Real Madrid vs Malaga Prédiction

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
Prédiction IA Real Madrid gagnant
84%
11%
5%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Real Madrid vs Malaga : Sportiko estime que Real Madrid a 84% de chances de s'imposer, Malaga 5% et le match nul 11%. Dernière mise à jour : 30 Aug 2026, 16:58.

Pronostics Premium

Premium
  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 76%
  • Home 1H Over 0.5 72%
Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi. Voir les sélections Premium

Timeline

Jude Bellingham
19' ⚽ 1–0
Alfonso Herrero Own Goal
26' ⚽ 2–0
Kylian Mbappé assist: Trent Alexander-Arnold
30' ⚽ 3–0
HT 3–0
⇄ 46'
Rafa Rodriguez ⇄ Pablo Martínez
⇄ 61'
Joaquín Muñoz ⇄ Juan Cruz
⇄ 61'
Carlos Puga ⇄ Jose Salinas
Brahim Díaz ⇄ Yan Diomande
65' ⇄
▮ 66'
Chupete Yellow Card
⇄ 74'
Einar Galilea ⇄ Haitam Abaida
Federico Valverde ⇄ Bernardo Silva
77' ⇄
Jude Bellingham ⇄ Arda Güler
87' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Izan Merino ⇄ Ramón Enríquez
Arda Güler assist: Vinícius Júnior
90+1' ⚽ 4–0
▮ 90+3'
Ramón Enríquez Yellow Card
FT 4–0
Real Madrid

Match Stats

Malaga
57% Ball Possession 43%
2.34 Expected Goals (xG) 0.67
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 7
6 Blocked Shots 5
13 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 8
8 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
6 Fouls 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
596 Total passes 446
546 Passes accurate 392
92% Passes % 88%
-0.06 goals_prevented -0.06
Real Madrid
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Kylian Mbappé F 8.9 92' 1 – 3 34 (30%) –
5 Jude Bellingham M 8.5 87' 1 – 5 38 (36%) 2
12 Trent Alexander-Arnold D 7.6 92' – 1 2 96 (87%) –
7 Vinícius Júnior M 7.5 92' – 1 – 30 (25%) –
15 Arda Güler M 7.3 5' 1 – 1 1 (1%) –
17 Marc Cucurella D 7.3 92' – – – 50 (45%) 4
22 Antonio Rüdiger D 7.2 92' – – – 82 (79%) –
8 Federico Valverde M 7.0 77' – – – 56 (50%) –
25 Yan Diomande F 6.9 27' – – – 13 (12%) –
4 Dean Huijsen D 6.9 92' – – – 54 (50%) 3
21 Brahim Díaz M 6.7 65' – – – 27 (27%) –
1 Thibaut Courtois G 6.6 92' – – – 35 (31%) –
6 Eduardo Camavinga M 6.6 92' – – – 71 (64%) 2
20 Bernardo Silva M 6.3 15' – – – 9 (9%) 1
Malaga
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Alfonso Herrero G 6.7 92' – – – 21 (18%) –
10 David Larrubia M 6.6 92' – – 1 31 (25%) 3
9 Chupete F 6.6 92' – – 2 18 (15%) –
8 Carlos Dotor F 6.6 92' – – – 56 (51%) 2
7 Haitam Abaida F 6.6 18' – – – 6 (5%) –
23 Izan Merino M 6.5 87' – – – 52 (46%) 1
11 Joaquín Muñoz M 6.5 61' – – 1 18 (17%) –
19 Juan Cruz M 6.5 31' – – 1 10 (9%) 1
12 Jose Salinas D 6.3 32' – – – 13 (12%) –
18 Pablo Martínez M 6.3 47' – – – 32 (30%) –
3 Carlos Puga D 6.3 60' – – – 29 (22%) 3
15 Ángel Recio D 6.3 92' – – – 39 (32%) 2
4 Einar Galilea D 6.2 74' – – – 34 (33%) –
14 Rafa Rodriguez M 6.2 45' – – 3 30 (25%) 1
31 Rafa Garrido D 5.9 92' – – – 52 (47%) 1
6 Ramón Enríquez M — 5' – – – 5 (5%) –
Premium

