FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prédiction
FT
MEWA ARENA, Mainz
Prédiction IA
Bayer Leverkusen ou match nul
31%
26%
43%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen : Sportiko estime que FSV Mainz 05 a 31% de chances de s'imposer, Bayer Leverkusen 43% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 10 Oct 2026, 15:28.
Pronostics Premium
Premium- Domicile ou Extérieur 74%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 70%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
5'
Robert Andrich
⚽
0–2
9'
Patrik Schick
assist: Aleix García
Phillip Tietz
Yellow Card
20'
▮
Anthony Caci
33'
⚽
1–2
Sheraldo Becker
Yellow Card
35'
▮
Anthony Caci
assist: Nadiem Amiri
42'
⚽
2–2
HT 2–2
⚽
2–3
55'
Jarell Quansah
⚽
2–4
65'
Moussa Diaby
assist: Afonso Moreira
⇄
66'
Ibrahim Maza
⇄ M. Terrier
Eric Martel
⇄ Jae-sung Lee
70'
⇄
Anthony Caci
⇄ Danny da Costa
70'
⇄
Kacper Potulski
⇄ Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
70'
⇄
⇄
75'
Afonso Moreira
⇄ Nathan Tella
⇄
75'
Moussa Diaby
⇄ Malik Tillman
Jae-sung Lee
Yellow Card
76'
▮
Sheraldo Becker
⇄ B. Hollerbach
77'
⇄
Kaishu Sano
⇄ Lennard Maloney
81'
⇄
⇄
83'
Patrik Schick
⇄ Jonas Hofmann
⇄
84'
Aleix García
⇄ Ezequiel Fernández
B. Hollerbach
90+2'
⚽
3–4
▮
90+3'
Jarell Quansah
Yellow Card
FT 3–4
FSV Mainz 05
Match Stats
Bayer Leverkusen
47%
Ball Possession
53%
2.91
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
23
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
7
11
Shots off Goal
6
7
Blocked Shots
3
17
Shots insidebox
12
6
Shots outsidebox
4
4
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
442
Total passes
508
367
Passes accurate
433
10
Free Kicks
11
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Anthony Caci M | 9.1 | 70' | 2 | – | 3 | 29 (25%) | 5 |
| 10 Nadiem Amiri M | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 67 (60%) | 2 |
| 17 B. Hollerbach F | 7.2 | 13' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 23 Sheraldo Becker F | 6.7 | 77' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 2 Phillipp Mwene M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 28 (25%) | 2 |
| 6 Kaishu Sano M | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 27 (24%) | – |
| 9 Phillip Tietz F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 19 (9%) | – |
| 48 Kacper Potulski D | 6.2 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 37 (31%) | 2 |
| 5 Eric Martel M | 6.1 | 70' | – | – | 4 | 15 (12%) | 1 |
| 3 F. Gruber D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (53%) | 1 |
| 15 Lennard Maloney M | 5.9 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 4 Stefan Posch D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (43%) | 1 |
| 21 Danny da Costa D | 5.8 | 20' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 7 Jae-sung Lee M | 5.6 | 20' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | 1 |
| 1 Alexander Schwolow G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (27%) | – |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Patrik Schick F | 8.2 | 83' | 1 | – | 1 | 16 (11%) | – |
| 24 Aleix García M | 7.7 | 84' | – | 1 | – | 87 (80%) | – |
| 8 Robert Andrich M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 48 (38%) | 5 |
| 19 Moussa Diaby M | 7.3 | 75' | 1 | – | 2 | 15 (14%) | – |
| 23 Nathan Tella F | 6.8 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 11 M. Terrier F | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | 2 | 13 (13%) | – |
| 12 Edmond Tapsoba D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 61 (52%) | 1 |
| 2 Facundo Medina D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 71 (65%) | 1 |
| 9 Afonso Moreira M | 6.3 | 75' | – | 1 | – | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 3 Miguel Gutiérrez D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 50 (42%) | 2 |
| 30 Ibrahim Maza M | 6.1 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 25 (19%) | 2 |
