Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Prédiction

La Liga · Regular Season - 6

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Celta Vigo

Away

Prédiction IA Real Sociedad ou match nul

49%

28%

23%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo : Sportiko estime que Real Sociedad a 49% de chances de s'imposer, Celta Vigo 23% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 3 Sep 2026, 20:58.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Moins de 3,5 buts 72%
1st Half Over 0.5 70%

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Match Report

Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo played out a goalless draw at Anoeta in La Liga's sixth matchday, a result that reflected a largely uneventful contest despite a flurry of late activity. The first half was quiet, with Yangel Herrera picking up a yellow card in the 22nd minute the only notable moment before the break.

The second half brought more cards than chances. Yoel Lago and Marcos Alonso were both cautioned within five minutes of the restart, and a wave of substitutions from both sides around the hour mark failed to significantly alter the game's tempo. Celta Vigo were the more adventurous side, registering 16 total shots and 11 corners to Real Sociedad's seven shots and three corners, yet managed only five efforts on target and could not find a breakthrough.

The stats painted a picture of Celta's dominance in territory without the clinical edge to show for it. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Real Sociedad win as the most likely outcome at 49%, a call that ultimately fell short as neither side managed to score. Both teams take a point from a match that promised little and delivered accordingly.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yangel Herrera Yellow Card

22' ▮

HT 0–0

▮ 52'

Yoel Lago Yellow Card

▮ 57'

Marcos Alonso Yellow Card

Yangel Herrera ⇄ Jon Gorrotxategi

61' ⇄

Takefusa Kubo ⇄ Luka Sučić

61' ⇄

⇄ 63'

Andrés Antañón ⇄ Pablo Durán

⇄ 63'

Williot Swedberg ⇄ Iago Aspas

⇄ 69'

Ferran Jutglà ⇄ Couhaib Driouech

Orri Steinn Óskarsson ⇄ Gonçalo Guedes

71' ⇄

Ander Barrenetxea ⇄ Alex Marchal

71' ⇄

▮ 79'

Couhaib Driouech Yellow Card

Luka Sučić Yellow Card

81' ▮

⇄ 84'

Alvaro Núñez ⇄ Javi Galán

⇄ 84'

Javier Rueda ⇄ Javi Rodríguez

Beñat Turrientes ⇄ Carlos Soler

88' ⇄

FT 0–0

Real Sociedad

Match Stats

Celta Vigo

51% Ball Possession 49%

16 Total Shots 7

5 Shots on Goal 2

3 Shots off Goal 3

8 Blocked Shots 2

6 Shots insidebox 3

10 Shots outsidebox 4

11 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 1

15 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

527 Total passes 521

452 Passes accurate 451

11 Free Kicks 15

Real Sociedad

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Álex Remiro G	7.4	90'	–	–	–	41 (32%)	–
2 Jon Aramburu D	7.3	90'	–	–	1	56 (49%)	6
17 Sergio Gómez D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	64 (55%)	2
5 Igor Zubeldia D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	55 (51%)	2
11 Gonçalo Guedes F	6.9	19'	–	–	2	3 (3%)	–
6 Jon Martin D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	69 (68%)	–
8 Beñat Turrientes M	6.8	88'	–	–	2	48 (42%)	2
18 Carlos Soler M	6.7	2'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
29 Alex Marchal F	6.6	19'	–	–	2	10 (10%)	–
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M	6.5	90'	–	–	2	31 (25%)	1
21 Yangel Herrera M	6.5	61'	–	–	1	44 (35%)	3
24 Luka Sučić M	6.4	29'	–	–	2	16 (13%)	–
7 Ander Barrenetxea M	6.4	71'	–	–	1	26 (20%)	1
9 Orri Steinn Óskarsson F	6.3	71'	–	–	1	10 (6%)	–
14 Takefusa Kubo M	6.2	61'	–	–	1	25 (18%)	–
4 Jon Gorrotxategi M	6.1	29'	–	–	–	17 (17%)	–

