Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Le Mans

Away

Parc des Princes, Paris

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Le Mans

22%

25%

53%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans : Sportiko estime que Paris Saint Germain a 22% de chances de s'imposer, Le Mans 53% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.3%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Le Mans

WDDLD

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Paris Saint-Germain faces Le Mans. PSG, known for their attacking prowess, boasts a formidable squad led by star players who consistently contribute to their high goal tally. Le Mans, while currently lower in the league standings, will need to leverage a strong defensive strategy to withstand PSG's relentless pressure. Historically, PSG has dominated encounters with lower-ranked teams, suggesting they will be favorites to secure a win. Key player performances and tactical execution will be crucial for both sides in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Le Mans goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	7	8	5	3	1
1	4	11	10	7	3	1
2	3	6	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Paris Saint Germain goals · most likely 1–1 (11.3%)

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Players in form

Paris Saint Germain

Ferran Torres 4 gls

Marquinhos 3 gls

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

25%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

25%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

22%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	6.9%	8.1%	5.4%	2.7%
1	3.7%	11.3%	9.9%	6.6%	3.3%
2	3.1%	6.1%	6.1%	4.0%	2.0%
3	1.2%	2.5%	2.5%	1.6%	0.8%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Paris Saint Germain	Draw	Le Mans
Paris Saint Germain	12.8%	3.8%	2.2%
Draw	8.0%	14.0%	14.0%
Le Mans	1.8%	4.9%	38.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.