Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Prédiction
Parc des Princes, Paris
Prédiction IA
Paris Saint Germain gagnant
79%
13%
8%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans : Sportiko estime que Paris Saint Germain a 79% de chances de s'imposer, Le Mans 8% et le match nul 13%. Dernière mise à jour : 10 Oct 2026, 20:45.
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Timeline
Achraf Hakimi
Penalty confirmed
16'
🖵
Lucas Beraldo
Penalty
19'
⚽
1–0
⇄
45'
Habib Diallo
⇄ Dame Gueye
HT 1–0
▮
47'
Dame Gueye
Yellow Card
⚽
1–1
54'
Louis Mafouta
assist: Lucas Calodat
🖵
54'
Louis Mafouta
Goal confirmed
João Neves
⇄ Warren Zaïre-Emery
58'
⇄
Dro Fernández
⇄ Fabián Ruiz
58'
⇄
Lucas Beraldo
⇄ Vitinha
59'
⇄
Mika Godts
⇄ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
59'
⇄
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
61'
⚽
2–1
▮
65'
Louis Mafouta
Yellow Card
⇄
66'
Jean Vercruysse
⇄ Billal Brahimi
Maghnes Akliouche
assist: Warren Zaïre-Emery
68'
⚽
3–1
Achraf Hakimi
⇄ Désiré Doué
72'
⇄
⇄
72'
Louis Mafouta
⇄ William Harhouz
⇄
72'
Alexandre Lauray
⇄ Antoine Rabillard
⇄
77'
Lucas Calodat
⇄ Yasser Larouci
▮
90+2'
Rayan Bamba
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Billal Brahimi
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
Noa Boissé
Yellow Card
Désiré Doué
Missed Penalty
90+3'
✗
Vitinha
Penalty cancelled
90+5'
🖵
FT 3–1
Paris Saint Germain
Match Stats
Le Mans
72%
Ball Possession
28%
4.07
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
22
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots off Goal
7
6
Blocked Shots
1
13
Shots insidebox
7
9
Shots outsidebox
4
4
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
5
3
Fouls
17
0
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
696
Total passes
255
612
Passes accurate
183
14
Free Kicks
2
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Maghnes Akliouche F | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 65 (55%) | – |
| 12 Lucas Digne D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 79 (73%) | 1 |
| 7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F | 7.9 | 31' | 1 | – | 2 | 29 (21%) | 1 |
| 33 Warren Zaïre-Emery M | 7.5 | 32' | – | 1 | – | 32 (29%) | – |
| 4 Lucas Beraldo M | 7.4 | 59' | 1 | – | 1 | 40 (36%) | 3 |
| 39 Matvey Safonov G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 21 Lucas Hernández D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 70 (67%) | 1 |
| 6 Ilya Zabarnyi D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 77 (73%) | – |
| 14 Désiré Doué F | 6.9 | 18' | – | – | 2 | 18 (15%) | 1 |
| 17 Vitinha M | 6.9 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 48 (43%) | – |
| 2 Achraf Hakimi D | 6.6 | 72' | – | – | 5 | 61 (56%) | – |
| 8 Fabián Ruiz M | 6.6 | 32' | – | – | 4 | 36 (28%) | 1 |
| 9 Ferran Torres F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 10 (8%) | 2 |
| 22 Mika Godts F | 6.5 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 27 Dro Fernández M | 6.4 | 58' | – | – | – | 31 (24%) | 1 |
| 87 João Neves M | 6.3 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 43 (38%) | – |
Le Mans
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Louis Mafouta F | 7.2 | 72' | 1 | – | 2 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 98 Nicolas Kocik G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (10%) | – |
| 22 Lucas Calodat M | 6.7 | 77' | – | 1 | – | 10 (6%) | 2 |
| 13 Habib Diallo F | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 10 (4%) | – |
| 20 William Harhouz F | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | 2 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 7 Billal Brahimi F | 6.5 | 24' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 9 Antoine Rabillard F | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 29 Lucas Bretelle M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | 1 |
