
| 7 | B. Brahimi | F |
| 25 | D. Guèye | F |
| 20 | W. Harhouz | F |
| 1 | E. Hatfout | G |
| 23 | D. Traoré | M |
| 10 | J. Vercruysse | M |
| 36 | Lenny Videira | M |
Auxerre
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: W. Still
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Nardi | G |
| 15 | C. Makosso | D |
| 4 | A. Tuanzebe | D |
| 92 | C. Akpa | D |
| 27 | L. Sy | M |
| 8 | N. Ahamada | M |
| 5 | K. Danois | M |
| 22 | F. Oppegård | M |
| 21 | R. Faivre | M |
| 10 | D. Namaso | M |
| 9 | C. Archer | F |
Substitutes
| 77 | Aristide Zossou | M |
| 23 | M. Diop | G |
| 20 | S. Diomandé | D |
| 34 | L. Dioubate | M |
| 17 | P. Ekwah | M |
| 47 | Youssef Khoudda | F |
| 32 | R. Mandengue | D |
| 35 | E. Legros | D |
| 46 | A. Piedfort | M |