| 1 M. Flekken G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (18%) | – |
| 4 Jarell Quansah D | 6.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 51 (45%) | 2 |
| 10 Malik Tillman M | 5.9 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 11 (11%) | – |
| 7 Jonas Hofmann M | 5.9 | 7' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 6 Ezequiel Fernández M | 5.8 | 6' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Bayer Leverkusen ou match nul
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FSV Mainz 05
LLLLW
Bayer Leverkusen
LLWLW
Last 3 meetings
FSV Mainz 05 · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
FSV Mainz 05 will face Bayer Leverkusen in a Bundesliga clash on October 10, 2026. Mainz has struggled for consistency, sitting mid-table, while Leverkusen has been a strong contender for European spots, showcasing a potent attack led by their key forwards. Historically, Leverkusen has performed well against Mainz, with a higher average possession and shot conversion rate. Mainz will need to bolster their defense to withstand Leverkusen's offensive threats and capitalize on counter-attacks to secure points in this matchup.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
FSV Mainz 05
P. Tietz
5 gls
A. Caci
3 gls
Bayer Leverkusen
P. Schick
7 gls
I. Maza
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
0
FSV Mainz 05 Wins
2
Draws
1
Bayer Leverkusen Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 - 1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| 18 Oct 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 3 - 4 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 17 May 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2 - 2 | Bayer Leverkusen |
FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Bayern München | L | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Oct | A SV Elversberg | L | 4 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A VfL Bochum | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Werder Bremen | L | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | A FC Schalke 04 | W | 0 - 1 |
Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Marseille | L | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H VfB Stuttgart | L | 2 - 4 |
| 28 Oct | H 1. FC Nürnberg | W | 5 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A 1899 Hoffenheim | L | 3 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A OFI | W | 0 - 2 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
FSV Mainz 05
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: U. Fischer
1
Schwolow
48
Potulski
3
Gruber
4
Posch
2
Mwene
10
Amiri
6
Sano
5
Martel
19
Caci
23
Becker
9
Tietz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Schwolow | G |
| 4 | S. Posch | D |
| 3 | F. Gruber | D |
| 48 | K. Potulski | D |
| 19 | A. Caci | M |
| 5 | E. Martel | M |
| 6 | K. Sano | M |
| 10 | N. Amiri | M |
| 2 | P. Mwene | M |
| 9 | P. Tietz | F |
| 23 | S. Becker | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | S. Bell | D |
| 21 | D. da Costa | D |
| 17 | B. Hollerbach | F |
| 24 | S. Kawasaki | M |
| 40 | M. Kinzig | G |
| 11 | R. Königsdörffer | F |
| 7 | Lee Jae-Sung | M |
| 15 | L. Maloney | M |
| 47 | R. Nakuzola | D |
Bayer Leverkusen
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Carles Martínez
1
Flekken
3
Gutiérrez
2
Medina
12
Tapsoba
4
Quansah
24
García
8
Andrich
9
Moreira
30
Maza
19
Diaby
14
Schick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Flekken | G |
| 4 | J. Quansah | D |
| 12 | E. Tapsoba | D |
| 2 | F. Medina | D |
| 3 | Miguel Gutiérrez | D |
| 8 | R. Andrich | M |
| 24 | Aleix García | M |
| 19 | M. Diaby | M |
| 30 | I. Maza | M |
| 9 | Afonso Moreira | M |
| 14 | P. Schick | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | M. Tillman | M |
| 11 | M. Terrier | F |
| 23 | N. Tella | F |
| 17 | Lucas Vázquez | D |
| 7 | J. Hofmann | M |
| 6 | E. Fernández | M |
| 22 | V. Boniface | F |
| 28 | J. Blaswich | G |
| 5 | L. Badé | D |