Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 Prédiction
FT
BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
Prédiction IA
FSV Mainz 05 ou match nul
31%
25%
43%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 : Sportiko estime que Borussia Mönchengladbach a 31% de chances de s'imposer, FSV Mainz 05 43% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 19 Sep 2026, 15:33.
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Timeline
Florian Neuhaus
assist: Lukas Ullrich
11'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
18'
Phillip Tietz
assist: Sheraldo Becker
Lukas Ullrich
Yellow Card
19'
▮
⚽
1–2
45+1'
Sheraldo Becker
assist: Anthony Caci
HT 1–2
▮
55'
Stefan Posch
Yellow Card
Franck Honorat
Yellow Card
55'
▮
Philipp Sander
Penalty confirmed
55'
🖵
Kevin Diks
Missed Penalty
57'
✗
Isac Lidberg
assist: Lukas Ullrich
59'
⚽
2–2
Florian Neuhaus
Yellow Card
62'
▮
Florian Neuhaus
⇄ Wael Mohya
64'
⇄
⇄
65'
Anthony Caci
⇄ Danny da Costa
⇄
65'
Jae-sung Lee
⇄ Eric Martel
▮
73'
Phillipp Mwene
Yellow Card
⇄
76'
Sheraldo Becker
⇄ Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
Franck Honorat
⇄ Kevin Stöger
76'
⇄
Joe Scally
⇄ Daiki Hashioka
76'
⇄
⚽
2–3
78'
Eric Martel
assist: Kaishu Sano
Ko Itakura
⇄ S. Machino
84'
⇄
Hugo Bolin
⇄ Robin Hack
84'
⇄
Wael Mohya
Yellow Card
87'
▮
Kevin Stöger
Yellow Card
87'
▮
⚽
2–4
89'
Danny da Costa
⇄
90+1'
Nadiem Amiri
⇄ Lennard Maloney
▮
90+3'
Kacper Potulski
Yellow Card
S. Machino
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
▮
90+4'
Alexander Schwolow
Yellow Card
S. Machino
Penalty
90+5'
⚽
3–4
▮
90+7'
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
Yellow Card
FT 3–4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Match Stats
FSV Mainz 05
47%
Ball Possession
53%
21
Total Shots
16
7
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
7
7
Blocked Shots
2
15
Shots insidebox
14
6
Shots outsidebox
2
6
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
14
6
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
423
Total passes
479
335
Passes accurate
389
11
Free Kicks
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Isac Lidberg F | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 23 (16%) | – |
| 18 S. Machino F | 7.5 | 6' | 1 | – | 4 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 10 Florian Neuhaus M | 7.5 | 64' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | 2 |
| 26 Lukas Ullrich M | 7.2 | 90' | – | 2 | 2 | 30 (22%) | 2 |
| 5 Jan Leszczyński D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 73 (67%) | 1 |
| 29 Joe Scally M | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 38 Hugo Bolin M | 6.2 | 84' | – | – | 2 | 18 (11%) | 2 |
| 4 Kevin Diks D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 58 (48%) | 2 |
| 9 Franck Honorat M | 6.1 | 76' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 16 Philipp Sander M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 60 (44%) | 4 |
| 7 Kevin Stöger M | 5.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 25 Robin Hack M | 5.8 | 6' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 1 Moritz Nicolas G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (15%) | – |
| 14 Daiki Hashioka D | 5.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 36 Wael Mohya M | 5.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | 1 |
| 6 Ko Itakura D | 5.4 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 40 (33%) | – |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sheraldo Becker F | 9.0 | 76' | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 (16%) | 1 |
| 9 Phillip Tietz F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 21 (10%) | 1 |
| 21 Danny da Costa D | 7.1 | 25' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 5 Eric Martel M | 7.1 | 25' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | 2 |
| 6 Kaishu Sano M | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 48 (42%) | – |
| 19 Anthony Caci M | 6.6 | 65' | – | 1 | 2 | 21 (17%) | – |
| 10 Nadiem Amiri M | 6.5 | 91' | – | – | – | 61 (52%) | – |
| 7 Jae-sung Lee M | 6.4 | 65' | – | – | – | 26 (19%) | – |
| 2 Phillipp Mwene M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (27%) | 3 |
| 11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | 1 |
| 1 Alexander Schwolow G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | – |
| 4 Stefan Posch D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (47%) | 3 |
| 48 Kacper Potulski D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 67 (62%) | 3 |
| 3 F. Gruber D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (64%) | 3 |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Notre approche
FSV Mainz 05 ou match nul
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Borussia Mönchengladbach
LLLLW
FSV Mainz 05
WLWDW
Last 3 meetings
Borussia Mönchengladbach · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Mönchengladbach will host FSV Mainz 05. Mönchengladbach has shown a strong offensive presence, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Mainz has struggled defensively, conceding 2.2 goals per game. The effectiveness of Mönchengladbach's midfield will be crucial in controlling the pace and creating opportunities. Conversely, Mainz will need to improve their defensive organization to contain the attacking threats. This matchup could hinge on Mönchengladbach’s ability to exploit any defensive lapses from Mainz.
