Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Prédiction

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 4
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Prédiction IA Atletico Madrid ou match nul
31%
29%
40%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid : Sportiko estime que Athletic Club a 31% de chances de s'imposer, Atletico Madrid 40% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 5 Sep 2026, 16:18.

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  • Moins de 3,5 buts 72%
  • L'équipe à domicile marque 71%
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Match Report

Athletic Club produced a dominant second-half display to dismantle Atletico Madrid 3–0 at San Mamés, handing the visitors a comprehensive La Liga defeat. The first half was goalless and relatively even, though Athletic controlled possession and created the better opportunities, with Atletico's Kang-in Lee picking up a yellow card late in the period.

The game turned decisively in the opening minutes after the break. Nico Williams broke the deadlock in the 46th minute, and Robert Navarro doubled the advantage just two minutes later, stunning Atletico before they had time to regroup. Atletico responded with a flurry of substitutions around the hour mark, sending on Lookman, Hjulmand, and Giuliano Simeone, but the changes failed to shift the momentum. Athletic finished the job in stoppage time when Oihan Sancet added a third to seal the scoreline.

Athletic's 62% possession and eight corner kicks underlined their territorial superiority throughout. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atletico win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that proved well wide of the mark on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 39'
Kang-in Lee Yellow Card
Yeray Álvarez ⇄ Aitor Paredes
45' ⇄
HT 0–0
Nico Williams
46' ⚽ 1–0
Robert Navarro assist: Iñaki Williams
48' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 58'
Ademola Lookman ⇄ Arnau Ortiz
⇄ 59'
Morten Hjulmand ⇄ Koke
⇄ 59'
Giuliano Simeone ⇄ Cristian Romero
⇄ 59'
Kang-in Lee ⇄ Julián Alvarez
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta ⇄ Mikel Jauregizar
60' ⇄
Robert Navarro ⇄ Johaneko Louis Jean
66' ⇄
Iñaki Williams ⇄ Álex Berenguer
66' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Alex Baena ⇄ Johnny Cardoso
Nico Williams ⇄ Gorka Guruzeta
76' ⇄
Oihan Sancet
90' ⚽ 3–0
FT 3–0
Athletic Club

Match Stats

Atletico Madrid
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 9
3 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Corner Kicks 8
0 Offsides 2
8 Fouls 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
385 Total passes 633
314 Passes accurate 571
6 Free Kicks 6
Athletic Club
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Robert Navarro M 8.2 66' 1 – 2 21 (17%) 4
10 Nico Williams M 8.1 76' 1 – 2 18 (12%) 1
8 Oihan Sancet M 8.0 90' 1 – 3 23 (16%) –
1 Unai Simón G 7.9 90' – – – 47 (34%) –
4 Aitor Paredes D 7.6 44' – – – 22 (21%) 2
14 Aymeric Laporte D 7.5 90' – – – 58 (54%) –
17 Yuri Berchiche D 7.4 90' – – – 35 (31%) –
31 Johaneko Louis Jean D 7.3 24' – – – 8 (5%) 1
16 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta M 7.2 60' – – – 33 (29%) –
9 Iñaki Williams F 7.1 66' – 1 3 11 (8%) 1
18 Mikel Jauregizar M 7.1 30' – – 1 14 (14%) 3
5 Yeray Álvarez D 7.0 46' – – – 33 (28%) –
24 Beñat Gerenabarrena M 6.8 90' – – – 22 (19%) 3
12 Jesús Areso D 6.7 90' – – – 34 (20%) 4
7 Álex Berenguer F 6.6 24' – – – 4 (4%) 1
11 Gorka Guruzeta F 6.5 14' – – – 2 (2%) 1
Atletico Madrid
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Marc Pubill D 7.1 90' – – – 83 (78%) 3
8 Pablo Barrios M 7.1 90' – – 2 71 (67%) 2
14 Marcos Llorente D 7.0 90' – – 2 68 (63%) –
19 Julián Alvarez F 6.9 31' – – 1 16 (16%) –
22 Alejandro Grimaldo D 6.7 90' – – 1 54 (47%) 3
6 Koke M 6.7 31' – – – 42 (41%) –
10 Alex Baena F 6.6 76' – – 2 29 (24%) –
17 Dávid Hancko D 6.6 90' – – – 73 (66%) –
21 Cristian Romero D 6.5 31' – – 1 36 (33%) –
7 Kang-in Lee F 6.4 59' – – 2 23 (18%) –
5 Johnny Cardoso M 6.3 14' – – – 25 (23%) –
16 Arnau Ortiz F 6.3 32' – – 1 5 (5%) –
23 Morten Hjulmand M 6.2 59' – – – 35 (28%) –
20 Giuliano Simeone M 6.1 59' – – 2 34 (28%) –
13 Jan Oblak G 5.8 90' – – – 19 (15%) –
11 Ademola Lookman M 5.7 58' – – 1 14 (13%) –
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Atletico Madrid ou match nul
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Athletic Club
DDWWL
Atletico Madrid
WWWLL
Last 3 meetings Athletic Club · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this La Liga clash, Athletic Club faces Atletico Madrid, two teams with contrasting styles. Athletic Club typically excels in high-pressing and physical play, while Atletico Madrid is known for its defensive solidity and counter-attacking prowess. As of the latest data, Atletico has a strong away record, often capitalizing on opponent errors. Athletic will need to leverage their midfield strength to disrupt Atletico's rhythm. The outcome may hinge on set-pieces and the ability of both teams to convert chances created.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Athletic Club

