Inter vs Parma Prédiction
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Prédiction IA
Inter gagnant
82%
13%
5%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Inter vs Parma : Sportiko estime que Inter a 82% de chances de s'imposer, Parma 5% et le match nul 13%. Dernière mise à jour : 10 Oct 2026, 17:54.
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Timeline
Petar Sučić
13'
⚽
1–0
Francesco Pio Esposito
Penalty confirmed
15'
🖵
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Penalty
18'
⚽
2–0
Marcus Thuram
assist: Henrikh Mkhitaryan
31'
⚽
3–0
HT 3–0
Francesco Pio Esposito
⇄ Ange-Yoan Bonny
61'
⇄
Marcus Thuram
⇄ Lautaro Martínez
61'
⇄
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
⇄ Aleksandar Stanković
61'
⇄
⇄
61'
Nesta Elphege
⇄ David Romero
⇄
62'
Giovanni Fabbian
⇄ Simone Lontani
⇄
62'
Vincent Sierro
⇄ Adrián Bernabé
Federico Dimarco
⇄ Luís Henrique
73'
⇄
Andy Diouf
⇄ Djed Spence
73'
⇄
⇄
78'
Franco Carboni
⇄ Sascha Britschgi
⇄
84'
El Bilal Touré
⇄ Matija Frigan
FT 3–0
Inter
Match Stats
Parma
59%
Ball Possession
41%
2.31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
19
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
2
9
Shots off Goal
6
4
Blocked Shots
1
13
Shots insidebox
7
6
Shots outsidebox
2
3
Corner Kicks
1
6
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
628
Total passes
432
572
Passes accurate
366
8
Free Kicks
13
Inter
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Petar Sučić M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 57 (54%) | 2 |
| 9 Marcus Thuram F | 7.9 | 61' | 1 | – | 2 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 28 Benjamin Pavard D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (40%) | 4 |
| 20 Hakan Çalhanoğlu M | 7.8 | 61' | 1 | – | 2 | 75 (66%) | 1 |
| 22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 69 (59%) | 2 |
| 31 Yann Bisseck D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (65%) | 2 |
| 30 Carlos Augusto D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 85 (80%) | 1 |
| 1 Josep Martínez G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | – |
| 32 Federico Dimarco M | 7.2 | 73' | – | – | 4 | 63 (60%) | 1 |
| 5 Aleksandar Stanković M | 7.2 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 32 (31%) | 1 |
| 99 Djed Spence D | 7.0 | 17' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 17 Andy Diouf M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 36 (34%) | 1 |
| 11 Luís Henrique F | 6.7 | 17' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | 2 | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 10 Lautaro Martínez F | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | 3 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 94 Francesco Pio Esposito F | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 18 (11%) | 2 |
Parma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mandela Keita M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | 3 |
| 4 Vincent Sierro M | 6.7 | 62' | – | – | – | 49 (45%) | 1 |
| 34 Diego Carlos D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 68 (62%) | 1 |
| 37 Mariano Troilo D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 70 (61%) | 5 |
| 76 Simone Lontani F | 6.5 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | 2 |
| 15 Enrico Delprato M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (33%) | 1 |
| 9 David Romero F | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | 2 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 20 Matija Frigan F | 6.3 | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 23 Nesta Elphege F | 6.2 | 61' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | – |
| 40 Edoardo Corvi G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (19%) | – |
| 29 Franco Carboni D | 6.1 | 78' | – | – | – | 46 (40%) | 1 |
| 14 Emanuele Valeri M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | 2 |
| 27 Sascha Britschgi D | 5.9 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 10 Adrián Bernabé M | 5.9 | 28' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 19 El Bilal Touré M | 5.9 | 84' | – | – | 2 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 80 Giovanni Fabbian M | 5.6 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 17 (16%) | 1 |
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Confidence
High (82%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Inter gagnant
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Inter
WLWWW
Parma
LWDLL
Last 3 meetings
Inter · 2W 1D 0L
Match summary
Inter faces Parma in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A clash. Inter has been in solid form, showcasing a strong attack with an average of 2.2 goals per game this season, while Parma has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Historically, Inter has dominated this matchup, winning 75% of their last encounters. With both teams needing points for different reasons—Inter for title contention and Parma for survival—this match could be pivotal. Expect Inter to leverage their offensive prowess while Parma will need to tighten their defense to avoid a heavy defeat.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
82%
45%
Draw
13%
45%
Away
5%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Inter
M. Thuram
5 gls
Lautaro Martínez
4 gls
Parma
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Inter vs Parma
2
Inter Wins
1
Draws
0
Parma Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 2026 | Inter | 2 - 0 | Parma |
| 07 Jan 2026 | Parma | 0 - 2 | Inter |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Parma | 2 - 2 | Inter |
Inter — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | A Feyenoord | W | 0 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A AC Milan | L | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Venezia | W | 0 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Fiorentina | W | 2 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Shakhtar Donetsk | W | 1 - 0 |
Parma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Bologna | L | 1 - 2 |
| 02 Nov | A Atalanta | W | 0 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | H Udinese | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Lazio | L | 2 - 1 |
| 19 Oct | H Torino | L | 0 - 3 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lazio
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |
AS Roma
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |
Como
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Cagliari
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |
Napoli
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Lecce
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |
Fiorentina
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |
Monza
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |
Udinese
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
Inter
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: C. Chivu
1
Martínez
30
Augusto
31
Bisseck
28
Pavard
32
Dimarco
22
Mkhitaryan
20
Çalhanoğlu
8
Sučić
17
Diouf
94
Esposito
9
Thuram
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josep Martínez | G |
| 28 | B. Pavard | D |
| 31 | Y. Bisseck | D |
| 30 | Carlos Augusto | D |
| 17 | A. Diouf | M |
| 8 | P. Sučić | M |
| 20 | H. Çalhanoğlu | M |
| 22 | H. Mkhitaryan | M |
| 32 | F. Dimarco | M |
| 9 | M. Thuram | F |
| 94 | F. Esposito | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | N. Barella | M |
| 25 | M. Akanji | D |
| 95 | A. Bastoni | D |
| 14 | A. Bonny | F |
| 46 | L. Bovio | D |
| 12 | R. Di Gennaro | G |
| 11 | Luis Henrique | F |
| 10 | Lautaro Martínez | F |
| 49 | I. Provedel | G |
| 99 | D. Spence | D |
| 5 | A. Stanković | M |
| 7 | P. Zieliński | M |
Parma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: A. Gilardino
40
Corvi
29
Carboni
34
Carlos
37
Troilo
14
Valeri
4
Sierro
16
Keita
15
Prato
19
Touré
80
Fabbian
23
Elphege
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | E. Corvi | G |
| 37 | M. Troilo | D |
| 34 | Diego Carlos | D |
| 29 | F. Carboni | D |
| 15 | E. Del Prato | M |
| 16 | M. Keita | M |
| 4 | V. Sierro | M |
| 14 | E. Valeri | M |
| 80 | G. Fabbian | M |
| 19 | E. Touré | M |
| 23 | N. Elphege | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | S. Britschgi | D |
| 8 | B. Cremaschi | M |
| 30 | G. Daffara | G |
| 7 | Ousmane Diallo | F |
| 72 | D. Drobnic | D |
| 20 | M. Frigan | F |
| 22 | S. Ghidotti | G |
| 47 | Abdou Konate | M |
| 76 | S. Lontani | F |
| 32 | C. Ordoñez | M |
| 9 | D. Romero | F |
| 10 | Adrián Bernabé | M |
| 70 | D. Diallo | D |