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Lorient vs Estac Troyes Prédiction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Lorient

Lorient

Home
1 : 2
HT 0 - 2
Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes

Away
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Lorient
51%
28%
21%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Lorient vs Estac Troyes : Sportiko estime que Lorient a 51% de chances de s'imposer, Estac Troyes 21% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 29 Aug 2026, 20:38.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
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Match Report

Troyes claimed a comfortable 2-0 half-time lead at Lorient, with Renaud Ripart converting a penalty on 29 minutes before L. Maronnier doubled the advantage nine minutes later with a well-taken effort. The visitors dominated possession throughout, controlling 67% of the ball and registering five shots on target to Lorient's two.

Lorient gave themselves a lifeline early in the second half when Jean-Victor Makengo pulled one back on 51 minutes, briefly raising hopes of a comeback. However, Troyes held firm despite a flurry of substitutions from both sides in the closing stages, with Makengo himself withdrawn on 73 minutes as the visitors managed the game effectively.

The final scoreline of 2-1 reflected Troyes' overall superiority on the night, with their shot count and territorial control telling the real story. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lorient win as the most likely outcome at 51%, a call that proved wide of the mark as the visitors left the Morbihan with all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 29'
Renaud Ripart Penalty
⚽ 0–2 38'
L. Maronnier assist: Antoine Mille
HT 0–2
Jean-Victor Makengo
51' ⚽ 1–2
Gabin Bernardeau ⇄ Isak Steiner Jensen
66' ⇄
Mamadou Koné ⇄ Aiyegun Tosin
66' ⇄
⇄ 67'
Hugo Picard ⇄ Kandet Diawara
Jean-Victor Makengo ⇄ Panos Katseris
73' ⇄
Théo Le Bris ⇄ Souleymane Faye
73' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Antoine Mille ⇄ Karim Dermane
Noah Cadiou ⇄ Noah Mbamba
84' ⇄
⇄ 85'
Iron Gomis ⇄ Alexandre Phliponeau
⇄ 85'
Renaud Ripart ⇄ Yacouba Kone
⇄ 86'
L. Maronnier ⇄ Noah Donkor
FT 1–2
Lorient

Match Stats

Estac Troyes
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Corner Kicks 5
0 Offsides 3
9 Fouls 11
0 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
674 Total passes 320
591 Passes accurate 238
11 Free Kicks 8
Lorient
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Jean-Victor Makengo M 7.8 73' 1 – 1 36 (34%) –
62 Arthur Avom Ebong M 6.9 90' – – 3 96 (84%) 4
3 Montassar Talbi D 6.7 90' – – – 106 (101%) 2
32 Nathaniel Adjei D 6.7 90' – – – 87 (78%) 2
43 Arsène Kouassi M 6.6 90' – – – 54 (46%) 2
20 Dembo Sylla D 6.6 90' – – – 73 (70%) –
8 Noah Cadiou M 6.5 84' – – 2 86 (70%) 4
19 Souleymane Faye F 6.5 17' – – 1 5 (2%) –
15 Aiyegun Tosin F 6.4 24' – – – 2 (2%) –
10 Isak Steiner Jensen F 6.3 24' – – – 15 (15%) –
11 Théo Le Bris M 6.2 73' – – 1 39 (33%) 2
77 Panos Katseris D 6.1 17' – – – 9 (6%) –
72 Noah Mbamba M 6.0 6' – – – 4 (4%) –
33 Gabin Bernardeau M 5.9 66' – – 2 21 (10%) 1
38 Yvon Mvogo G 5.7 90' – – – 29 (26%) –
Estac Troyes
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 L. Maronnier D 7.4 86' 1 – 1 25 (20%) 3
20 Renaud Ripart F 7.3 86' 1 – 5 25 (14%) 3
6 Adrien Monfray D 7.1 90' – – 1 51 (43%) 5
17 Antoine Mille M 7.1 78' – 1 1 34 (24%) 3
4 Michel Diaz D 7.0 90' – – 1 29 (25%) 1
7 Kandet Diawara F 6.9 23' – – – 2 (1%) –
10 Merwan Ifnaoui M 6.7 90' – – – 33 (28%) 1
22 Hugo Picard M 6.4 67' – – – 11 (10%) –
26 Alexandre Phliponeau M 6.4 5' – – – – –
29 Karim Dermane M 6.3 12' – – – 4 (3%) –
11 Iron Gomis M 6.3 85' – – 2 21 (16%) 1
3 Anis Ouzenadji D 6.2 90' – – – 31 (21%) 2
8 Mouhamed Diop M 6.2 90' – – – 24 (20%) 2
33 Patrick Beach G 6.1 90' – – – 26 (10%) –
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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Lorient
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Lorient
LDWLD
Estac Troyes
LLLWD
Last 3 meetings Lorient · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Lorient faces Estac Troyes in what promises to be a competitive Ligue 1 clash. Lorient has shown a solid home record in recent seasons, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.6 goals per match. Conversely, Estac Troyes has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season. Both teams will look to secure vital points early in the campaign, but Lorient's offensive capabilities may give them the edge in this match-up.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
51%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
21%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Estac Troyes

1 Lorient Wins
2 Draws
0 Estac Troyes Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Mar 2023 Lorient 2 - 0 Estac Troyes
23 Oct 2022 Estac Troyes 2 - 2 Lorient
21 May 2022 Lorient 1 - 1 Estac Troyes
Voir les 8 confrontations — Premium

Lorient — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Le Mans L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Toulouse D 2 - 2
05 Sep A Lens W 0 - 1
29 Aug H Estac Troyes L 1 - 2
22 Aug A Nice D 0 - 0

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Angers L 2 - 0
13 Sep A Lille L 2 - 0
06 Sep H Strasbourg L 2 - 6
29 Aug A Lorient W 1 - 2
22 Aug H Paris FC D 0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Estac Troyes

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Dumont
33 Beach
3 Ouzenadji
4 Diaz
6 Monfray
2 Maronnier
8 Diop
17 Mille
11 Gomis
22 Picard
10 Ifnaoui
20 Ripart

Starting XI

# Player Pos
33 P. Beach G
2 L. Maronnier D
6 A. Monfray D
4 M. Diaz D
3 A. Ouzenadji D
17 A. Mille M
8 M. Diop M
10 M. Ifnaoui M
22 H. Picard M
11 I. Gomis M
20 R. Ripart F

Substitutes

7 K. Diawara F
5 P. Gozzi D
29 D. Karim M
40 H. Konaté G
26 A. Phliponeau M
36 I. Soukouna M

Lorient

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Randin Rande
38 Mvogo
32 Adjei
3 Talbi
20 Sylla
43 Kouassi
8 Cadiou
62 Avom
11 Bris
17 Makengo
33 Bernardeau

Starting XI

# Player Pos
38 Y. Mvogo G
20 D. Sylla D
3 M. Talbi D
32 N. Adjei D
11 T. Le Bris M
62 A. Avom M
8 N. Cadiou M
43 K. Kouassi M
33 G. Bernardeau M
17 J. Makengo M

Substitutes

95 S. Touré D
15 A. Tosin F
55 N. Obaretin D
72 N. Mbamba M
77 P. Katseris D
21 B. Kamara G
10 I. Jensen F
2 A. Georgen D
19 S. Faye F

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