Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Prédiction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Parc des Princes, Paris
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Paris Saint Germain
62%
21%
17%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco : Sportiko estime que Paris Saint Germain a 62% de chances de s'imposer, Monaco 17% et le match nul 21%. Dernière mise à jour : 4 Sep 2026, 21:01.

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  • L'équipe extérieure marque 75%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 75%
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Match Report

Paris Saint-Germain dominated the opening half in terms of possession and chances, and Marquinhos gave them a deserved lead on 31 minutes with a composed finish. The hosts looked well in control at the break, and our pre-match AI model had rated a PSG win as the most likely outcome at 62%, a call that would ultimately prove incorrect.

Monaco came out transformed after the interval. Nazinho levelled matters on 58 minutes, and despite PSG's overwhelming statistical dominance — 68% possession, ten shots on target and six corners to Monaco's none — it was the visitors who struck the decisive blow. Stanis Idumbo Muzambo netted on 72 minutes to put Monaco ahead, capping a remarkable turnaround. The teenager was then substituted off just minutes later, having already done the damage.

PSG pushed hard in the closing stages but could not find an equaliser, their profligacy in front of goal proving costly. Monaco held firm to claim a stunning away victory despite managing just four total shots across the entire match, a result that will raise serious questions about PSG's clinical edge at home.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Marquinhos assist: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
31' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
⇄ 52'
Vanderson ⇄ Jordan Teze
⚽ 1–1 58'
Nazinho assist: Jordan Teze
Désiré Doué ⇄ Ferran Torres
63' ⇄
Warren Zaïre-Emery ⇄ Lucas Hernández
64' ⇄
Lucas Hernández Yellow Card
68' ▮
▮ 68'
Jordan Teze Yellow Card
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⇄ Mika Godts
68' ⇄
Maghnes Akliouche ⇄ Ousmane Dembélé
69' ⇄
⚽ 1–2 72'
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo assist: Aleksandr Golovin
⇄ 73'
Mamadou Coulibaly ⇄ Anis Soubeir
⇄ 73'
Paris Brunner ⇄ Matthis Abline
Fabián Ruiz ⇄ Dro Fernández
76' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Aleksandr Golovin ⇄ Safouane Benzahra
⇄ 87'
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo ⇄ Christian Mawissa
FT 1–2
Paris Saint Germain