Accéder à l'analyse complète de l'IA pour Real Madrid vs Malaga

  • Tous les 70+ marchés de probabilité
  • Rapport de match — Analyse approfondie IA
  • Avantage Analytique — modèle vs marché
  • Types de sélections que vous choisissez
Confidence High (84%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Real Madrid gagnant
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Real Madrid
LWWWL
Malaga
LLDDL
Last 3 meetings Real Madrid · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In this La Liga matchup, Real Madrid will host Malaga. Real Madrid has consistently shown strong attacking prowess, averaging 2.5 goals per match last season, while Malaga struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The midfield battle will be crucial, as Real Madrid's possession-based game can exploit Malaga's weaknesses in transition. Additionally, Real Madrid's depth in squad quality gives them an edge in both starting eleven and substitutes. Expect a dynamic game with Real Madrid likely pushing for a dominant performance.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Real Madrid
Kylian Mbappé 7 gls
J. Bellingham 3 gls
Malaga

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Real Madrid vs Malaga

3 Real Madrid Wins
0 Draws
0 Malaga Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Apr 2018 Malaga 1 - 2 Real Madrid
25 Nov 2017 Real Madrid 3 - 2 Malaga
21 May 2017 Malaga 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Atletico Madrid L 2 - 1
15 Sep A Elche W 2 - 3
12 Sep H Rayo Vallecano W 4 - 1
08 Sep H Inter W 2 - 1
04 Sep A Real Betis L 1 - 0

Malaga — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Getafe L 1 - 0
17 Sep H Villarreal L 1 - 3
13 Sep A Celta Vigo D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Levante D 0 - 0
30 Aug A Real Madrid L 4 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Real Madrid

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: José Mourinho
1 Courtois
17 Cucurella
4 Huijsen
22 Rüdiger
12 Alexander-Arnold
6 Camavinga
8 Valverde
7 Júnior
5 Bellingham
21 Díaz
10 Mbappé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Thibaut Courtois G
12 Trent Alexander-Arnold D
22 Antonio Rüdiger D
4 Dean Huijsen D
17 Marc Cucurella D
8 Federico Valverde M
6 Eduardo Camavinga M
21 Brahim Díaz M
5 Jude Bellingham M
7 Vinícius Júnior M
10 Kylian Mbappé F

Substitutes

25 Yan Diomande F
13 Andriy Lunin G
31 Javi Navarro G
16 Ibrahima Konaté D
18 Álvaro Carreras D
33 Mario Rivas D
24 Denzel Dumfries D
20 Bernardo Silva M
15 Arda Güler M
29 Jorge Cestero M
36 Alexis Ciria M
19 Carlos Espí F

Malaga

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Juan Funes
1 Herrero
31 Garrido
4 Galilea
15 Recio
3 Puga
11 Muñoz
23 Merino
14 Rodriguez
10 Larrubia
8 Dotor
9 Chupete

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Carlos Puga D
15 Ángel Recio D
4 Einar Galilea D
31 Rafa Garrido D
10 David Larrubia M
14 Rafa Rodriguez M
23 Izan Merino M
11 Joaquín Muñoz M
9 Chupete F
8 Carlos Dotor F

Substitutes

18 Pablo Martínez M
12 Jose Salinas D
19 Juan Cruz M
13 Carlos Lopez G
5 Álex Pastor D
28 Joseph Otunenche M
6 Ramón Enríquez M
32 Juan Fernandéz F
24 Julen Lobete F
7 Haitam Abaida F
17 Eneko Jauregi F

Assistant Sportiko

Fonctionnalités, le concours ou le football

Inscrivez-vous gratuitement pour discuter avec l'Assistant Sportiko — posez vos questions sur les prédictions, le concours, tout ce qui touche au football.

Inscription gratuite Vous avez déjà un compte ? Connectez-vous