No scorer data.

Atletico Madrid
Álex Baena 4 gls
J. David 3 gls

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Head to Head: Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid

1 Athletic Club Wins
0 Draws
2 Atletico Madrid Wins
Date Home Score Away
25 Apr 2026 Atletico Madrid 3 - 2 Athletic Club
06 Dec 2025 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Atletico Madrid
01 Mar 2025 Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Alaves D 0 - 0
12 Sep H Elche D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Atletico Madrid W 3 - 0
30 Aug A Celta Vigo W 0 - 2
27 Aug A Barcelona L 2 - 0

Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Real Madrid W 2 - 1
16 Sep H Osasuna W 4 - 0
13 Sep A Real Sociedad W 0 - 3
09 Sep A Liverpool L 2 - 1
05 Sep A Athletic Club L 3 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Atletico Madrid

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: D. Simeone
13 Oblak
22 Grimaldo
17 Hancko
18 Pubill
14 Llorente
11 Lookman
23 Hjulmand
8 Barrios
20 Simeone
10 Baena
7 Kang-In

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 J. Oblak G
14 Marcos Llorente D
18 Marc Pubill D
17 D. Hancko D
22 Álex Grimaldo D
20 G. Simeone M
8 Pablo Barrios M
23 M. Hjulmand M
11 A. Lookman M
7 Lee Kang-In F
10 Álex Baena F

Substitutes

24 Robin Le Normand D
21 C. Romero D
27 J. Dominguez D
6 Koke M
5 J. Cardoso M
16 Arnau Ortiz F
4 Rodrigo Mendoza M
46 J. Castillo M
15 J. David F
19 J. Álvarez F
1 J. Musso G
30 Dani Martínez D

Athletic Club

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: E. Terzić
1 Simón
17 Yuri
14 Laporte
5 Yeray
12 Areso
24 Gerenabarrena
16 Galarreta
10 Williams
8 Sancet
23 Navarro
9 Williams

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Unai Simón G
12 Jesús Areso D
5 Yeray D
14 Aymeric Laporte D
17 Yuri D
16 Ruíz de Galarreta M
24 Beñat Gerenabarrena M
23 Robert Navarro M
8 Oihan Sancet M
10 Nico Williams M
9 I. Williams F

Substitutes

31 J. Louis-Jean D
13 Álex Padilla G
15 Hugo Rincón D
30 Iker Monreal D
4 Aitor Paredes D
6 Beñat Prados M
20 Alejandro Rego M
18 Mikel Jauregizar M
44 S. Sanchez M
7 Álex Berenguer F
11 Gorka Guruzeta F
21 Maroan Sannadi F

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