Match Stats

Monaco
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 2
13 Shots outsidebox 2
6 Corner Kicks 0
5 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 9
754 Total passes 352
688 Passes accurate 294
11 Free Kicks 8
Paris Saint Germain
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Marquinhos D 8.1 90' 1 – 1 113 (107%) –
7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F 7.7 68' – 1 3 34 (30%) 2
17 Vitinha M 7.2 90' – – 3 92 (84%) 1
14 Désiré Doué F 7.0 63' – – 3 38 (32%) 4
11 Maghnes Akliouche F 7.0 69' – – 1 34 (31%) 3
51 Willian Pacho D 6.8 90' – – – 69 (69%) 5
87 João Neves M 6.8 90' – – 2 64 (58%) 1
8 Fabián Ruiz M 6.7 76' – – 1 59 (52%) 1
10 Ousmane Dembélé F 6.7 21' – – 2 24 (18%) –
2 Achraf Hakimi D 6.6 90' – – 4 68 (59%) –
22 Mika Godts F 6.6 22' – – 3 20 (17%) 1
21 Lucas Hernández D 6.5 26' – – – 29 (27%) 3
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery D 6.5 64' – – – 64 (61%) 3
9 Ferran Torres F 6.3 27' – – – 7 (6%) –
39 Matvey Safonov G 6.2 90' – – – 26 (24%) –
27 Dro Fernández M 6.1 14' – – – 13 (13%) 2
Monaco
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G 8.8 90' – – – 33 (27%) –
17 Stanis Idumbo Muzambo M 7.7 87' 1 – 2 26 (22%) 2
20 Nazinho D 7.3 90' 1 – 1 35 (27%) 2
15 Eric Dier D 6.9 90' – – – 50 (45%) 3
8 Lamine Camara M 6.8 90' – – – 41 (37%) 7
72 Sadibou Sané D 6.6 90' – – – 41 (36%) 1
6 Denis Zakaria M 6.5 90' – – – 32 (31%) –
11 Matthis Abline F 6.4 17' – – – 4 (1%) –
4 Jordan Teze D 6.4 38' – 1 – 8 (7%) 2
13 Christian Mawissa D 6.3 3' – – – – –
46 Anis Soubeir M 6.2 17' – – – 6 (5%) 1
47 Safouane Benzahra M 6.2 3' – – – – –
2 Vanderson D 6.1 52' – – – 19 (13%) –
29 Paris Brunner F 6.0 73' – – 1 17 (14%) –
28 Mamadou Coulibaly M 5.9 73' – – – 19 (15%) 1
10 Aleksandr Golovin M 5.9 87' – 1 – 21 (14%) –
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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Paris Saint Germain
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Paris Saint Germain
WWWLD
Monaco
WDWWW
Last 3 meetings Paris Saint Germain · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Paris Saint Germain (PSG) faces Monaco. PSG has shown strong form, boasting a potent attack led by Kylian Mbappé, who has consistently contributed goals and assists. Monaco, while competitive, has struggled defensively against top teams, which could expose them to PSG's offensive prowess. The match presents an intriguing tactical battle, as Monaco will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks to challenge PSG’s dominance. Overall, PSG's depth and attacking flair give them the edge in this matchup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
62%
10%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
17%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Paris Saint Germain
Ferran Torres 4 gls
Marquinhos 3 gls
Monaco
Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

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Head to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco

1 Paris Saint Germain Wins
1 Draws
1 Monaco Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Mar 2026 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 3 Monaco
25 Feb 2026 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 2 Monaco
17 Feb 2026 Monaco 2 - 3 Paris Saint Germain
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Marseille W 1 - 2
13 Sep A Stade Brestois 29 W 0 - 1
09 Sep H Slovan Bratislava W 6 - 1
04 Sep H Monaco L 1 - 2
28 Aug A Lille D 2 - 2

Monaco — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Lens W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Strasbourg D 1 - 1
04 Sep A Paris Saint Germain W 1 - 2
30 Aug H Marseille W 2 - 0
27 Aug H Gornik Zabrze W 4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Paris Saint Germain

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Luis Enrique
39 Safonov
33 Zaïre-Emery
51 Pacho
5 Marquinhos
2 Hakimi
8 Ruiz
17 Vitinha
87 Neves
7 Kvaratskhelia
11 Akliouche
14 Doué

Starting XI

# Player Pos
39 M. Safonov G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery D
87 João Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Doué F
11 M. Akliouche F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F

Substitutes

10 O. Dembélé F
30 L. Chevalier G
27 Pedro Fernández M
22 M. Godts F
21 L. Hernández D
4 Beraldo D
24 Senny Mayulu M
9 Ferran Torres F
6 I. Zabarnyi D

Monaco

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Filipe Luís
1 Hrádecký
20 Nazinho
15 Dier
72 Sané
2 Vanderson
6 Zakaria
8 Camara
17 Idumbo-Muzambo
10 Golovin
28 Coulibaly
29 Brunner

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Hrádecký G
2 Vanderson D
72 Sadibou Sané D
15 E. Dier D
20 Flávio Nazinho D
8 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
28 M. Coulibaly M
10 A. Golovin M
17 S. Idumbo-Muzambo M
29 Paris Josua Brunner F

Substitutes

11 M. Abline F
47 S. Benzahra M
14 M. Biereth F
7 M. Detourbet F
16 P. Köhn G
13 C. Mawissa Elebi D
46 A. Soubeir M
4 J. Teze D
49 I. Touré M

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