Live insights
90'
Goal
85% sure
FSV Mainz 05 now leads 2-4 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.
90'
Goal
80% sure
Late goal makes it 3-4! FSV Mainz 05 win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.
83'
time check
80% sure
Min 83: FSV Mainz 05 leads 2-3. Win probability: 90.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 9.6%.
79'
Goal
80% sure
Late goal makes it 2-3! FSV Mainz 05 win probability: 86.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 33.3%.
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 64.4%. Late goal chance: 40.2%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
31%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
43%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Borussia Mönchengladbach
No scorer data.
FSV Mainz 05
P. Tietz
4 gls
S. Becker
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
1
Borussia Mönchengladbach Wins
1
Draws
1
FSV Mainz 05 Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 - 1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| 05 Dec 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0 - 1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 07 Mar 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 - 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H FSV Mainz 05 | L | 3 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | A SC Freiburg | L | 5 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H SV Elversberg | L | 3 - 4 |
| 29 Aug | A RB Leipzig | L | 3 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | A Schott Mainz | W | 0 - 5 |
FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Borussia Mönchengladbach | W | 3 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 1 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A Hamburger SV | W | 0 - 5 |
| 29 Aug | H SC Paderborn 07 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | A Krieschow | W | 0 - 9 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: J. Lichte
1
Nicolas
4
Diks
5
Leszczyński
6
Itakura
26
Ullrich
16
Sander
38
Bolin
29
Scally
10
Neuhaus
9
Honorat
3
Lidberg
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Nicolas | G |
| 6 | K. Itakura | D |
| 5 | J. Leszczyński | D |
| 4 | K. Diks | D |
| 29 | J. Scally | M |
| 38 | H. Bolin | M |
| 16 | P. Sander | M |
| 26 | L. Ullrich | M |
| 9 | F. Honorat | M |
| 10 | F. Neuhaus | M |
| 3 | I. Lidberg | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | F. Chiarodia | D |
| 25 | R. Hack | M |
| 14 | D. Hashioka | D |
| 20 | D. Herold | D |
| 33 | D. Batz | G |
| 18 | S. Machino | F |
| 36 | W. Mohya | M |
| 34 | M. Nguefack | M |
| 7 | K. Stöger | M |
FSV Mainz 05
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: U. Fischer
1
Schwolow
48
Potulski
3
Gruber
4
Posch
2
Mwene
7
Jae-Sung
6
Sano
10
Amiri
19
Caci
23
Becker
9
Tietz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Schwolow | G |
| 4 | S. Posch | D |
| 3 | F. Gruber | D |
| 48 | K. Potulski | D |
| 19 | A. Caci | M |
| 10 | N. Amiri | M |
| 6 | K. Sano | M |
| 7 | Lee Jae-Sung | M |
| 2 | P. Mwene | M |
| 9 | P. Tietz | F |
| 23 | S. Becker | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | S. Bell | D |
| 21 | D. da Costa | D |
| 17 | B. Hollerbach | F |
| 40 | M. Kinzig | G |
| 11 | R. Königsdörffer | F |
| 15 | L. Maloney | M |
| 5 | E. Martel | M |
| 47 | R. Nakuzola | D |
| 20 | O. Ruoppi | M |