Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Prédiction
Pronostic Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain : Sportiko estime que Strasbourg a 14% de chances de s'imposer, Paris Saint Germain 67% et le match nul 19%. Dernière mise à jour : 17 Oct 2026, 17:09.
Pronostics Premium
Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
- L'équipe extérieure marque 2+ 72%
- Under 4.5 71%
Match Report
Strasbourg dominated possession throughout this Ligue 1 encounter, controlling 73% of the ball and generating 2.66 expected goals, yet it was the visitors who ultimately ran out comfortable winners. Giovanni Reyna gave the hosts a deserved lead in the 17th minute, and Strasbourg carried that advantage into half-time despite PSG's threat on the counter.
The second half proved decisive. A VAR-confirmed penalty in the 70th minute offered PSG an equalising opportunity, but Ousmane Dembélé squandered it two minutes later. The miss looked costly until Ilya Zabarnyi levelled matters in the 77th minute, shifting momentum firmly toward the away side. Dembélé made amends with a goal in the 85th minute before Désiré Doué sealed the victory deep into stoppage time, completing a remarkable turnaround.
PSG's clinical finishing in the closing stages proved the difference despite Strasbourg's statistical superiority for much of the contest. The result aligned with our pre-match AI model, which had rated a PSG win as the most likely outcome at 67%. Conrad Harder's yellow card and subsequent substitution in the 83rd minute added a chaotic edge to a dramatic finale.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Strasbourg
Match Stats
Strasbourg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Giovanni Reyna M | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 31 (26%) | – |
| 16 Genesis Antwi D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | – |
| 4 Jeyland Mitchell D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | 3 |
| 40 Conrad Harder F | 6.9 | 83' | – | – | 3 | 10 (8%) | 2 |
| 31 Karim Coulibaly D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 29 (25%) | – |
| 36 Oso D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (14%) | 3 |
| 80 Gessime Yassine M | 6.5 | 83' | – | 1 | 2 | 15 (14%) | 3 |
| 1 Filip Jørgensen G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (19%) | – |
| 21 Pape Diop M | 6.4 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 19 (14%) | 3 |
| 7 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw F | 6.4 | 30' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 19 Fabio Baldé M | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | 2 | 12 (12%) | 1 |
| 30 Jacobo Ortega F | 6.3 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 14 Dário Essugo M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (12%) | 3 |
| 29 Samir El Mourabet M | 6.0 | 15' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| Seamus Maughan | 5.9 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Matvey Safonov G | 8.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 10 Ousmane Dembélé F | 8.0 | 27' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 6 Ilya Zabarnyi D | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 101 (96%) | – |
| 14 Désiré Doué F | 7.8 | 36' | 1 | – | 4 | 18 (16%) | 2 |
| 9 Ferran Torres F | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 17 Vitinha M | 7.2 | 36' | – | – | – | 43 (37%) | – |
| 27 Dro Fernández M | 7.2 | 54' | – | – | 1 | 35 (30%) | 2 |
| 21 Lucas Hernández D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 84 (80%) | 2 |
| 4 Lucas Beraldo M | 6.8 | 54' | – | – | 2 | 49 (43%) | 1 |
| 2 Achraf Hakimi D | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | – | 21 (21%) | – |
| 12 Lucas Digne D | 6.7 | 53' | – | – | 1 | 49 (45%) | 3 |
| 25 Nuno Mendes D | 6.6 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | – |
| 87 João Neves M | 6.6 | 63' | – | – | – | 60 (51%) | 1 |
| 33 Warren Zaïre-Emery D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (52%) | – |
| 7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F | 6.4 | 63' | – | – | – | 43 (39%) | 2 |
| 11 Maghnes Akliouche F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 52 (50%) | 1 |
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Expected goals (xG)
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Gessime Yassine
4 gls
Ferran Torres
4 gls
A. Hakimi
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb 2026 | Strasbourg | 1 - 2 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 - 3 | Strasbourg |
| 03 May 2025 | Strasbourg | 2 - 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
Strasbourg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Toulouse | L | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Auxerre | W | 5 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A Rennes | L | 3 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 1 - 3 |
| 11 Oct | A Nice | L | 2 - 1 |
Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Estac Troyes | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Villarreal | W | 0 - 6 |
| 30 Oct | A Le Havre | W | 1 - 5 |
| 26 Oct | H Lyon | W | 2 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Barcelona | W | 4 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |
Paris FC
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Nice
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Lens
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |
Auxerre
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |
Le Mans
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
Paris Saint Germain
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Luis Enrique
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | M. Safonov | G |
| 33 | W. Zaïre-Emery | D |
| 6 | I. Zabarnyi | D |
| 21 | L. Hernández | D |
| 12 | L. Digne | D |
| 87 | João Neves | M |
| 27 | Pedro Fernández | M |
| 4 | Beraldo | M |
| 11 | M. Akliouche | F |
| 9 | Ferran Torres | F |
| 7 | K. Kvaratskhelia | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | Vitinha | M |
| 8 | Fabián Ruiz | M |
| 51 | W. Pacho | D |
| 25 | Nuno Mendes | D |
| 2 | A. Hakimi | D |
| 22 | M. Godts | F |
| 14 | D. Doué | F |
| 10 | O. Dembélé | F |
| 30 | L. Chevalier | G |
Strasbourg
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Jörgensen | G |
| 16 | G. Antwi | D |
| 4 | J. Mitchell | D |
| 31 | Abdoul Karim Coulibaly | D |
| 36 | Oso | D |
| 14 | Dário Essugo | M |
| 21 | P. Diop | M |
| 80 | Gessime Yassine | M |
| 10 | G. Reyna | M |
| 19 | Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé | M |
| 40 | C. Harder | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | Diogo Sousa | M |
| 12 | M. Piekutowski | G |
| 30 | J. Ortega | F |
| 28 | Tyrese Noubissie | M |
| 24 | L. Høgsberg | D |
| 29 | S. El Mourabet | M |
| 35 | Yaya Dieme | F |
| 43 | Y. Becker | D |
| 7 | S. Amo-Ameyaw | F |