| 5 Harold Voyer D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 8 Alexandre Lauray M | 6.0 | 72' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 25 Dame Gueye F | 6.0 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 76 Yasser Larouci D | 5.9 | 13' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 10 Jean Vercruysse M | 5.9 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 17 (8%) | 2 |
| 15 Noa Boissé D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | 4 |
| 17 S. Yohou D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 22 (17%) | – |
| 26 Rayan Bamba M | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 1 |
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Confidence
High (79%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Paris Saint Germain gagnant
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Paris Saint Germain
WWWWW
Le Mans
LDLLW
Match summary
In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Paris Saint-Germain faces Le Mans. PSG, known for their attacking prowess, boasts a formidable squad led by star players who consistently contribute to their high goal tally. Le Mans, while currently lower in the league standings, will need to leverage a strong defensive strategy to withstand PSG's relentless pressure. Historically, PSG has dominated encounters with lower-ranked teams, suggesting they will be favorites to secure a win. Key player performances and tactical execution will be crucial for both sides in this matchup.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
79%
45%
Draw
13%
45%
Away
8%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Paris Saint Germain
Ferran Torres
4 gls
A. Hakimi
3 gls
Le Mans
L. Mafouta
4 gls
A. Bourabaa
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Estac Troyes | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Villarreal | W | 0 - 6 |
| 30 Oct | A Le Havre | W | 1 - 5 |
| 26 Oct | H Lyon | W | 2 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Barcelona | W | 4 - 2 |
Le Mans — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | A Estac Troyes | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Auxerre | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Oct | H Toulouse | L | 0 - 3 |
| 10 Oct | A Paris Saint Germain | L | 3 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | H Lorient | W | 2 - 1 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |
Paris FC
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Nice
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Lens
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |
Auxerre
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |
Le Mans
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
Le Mans
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: P. Videira
98
Kocik
5
Voyer
17
Yohou
15
Boissé
8
Lauray
22
Calodat
10
Vercruysse
29
Bretelle
26
Bamba
14
Mafouta
13
Diallo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 98 | N. Kocik | G |
| 15 | N. Boissé | D |
| 17 | S. Yohou | D |
| 5 | H. Voyer | D |
| 8 | A. Lauray | M |
| 26 | R. Bamba | M |
| 29 | L. Bretelle | M |
| 10 | J. Vercruysse | M |
| 22 | L. Calodat | M |
| 13 | H. Diallo | F |
| 14 | L. Mafouta | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | D. Traoré | M |
| 18 | L. Buadés | D |
| 7 | B. Brahimi | F |
| 25 | D. Guèye | F |
| 20 | W. Harhouz | F |
| 1 | E. Hatfout | G |
| 76 | Y. Larouci | D |
| 9 | A. Rabillard | F |
| 16 | Raúl Torrente | D |
Paris Saint Germain
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Luis Enrique
39
Safonov
12
Digne
21
Hernández
6
Zabarnyi
2
Hakimi
27
Fernández
4
Beraldo
87
Neves
22
Godts
9
Torres
11
Akliouche
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | M. Safonov | G |
| 2 | A. Hakimi | D |
| 6 | I. Zabarnyi | D |
| 21 | L. Hernández | D |
| 12 | L. Digne | D |
| 87 | João Neves | M |
| 4 | Beraldo | M |
| 27 | Pedro Fernández | M |
| 11 | M. Akliouche | F |
| 9 | Ferran Torres | F |
| 22 | M. Godts | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | L. Chevalier | G |
| 14 | D. Doué | F |
| 7 | K. Kvaratskhelia | F |
| 17 | Vitinha | M |
| 47 | Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha | F |
| 51 | W. Pacho | D |
| 8 | Fabián Ruiz | M |
| 5 | Marquinhos | D |
| 33 | W. Zaïre-Emery | M |