Celta Vigo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Ionuț Radu G	8.0	90'	–	–	–	29 (20%)	–
15 Alvaro Núñez D	7.0	84'	–	–	1	74 (70%)	1
22 Javi Galán D	6.9	6'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	1
3 Marcos Alonso D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	82 (75%)	2
5 Sergio Carreira M	6.8	90'	–	–	–	58 (51%)	–
6 Ilaix Moriba M	6.7	90'	–	–	2	47 (45%)	2
18 Yoel Lago D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	43 (41%)	–
9 Ferran Jutglà F	6.5	69'	–	–	–	15 (9%)	–
28 Andrés Antañón F	6.5	63'	–	–	1	14 (10%)	–
17 Javier Rueda M	6.4	84'	–	–	1	35 (29%)	2
8 Miguel Román M	6.4	90'	–	–	–	38 (33%)	–
24 Couhaib Driouech F	6.3	21'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	3
11 Pablo Durán F	6.3	27'	–	–	–	16 (10%)	1
19 Williot Swedberg F	6.2	63'	–	–	–	17 (10%)	1
10 Iago Aspas F	6.2	27'	–	–	2	23 (23%)	–
20 Javi Rodríguez D	6.1	6'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Real Sociedad ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Real Sociedad

WLLWD

Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Last 3 meetings Real Sociedad · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In this La Liga matchup, Real Sociedad will face Celta Vigo with both teams looking to solidify their positions in the league. Sociedad has been strong at home, leveraging their solid defensive record, having conceded only 1 goal per game on average this season. Celta Vigo, while capable of creating chances, has struggled with consistency, particularly in away games, averaging just 0.8 points per game on the road. Key players like Mikel Oyarzabal for Sociedad and Iago Aspas for Celta will be crucial in influencing the match outcome. Expect a tactical battle as both teams aim to control possession and exploit any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

23%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celta Vigo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	1
1	9	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Real Sociedad goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 3 gls

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	5.6%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.4%	13.3%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.7%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.0%	5.3%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.1%	2.2%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Real Sociedad	Draw	Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad	33.6%	5.2%	1.9%
Draw	15.1%	17.0%	10.1%
Celta Vigo	1.8%	3.5%	11.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo

1 Real Sociedad Wins

1 Draws

1 Celta Vigo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jan 2026	Real Sociedad	3 - 1	Celta Vigo
19 Oct 2025	Celta Vigo	1 - 1	Real Sociedad
13 May 2025	Real Sociedad	0 - 1	Celta Vigo

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Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valencia	W	2 - 3
17 Sep	H Bournemouth	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	L	0 - 3
07 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	0 - 0

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: David Pagou

13 Radu

3 Alonso

18 Lago

15 Núñez

5 Carreira

6 Moriba

8 Román

17 Rueda

19 Swedberg

9 Jutglà

28 Antañón

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	I. Radu	G
15	Álvaro Núñez	D
18	Yoel Lago	D
3	Marcos Alonso	D
17	Javi Rueda	M
8	Miguel Román	M
6	I. Moriba	M
5	Sergio Carreira	M
28	Andrés Antañón	F
9	Ferran Jutglà	F
19	W. Swedberg	F

Substitutes

2	C. Starfelt	D
1	A. Bayındır	G
4	A. Faye	D
20	Javi Rodríguez	D
22	Javi Galán	D
16	Hugo González	M
30	H. Burcio	M
23	Hugo Álvarez	M
24	C. Driouech	F
39	J. El Abdellaoui	F
10	Iago Aspas	F
11	Pablo Durán	F

Real Sociedad

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: P. Matarazzo

1 Remiro

17 Gómez

6 Martín

5 Zubeldia

2 Aramburu

8 Turrientes

21 Herrera

7 Barrenetxea

10 Oyarzabal

14 Kubo

9 Óskarsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Álex Remiro	G
2	J. Aramburu	D
5	Zubeldia	D
6	Jon Martín	D
17	Sergio Gómez	D
21	Y. Herrera	M
8	Beñat Turrientes	M
14	T. Kubo	M
10	Mikel Oyarzabal	M
7	Barrenetxea	M
9	O. Óskarsson	F

Substitutes

19	M. Sarr	D
18	Carlos Soler	M
12	J. Ochieng	F
24	L. Sučić	M
23	A. Zakharyan	M
3	Aihen Muñoz	D
34	Luken Beitia	D
22	Héctor Fort	D
4	Jon Gorrotxategi	M
11	Gonçalo Guedes	F
29	Alex Garcia	F
13	Unai Marrero	G