AS Roma vs Atalanta Prédiction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour AS Roma
53%
26%
21%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic AS Roma vs Atalanta : Sportiko estime que AS Roma a 53% de chances de s'imposer, Atalanta 21% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 5 Sep 2026, 20:42.

Pronostics Premium

Premium
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
  • L'équipe extérieure marque 73%
Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi. Voir les sélections Premium

Match Report

AS Roma claimed a dramatic 2–1 Serie A victory over Atalanta, with both sides unable to break the deadlock in a goalless first half. The visitors struck first after the interval, with Éderson converting just two minutes into the second period to give Atalanta the lead against the run of play.

Roma dominated proceedings throughout, and the statistics underlined their superiority — 67% possession, 14 corner kicks, and 39 total shots to Atalanta's six. A flurry of substitutions from both benches mid-way through the half reshaped the contest, and Roma's pressure eventually told. Mario Hermoso levelled with a minute to go in normal time before Matías Soulé completed the turnaround deep into stoppage time to seal all three points.

The result was the outcome our pre-match AI model had identified as most likely, having rated a Roma win at 53%. It was a fitting reflection of Roma's territorial dominance, even if Atalanta's clinical early strike had threatened to deny them. Roma move to three points from their opening Serie A fixtures.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card
40' ▮
⇄ 45'
Gianluca Scamacca ⇄ Nikola Krstović
HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 47'
Éderson
Emanuele Lulli ⇄ Nahuel Molina
54' ⇄
Rodrigo Mora ⇄ Matías Soulé
54' ⇄
▮ 55'
Yellow Card
Gianluca Mancini ⇄ Daniele Ghilardi
62' ⇄
D. Malen ⇄ Santiago Castro
63' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Eljif Elmas ⇄ Nicola Zalewski
⇄ 66'
Lazar Samardžić ⇄ Mario Pašalić
Evan Ndicka ⇄ Leonardo Balerdi
67' ⇄
⇄ 73'
Sead Kolašinac ⇄ Davide Zappacosta
⇄ 79'
Éderson ⇄ Franck Kessié
▮ 84'
Raoul Bellanova Yellow Card
Mario Hermoso assist: Matías Soulé
89' ⚽ 1–1
Matías Soulé assist: Paulo Dybala
90+3' ⚽ 2–1
FT 2–1
AS Roma

Match Stats

Atalanta
67% Ball Possession 33%
39 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Goal 2
20 Shots off Goal 3
9 Blocked Shots 1
27 Shots insidebox 6
12 Shots outsidebox 0
14 Corner Kicks 1
4 Offsides 4
9 Fouls 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 9
611 Total passes 317
546 Passes accurate 250
10 Free Kicks 9
AS Roma
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Matías Soulé F 8.4 36' 1 1 7 28 (25%) 1
22 Mario Hermoso D 8.3 90' 1 – 2 76 (66%) 1
21 Paulo Dybala F 7.7 90' – 1 6 48 (38%) 2
20 Nahuel Molina D 7.6 36' – – – 31 (28%) 1
87 Daniele Ghilardi D 7.4 28' – – – 20 (18%) 2
4 Bryan Cristante M 7.2 90' – – 4 93 (83%) 1
43 Wesley M 7.2 90' – – – 51 (47%) 2
77 Emanuele Lulli M 7.1 54' – – – 27 (24%) –
17 Manu Koné M 7.0 90' – – 4 65 (58%) 2
5 Evan Ndicka D 6.9 67' – – 1 42 (39%) 1
86 Rodrigo Mora M 6.9 54' – – 6 19 (15%) –
23 Gianluca Mancini D 6.8 62' – – 2 46 (44%) –
14 D. Malen F 6.7 63' – – 3 6 (6%) –
9 Santiago Castro F 6.6 27' – – 4 6 (6%) –
99 Mile Svilar G 6.6 90' – – – 31 (29%) –
26 Leonardo Balerdi D 6.6 23' – – – 22 (20%) 1
Atalanta
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 Marco Carnesecchi G 8.1 90' – – – 55 (33%) –
13 Éderson M 7.4 79' 1 – 1 27 (22%) –
42 Giorgio Scalvini D 7.0 90' – – – 20 (20%) 3
3 Odilon Kossounou D 6.9 90' – – 1 31 (30%) 2
23 Sead Kolašinac D 6.8 73' – – – 20 (17%) 1
16 Raoul Bellanova D 6.6 90' – – – 25 (24%) 1
10 Lazar Samardžić M 6.5 66' – – 1 16 (14%) 1
9 Gianluca Scamacca F 6.5 46' – – 1 8 (4%) –
70 Gianluca Gaetano M 6.4 90' – – – 27 (21%) 1
77 Davide Zappacosta D 6.3 17' – – – 6 (5%) –
99 Eljif Elmas F 6.3 66' – – – 12 (9%) 1
19 Franck Kessié M 6.2 11' – – – 8 (6%) –
17 Charles De Ketelaere F 6.2 90' – – 1 29 (21%) 2
8 Mario Pašalić M 6.1 24' – – – 5 (5%) –
90 Nikola Krstović F 5.9 44' – – 1 17 (11%) –
59 Nicola Zalewski M 5.8 24' – – – 8 (5%) 1
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour AS Roma
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AS Roma
DWDWW
Atalanta
LLLWW
Last 3 meetings AS Roma · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, AS Roma faces Atalanta, both teams showcasing strong attacking capabilities. Roma has averaged 1.8 goals per match this season, supported by a solid midfield that controls possession at 55%. Conversely, Atalanta has been effective on the counter, with a remarkable conversion rate of 15% from their shots. Defensive stability will be crucial, as both teams have conceded 1.2 goals per game on average. With tactical nuances likely to play a significant role, the match promises to be closely contested.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

