Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse Prédiction
Pronostic Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse : Sportiko estime que Stade Brestois 29 a 40% de chances de s'imposer, Toulouse 31% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 29 Aug 2026, 20:42.
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Match Report
Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse shared the spoils in a 2–2 draw at Stade Francis-Le Blé, though the statistics painted a clear picture of Toulouse's dominance throughout. The visitors registered 21 total shots to Brest's six and carried an expected goals figure of 2.01 against the hosts' 1.12, yet it was Brest who struck first through Jacen Russell-Rowe in the ninth minute. Toulouse levelled quickly via Kamory Doumbia in the 18th, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1 after a feisty first half that produced three yellow cards.
The second half followed a similar pattern. Christ Tapé put Brest ahead again on 62 minutes, but Toulouse continued to press and were rewarded deep in stoppage time when Ludovic Ajorque equalised in the 90th minute to deny the hosts all three points. Toulouse's seven corner kicks to Brest's two further illustrated their territorial advantage across the ninety minutes.
Notably, our pre-match AI model had rated a Brest win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that ultimately fell just short as Toulouse's late pressure secured a share of the points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Stade Brestois 29
Match Stats
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Joris Chotard M | 8.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 66 (50%) | 3 |
| 6 Mamady Diambou M | 7.2 | 75' | – | 1 | 4 | 34 (31%) | 6 |
| 2 Bradley Locko D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 38 (29%) | 4 |
| 70 Kenny Lala D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 42 (32%) | 2 |
| 71 Raphaël Le Guen D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 61 (57%) | 1 |
| 23 Kamory Doumbia M | 6.9 | 75' | 1 | – | 2 | 24 (23%) | 1 |
| 8 Hugo Magnetti M | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 7 Joseph Nonge M | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 4 Gautier Lloris D | 6.5 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 52 (47%) | – |
| 1 Egil Selvik G | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 25 (17%) | – |
| 29 Lucas Tousart M | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 17 Mama Baldé F | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 6 (3%) | – |
| 10 Romain Del Castillo M | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | 1 |
| 19 Ludovic Ajorque F | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | – |
| 32 Mathis Lainé M | 6.2 | 11' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 9 Pathé Mboup M | 5.9 | 83' | – | – | 2 | 16 (12%) | 3 |
Toulouse
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Cristian Cásseres Jr. M | 8.9 | 94' | – | 1 | – | 77 (60%) | 6 |
| 12 Christ Tapé D | 7.9 | 94' | 1 | – | 2 | 44 (35%) | 2 |
| 2 Rasmus Nicolaisen D | 7.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 44 (44%) | 1 |
| 3 Mark McKenzie D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 54 (49%) | 1 |
| 16 Guillaume Restes G | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | – |
| 13 Jacen Russell-Rowe F | 7.2 | 78' | 1 | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 10 Yann Gboho M | 7.0 | 94' | – | 1 | – | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 31 Niklas Schmidt M | 6.9 | 34' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | – |
| 5 Seny Koumbassa D | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 6 Alexis Vossah M | 6.7 | 60' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | 2 |
| 9 Santiago Hidalgo F | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 11 Sion Oppong F | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | 1 |
| 7 Julian Vignolo M | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 94 Ismail Diallo D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 18 (10%) | 1 |
| 22 Rafik Messali M | 6.3 | 49' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 8 Thomas Jørgensen M | 6.2 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 33 (24%) | 3 |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
K. Doumbia
4 gls
C. Tengstedt
3 gls
T. Jørgensen
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 | 0 - 2 | Toulouse |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Toulouse | 2 - 0 | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Toulouse | 2 - 4 | Stade Brestois 29 |
Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Auxerre | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Le Havre | W | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Toulouse | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | A Le Mans | D | 2 - 2 |
Toulouse — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Le Havre | W | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Lorient | D | 2 - 2 |
| 03 Sep | H Lille | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Stade Brestois 29 | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | H Lyon | L | 0 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Toulouse
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: David Pagou
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | G. Restes | G |
| 94 | I. Diallo | D |
| 3 | M. McKenzie | D |
| 2 | R. Nicolaisen | D |
| 12 | C. Tapé | D |
| 6 | A. Vossah | M |
| 23 | C. Cásseres | M |
| 7 | Julián Vignolo | M |
| 8 | T. Jørgensen | M |
| 10 | Y. Gboho | M |
| 13 | J. Russell-Rowe | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | N. Schmidt | M |
| 37 | Y. Azizi | F |
| 9 | S. Hidalgo | F |
| 5 | S. Koumbassa | D |
| 22 | R. Messali | M |
| 60 | M. Niflore | G |
| 19 | D. Odogu | D |
Stade Brestois 29
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: David Pagou
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Selvik | G |
| 70 | K. Lala | D |
| 71 | R. Le Guen | D |
| 4 | G. Lloris | D |
| 2 | B. Locko | D |
| 13 | J. Chotard | M |
| 6 | M. Diambou | M |
| 10 | R. Del Castillo | M |
| 23 | K. Doumbia | M |
| 9 | P. Mboup | M |
| 19 | L. Ajorque | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | M. Patouillet | G |
| 7 | J. Nonge Boende | M |
| 8 | H. Magnetti | M |
| 11 | A. Camblan | M |
| 17 | Mama Baldé | F |
| 29 | L. Tousart | M |
| 20 | L. Zogbe | D |