Lorient vs Monaco Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

17 Oct 2026, 15:00

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Monaco

Away

Prédiction IA Monaco ou match nul

35%

30%

35%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Lorient vs Monaco : Sportiko estime que Lorient a 35% de chances de s'imposer, Monaco 35% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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75% 74% 72% 72% 73%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Lorient

LDWLD

Monaco

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Lorient · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Lorient will face Monaco in a Ligue 1 clash on October 17, 2026. Both teams have shown fluctuating form this season, with Lorient sitting mid-table and Monaco aiming for European qualification. Historically, Monaco has a stronger attacking line, averaging 1.8 goals per game, compared to Lorient's 1.2. Defensively, Lorient has struggled, conceding 1.5 goals per match, which could be pivotal against Monaco's potent offense. The outcome may hinge on Lorient's ability to contain Monaco's key players and capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

35%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monaco goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	3	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Lorient goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Lorient

No scorer data.

Monaco

Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Home Win

35%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Home Win

35%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

50% Away (No Draw) 50% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 35% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	8.5%	6.5%	2.7%	0.9%
1	8.4%	14.5%	8.1%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.4%	8.1%	5.1%	2.2%	0.7%
3	2.7%	3.4%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lorient	Draw	Monaco
Lorient	20.6%	4.5%	1.9%
Draw	13.3%	19.1%	13.6%
Monaco	1.9%	4.4%	20.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Monaco

2 Lorient Wins

1 Draws

0 Monaco Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Jan 2026	Monaco	1 - 3	Lorient
27 Sep 2025	Lorient	3 - 1	Monaco
17 Mar 2024	Monaco	2 - 2	Lorient

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Lorient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Le Mans	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Lens	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Estac Troyes	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	A Nice	D	0 - 0

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.