AC Milan vs Venezia Prédiction

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Venezia

Away

Prédiction IA AC Milan pour gagner ou match nul

65%

22%

13%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic AC Milan vs Venezia : Sportiko estime que AC Milan a 65% de chances de s'imposer, Venezia 13% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 28 Aug 2026, 20:48.

Match Report

AC Milan secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Venezia in Serie A, with both goals arriving in the final quarter of the match after a goalless first half. The hosts dominated possession at 58% and generated an expected goals figure of 2.13 compared to Venezia's 0.69, underlining their overall control of the contest. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 65%, a call that proved correct.

The decisive moment came in the 69th minute when Gonçalo Ramos broke the deadlock with a well-taken finish, and Venezia's misery was compounded in the 89th minute when Redouane Halhal turned the ball into his own net to seal the points. Venezia had a difficult evening disciplinarily, collecting three yellow cards — Kike Pérez, Ridgeciano Haps, and Strahinja Pavlović among those booked — while Haps was also substituted off following his caution.

Milan's 16 total shots to Venezia's eight reflected their sustained pressure throughout, and five shots on target ensured the visitors' goalkeeper was kept busy. The result moves Milan further into their early-season rhythm.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 27'

Joel Schingtienne Yellow Card

⇄ 45+3'

Bartol Franjić ⇄ Redouane Halhal

HT 0–0

▮ 48'

Kike Pérez Yellow Card

▮ 54'

Ridgeciano Haps Yellow Card

Ruben Loftus-Cheek ⇄ Alexis Saelemaekers

59' ⇄

Alphadjo Cissè ⇄ Adrien Rabiot

59' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Toma Bašić ⇄ Simon Sohm

⇄ 66'

Ridgeciano Haps ⇄ Thierry Correia

Gonçalo Ramos assist: Alexis Saelemaekers

69' ⚽ 1–0

Strahinja Pavlović Yellow Card

71' ▮

Luka Modrić ⇄ Ardon Jashari

74' ⇄

⇄ 80'

John Yeboah ⇄ Lion Lauberbach

⇄ 80'

Kike Pérez ⇄ Albion Rrahmani

Davide Bartesaghi ⇄ Pervis Estupiñán

87' ⇄

Mario Gila Fuentes ⇄ Matteo Gabbia

87' ⇄

Redouane Halhal Own Goal

89' ⚽ 2–0

FT 2–0

AC Milan

Match Stats

Venezia

58% Ball Possession 42%

2.13 Expected Goals (xG) 0.69

16 Total Shots 8

5 Shots on Goal 2

9 Shots off Goal 3

2 Blocked Shots 3

11 Shots insidebox 6

5 Shots outsidebox 2

2 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 4

8 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

506 Total passes 367

445 Passes accurate 304

88% Passes % 83%

-0.57 goals_prevented -0.57

AC Milan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Samuel Chukwueze M	7.6	93'	–	–	1	31 (26%)	3
56 Alexis Saelemaekers F	7.5	34'	–	1	–	25 (23%)	1
14 Luka Modrić M	7.5	74'	–	–	–	63 (57%)	–
80 Yunus Musah M	7.3	93'	–	–	1	48 (45%)	2
33 Davide Bartesaghi M	7.3	87'	–	–	–	42 (36%)	4
31 Strahinja Pavlović D	7.2	93'	–	–	1	47 (45%)	5
34 Mario Gila Fuentes D	7.2	87'	–	–	–	59 (54%)	1
16 Mike Maignan G	7.0	93'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	–
9 Gonçalo Ramos F	6.9	93'	1	–	7	29 (22%)	1
30 Ardon Jashari M	6.7	19'	–	–	1	15 (12%)	–
5 Koni De Winter D	6.7	93'	–	–	2	33 (30%)	1
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek F	6.7	59'	–	–	–	27 (26%)	–
12 Adrien Rabiot M	6.5	34'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	1
70 Alphadjo Cissè F	6.2	59'	–	–	1	30 (21%)	–
2 Pervis Estupiñán D	—	6'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
46 Matteo Gabbia D	—	6'	–	–	–	1	–