AS Roma
D. Malen 6 gls
M. Soulé 2 gls
Atalanta

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: AS Roma vs Atalanta

0 AS Roma Wins
1 Draws
2 Atalanta Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Apr 2026 AS Roma 1 - 1 Atalanta
03 Jan 2026 Atalanta 1 - 0 AS Roma
12 May 2025 Atalanta 2 - 1 AS Roma
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Inter D 2 - 2
14 Sep A Torino W 0 - 2
10 Sep A Fenerbahçe D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Atalanta W 2 - 1
31 Aug A Lecce W 0 - 4

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Juventus L 2 - 0
12 Sep H Cagliari L 1 - 2
05 Sep A AS Roma L 2 - 1
31 Aug H Bologna W 1 - 0
27 Aug A Hapoel Tel Aviv W 0 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

AS Roma

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
99 Svilar
22 Hermoso
5 Ndicka
23 Mancini
43 Wesley
17 Koné
4 Cristante
77 Lulli
86 Mora
14 Malen
21 Dybala

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 Hermoso D
77 E. Lulli M
4 B. Cristante M
17 M. Koné M
43 Wesley M
86 Rodrigo Mora M
21 P. Dybala F
14 D. Malen F

Substitutes

18 M. Soulé F
2 D. Rensch D
20 N. Molina D
3 K. Koulierakis D
95 P. Gollini G
87 D. Ghilardi D
15 M. de Roon M
70 G. De Marzi G
9 S. Castro F
26 L. Balerdi D
68 A. Arena F
61 N. Pisilli M

Atalanta

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Maurizio Sarri
29 Carnesecchi
23 Kolašinac
42 Scalvini
3 Kossounou
16 Bellanova
13 Éderson
70 Gaetano
10 Samardžić
99 Elmas
9 Scamacca
17 Ketelaere

Starting XI

# Player Pos
29 M. Carnesecchi G
16 R. Bellanova D
3 O. Kossounou D
42 G. Scalvini D
23 S. Kolašinac D
10 L. Samardžić M
70 G. Gaetano M
13 Éderson M
17 C. De Ketelaere F
9 G. Scamacca F
99 E. Elmas F

Substitutes

19 F. Kessié M
77 D. Zappacosta D
31 T. Kristensen D
90 N. Krstović F
40 R. Obrić D
8 Mario Pasalic M
18 G. Raspadori F
11 J. Rowe F
57 M. Sportiello G
59 N. Zalewski M
47 L. Bernasconi D
22 Thomas Pompei G

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