Le Mans vs Lorient Prédiction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
Prédiction IA Lorient ou match nul
35%
29%
36%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Le Mans vs Lorient : Sportiko estime que Le Mans a 35% de chances de s'imposer, Lorient 36% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 19 Sep 2026, 20:43.

Pronostics Premium

Premium
  • L'équipe extérieure marque 75%
  • L'équipe à domicile marque 74%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
  • Moins de 3,5 buts 71%
Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi. Voir les sélections Premium

Timeline

Adil Bourabaa assist: Rayan Bamba
3' 1–0
11'
Jean-Victor Makengo Yellow Card
17'
Panos Katseris ⇄ Théo Le Bris
19'
Arsène Kouassi Yellow Card
HT 1–0
Habib Diallo Yellow Card
51'
Habib Diallo assist: Lucas Bretelle
57' 2–0
Yasser Larouci ⇄ Lucas Calodat
58'
Habib Diallo ⇄ Dame Gueye
59'
61'
Arthur Avom Ebong Yellow Card
65'
Gabin Bernardeau ⇄ Souleymane Faye
65'
Ibrahima Baldé ⇄ Mamadou Koné
Lucas Bretelle ⇄ Antoine Rabillard
72'
Jean Vercruysse ⇄ Alexandre Lauray
72'
Djibril Sidibé Yellow Card
74'
75'
Jean-Victor Makengo ⇄ Isak Steiner Jensen
75'
Nathaniel Adjei ⇄ N. Obaretin
Adil Bourabaa Yellow Card
78'
2–1 78'
Isak Steiner Jensen assist: Arsène Kouassi
Adil Bourabaa ⇄ Billal Brahimi
85'
FT 2–1
Le Mans

Match Stats

Lorient
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
473 Total passes 447
384 Passes accurate 365
14 Free Kicks 14
Le Mans
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Habib Diallo F 7.8 59' 1 2 13 (10%) 1
11 Adil Bourabaa M 7.7 85' 1 1 29 (23%) 1
29 Lucas Bretelle M 7.7 72' 1 36 (35%)
5 Harold Voyer D 7.1 90' 66 (51%) 1
17 S. Yohou D 7.1 90' 48 (46%) 2
19 Djibril Sidibé D 7.0 90' 82 (70%) 3
22 Lucas Calodat D 7.0 32' 15 (12%)
26 Rayan Bamba M 6.9 90' 1 47 (39%) 3
25 Dame Gueye F 6.9 31' 12 (7%) 1
76 Yasser Larouci M 6.7 58' 2 23 (18%)
9 Antoine Rabillard F 6.6 18' 1 5 (4%)
10 Jean Vercruysse M 6.6 72' 1 24 (22%)
7 Billal Brahimi F 6.5 5' 6 (6%)
14 Louis Mafouta F 6.4 90' 3 17 (12%)
8 Alexandre Lauray M 6.3 18' 1 8 (5%) 2
98 Nicolas Kocik G 6.2 90' 42 (24%)
Lorient
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Isak Steiner Jensen F 7.3 15' 1 1 4 (2%)
19 Souleymane Faye F 7.0 25' 1 15 (11%) 1
38 Yvon Mvogo G 6.7 90' 24 (19%)
32 Nathaniel Adjei D 6.7 75' 47 (46%) 1
3 Montassar Talbi D 6.6 90' 38 (31%) 1
62 Arthur Avom Ebong M 6.6 90' 72 (62%) 1
20 Dembo Sylla D 6.5 90' 46 (39%) 3
42 Mamadou Koné F 6.4 25' 1 2 (1%)
43 Arsène Kouassi M 6.3 90' 1 43 (34%) 1
77 Panos Katseris M 6.3 17' 5 (4%)
8 Noah Cadiou M 6.2 90' 2 68 (58%)
11 Théo Le Bris M 6.1 73' 1 18 (10%) 1
55 N. Obaretin D 6.1 15' 11 (9%) 1
33 Gabin Bernardeau M 6.0 65' 2 16 (10%)
18 Ibrahima Baldé F 6.0 65' 1 10 (6%)
17 Jean-Victor Makengo M 5.9 75' 28 (23%)
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Lorient ou match nul
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Le Mans
WDDLD
Lorient
LDWLD

Match summary

Le Mans faces Lorient in a Ligue 1 matchup, with both teams aiming for crucial points. Le Mans has shown a mixed form, struggling to convert chances, as evidenced by their xG of 1.2 in recent matches. Lorient, on the other hand, has been more consistent, boasting a solid midfield that controls possession and creates opportunities, reflected in their average xG of 1.6. The outcome may hinge on Le Mans' ability to tighten their defense against Lorient's attacking prowess. Overall, this clash promises to be competitive, with both teams seeking to assert their style of play.

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Le Mans leads 2-1. Win probability: 90.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 9.1%.

80' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Le Mans win probability: 87.8%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 25.9%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Le Mans leads 2-0. Win probability: 98.2%. Comeback chance: 1.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Le Mans leads. Win probability: 70.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.9%.

3' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Le Mans win: 64.1%. BTTS: 73.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
35%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
36%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Le Mans
A. Bourabaa 3 gls
L. Mafouta 3 gls
Lorient

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Le Mans vs Lorient

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Lorient W 2 - 1
13 Sep H Lens D 2 - 2
05 Sep A Nice D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Rennes L 3 - 2
22 Aug H Stade Brestois 29 D 2 - 2

Lorient — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Le Mans L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Toulouse D 2 - 2
05 Sep A Lens W 0 - 1
29 Aug H Estac Troyes L 1 - 2
22 Aug A Nice D 0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Le Mans

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: P. Videira
98 Kocik
5 Voyer
17 Yohou
19 Sidibé
29 Bretelle
76 Larouci
10 Vercruysse
11 Bourabaa
26 Bamba
14 Mafouta
13 Diallo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
98 N. Kocik G
19 D. Sidibé D
17 S. Yohou D
5 H. Voyer D
29 L. Bretelle M
26 R. Bamba M
11 A. Bourabaa M
10 J. Vercruysse M
76 Y. Larouci M
13 H. Diallo F
14 L. Mafouta F

Substitutes

23 D. Traoré M
16 Raúl Torrente D
9 A. Rabillard F
8 A. Lauray M
1 E. Hatfout G
25 D. Guèye F
22 L. Calodat D
7 B. Brahimi F
15 N. Boissé D

Lorient

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: A. Dujeux
38 Mvogo
32 Adjei
3 Talbi
20 Sylla
43 Kouassi
62 Avom
8 Cadiou
77 Katseris
17 Makengo
33 Bernardeau
18 Baldé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
38 Y. Mvogo G
20 D. Sylla D
3 M. Talbi D
32 N. Adjei D
77 P. Katseris M
8 N. Cadiou M
62 A. Avom M
43 K. Kouassi M
33 G. Bernardeau M
17 J. Makengo M
18 I. Baldé F

Substitutes

95 S. Touré D
55 N. Obaretin D
11 T. Le Bris M
30 S. Kuzmić D
42 M. Kone F
21 B. Kamara G
10 I. Jensen F
2 A. Georgen D
19 S. Faye F

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