Venezia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Filip Stanković G	7.2	93'	–	–	–	37 (27%)	–
6 Gianluca Busio M	6.9	93'	–	–	–	39 (36%)	3
10 John Yeboah F	6.7	80'	–	–	2	22 (21%)	1
71 Kike Pérez M	6.7	80'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	6
29 Lion Lauberbach F	6.7	13'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	1
26 Toma Bašić M	6.6	65'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	1
4 Bartol Franjić D	6.6	48'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	2
18 Antoine Hainaut M	6.6	93'	–	–	1	36 (31%)	4
5 Ridgeciano Haps M	6.5	66'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	1
45 Akor Adams F	6.3	93'	–	–	1	11 (6%)	–
14 Thierry Correia D	6.3	27'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	1
17 Armel Bella-Kotchap D	6.3	93'	–	–	1	42 (37%)	1
19 Simon Sohm M	6.2	28'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
3 Joel Schingtienne D	6.2	93'	–	–	–	37 (29%)	2
7 Albion Rrahmani F	6.2	13'	–	–	–	4 (1%)	–
25 Redouane Halhal D	5.7	45'	–	–	–	26 (25%)	1

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Confidence Medium (65%)

At a glance

Notre approche

AC Milan pour gagner ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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AC Milan

WLDDW

Venezia

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings AC Milan · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A match, AC Milan faces Venezia, with Milan boasting a strong squad depth and tactical flexibility under their current management. Historically, Milan has been dominant in this fixture, with a superior head-to-head record and a solid home performance. Venezia will need to tighten their defense, having struggled against top-tier teams, while also capitalizing on any counter-attacking opportunities. Milan's attacking prowess, led by key players, could prove decisive in breaking down Venezia's defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Venezia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	5	3	1
1	9	13	6	2	1
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ AC Milan goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Players in form

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

Venezia

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

22%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

22%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	4.9%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
1	9.4%	12.7%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.6%	9.9%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	5.7%	5.9%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.5%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Milan	Draw	Venezia
AC Milan	31.1%	3.7%	1.2%
Draw	20.1%	16.3%	8.1%
Venezia	3.1%	4.5%	11.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AC Milan vs Venezia

3 AC Milan Wins

0 Draws

0 Venezia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Apr 2025	Venezia	0 - 2	AC Milan
14 Sep 2024	AC Milan	4 - 0	Venezia
09 Jan 2022	Venezia	0 - 3	AC Milan

Voir les 4 confrontations — Premium

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Venezia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lazio	L	0 - 2
11 Sep	H Fiorentina	L	2 - 4
06 Sep	A Frosinone	L	3 - 2
02 Sep	A Udinese	L	2 - 1
28 Aug	A AC Milan	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

AC Milan

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ruben Amorim

16 Maignan

31 Pavlović

5 Winter

34 Gila

33 Bartesaghi

14 Modrić

80 Musah

21 Chukwueze

70 Cissè

8 Loftus-Cheek

9 Ramos

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Mike Maignan	G
34	Mario Gila	D
5	Koni De Winter	D
31	Strahinja Pavlović	D
21	Samuel Chukwueze	M
80	Yunus Musah	M
14	Luka Modrić	M
33	Davide Bartesaghi	M
8	Ruben Loftus-Cheek	F
70	Alphadjo Cissè	F
9	Gonçalo Ramos	F

Substitutes

56	Alexis Saelemaekers	F
12	Adrien Rabiot	M
30	Ardon Jashari	M
96	Lorenzo Torriani	G
1	Pietro Terracciano	G
13	Sankhoun Diawara	D
42	Filippo Terracciano	D
46	Matteo Gabbia	D
2	Pervis Estupiñán	D
28	Christian Comotto	M
22	Diego Moreira	F
73	Francesco Camarda	F
11	Christian Pulišić	M

Venezia

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Giovanni Stroppa

1 Stanković

4 Franjić

17 Bella-Kotchap

3 Schingtienne

5 Haps

26 Bašić

6 Busio

71 Pérez

18 Hainaut

45 Adams

10 Yeboah

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Filip Stanković	G
3	Joel Schingtienne	D
17	Armel Bella-Kotchap	D
4	Bartol Franjić	D
18	Antoine Hainaut	M
71	Kike Pérez	M
6	Gianluca Busio	M
26	Toma Bašić	M
5	Ridgeciano Haps	M
10	John Yeboah	F
45	Akor Adams	F

Substitutes

25	Redouane Halhal	D
19	Simon Sohm	M
14	Thierry Correia	D
7	Albion Rrahmani	F
29	Lion Lauberbach	F
23	Matteo Grandi	G
96	Lorenzo Montipò	G
95	Ale Gomes	D
30	Matteo Dagasso	M
8	Lamine Fanne	M
11	Marko Farji	F
20	Richie Sagrado	D
55	Simone Panada	M
21	Þórir Jóhann Helgason	M
90	Alvin Obinna Okoro	F