Racing Santander vs Elche Prédiction

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA Racing Santander ou match nul
43%
30%
27%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Racing Santander vs Elche : Sportiko estime que Racing Santander a 43% de chances de s'imposer, Elche 27% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 28 Aug 2026, 18:58.

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Match Report

Racing Santander secured a dramatic 3–2 home victory over Elche in La Liga's third round of the regular season, with the match's defining moment arriving well before the break. Yassir Zabiri produced a stunning first-half hat-trick, netting in the 15th, 21st and 36th minutes to put Racing firmly in control, and the hosts entered half-time with a commanding 3–0 lead despite yellow cards for Facundo González and Alvaro Mantilla in the closing stages of the half.

The second half told a very different story. Elche rallied through a double substitution at the break and gradually clawed their way back into the contest, with Buba Sangare and Fernando Niño scoring in the 78th and 79th minutes respectively to set up a tense finale. Racing's possession advantage of 60–40 and ten corner kicks to Elche's five reflected their overall territorial dominance, though the expected goals figures of 0.99 to 1.50 underlined how Elche created the sharper opportunities across the full ninety minutes.

Ultimately, Racing held on to claim all three points. The result aligned with our pre-match AI model, which had identified a Racing win as the most likely outcome at 43%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yassir Zabiri
15' ⚽ 1–0
Yassir Zabiri
21' ⚽ 2–0
Yassir Zabiri assist: Iñigo Vicente
36' ⚽ 3–0
Facundo González Yellow Card
43' ▮
Alvaro Mantilla Yellow Card
45' ▮
HT 3–0
⇄ 46'
Ali Houary ⇄ Ezequiel Ponce
⇄ 46'
Marc Aguado ⇄ Tete Morente
Andrés Martín ⇄ Matteo Prati
59' ⇄
⇄ 62'
Pedro Bigas ⇄ Javi Morcillo
▮ 63'
Facundo Buonanotte Yellow Card
Iñigo Vicente ⇄ Giorgi Guliashvili
69' ⇄
Yassir Zabiri ⇄ Asier Villalibre
69' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Facundo Buonanotte ⇄ Lucas Cepeda
⚽ 3–1 78'
Buba Sangare assist: Lucas Cepeda
⚽ 3–2 79'
Fernando Niño assist: Tete Morente
⇄ 84'
Buba Sangare ⇄ Josan
Sergio Canales ⇄ Maguette Gueye
85' ⇄
FT 3–2
Racing Santander

Match Stats

Elche
40% Ball Possession 60%
1.50 Expected Goals (xG) 0.99
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 6
9 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 8
5 Corner Kicks 10
3 Offsides 1
16 Fouls 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
376 Total passes 546
302 Passes accurate 474
80% Passes % 87%
-1.03 goals_prevented -1.03
Racing Santander
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Yassir Zabiri F 10.0 69' 3 – 3 8 (5%) 1
8 Gustavo Puerta M 7.7 94' – – – 62 (53%) 3
10 Iñigo Vicente M 7.6 69' – 1 – 52 (40%) 1
11 Andrés Martín M 7.5 59' – – – 17 (14%) 1
23 Iván Martín M 7.2 94' – – 1 42 (38%) 3
13 Julen Agirrezabala G 7.0 94' – – – 18 (13%) –
12 Asier Villalibre F 7.0 25' – – 1 5 (3%) –
20 Sergio Canales M 6.9 85' – – 4 43 (34%) –
4 Manu Hernando D 6.9 94' – – – 19 (18%) 2
2 Alvaro Mantilla D 6.5 94' – – – 33 (25%) 2
18 Matteo Prati M 6.3 35' – – – 15 (10%) –
14 Maguette Gueye M 6.3 9' – – – 2 (1%) –
16 Facundo González D 6.2 94' – – – 36 (31%) –
7 Giorgi Guliashvili F 6.2 25' – – – 2 (1%) –
17 Jorge Salinas D 5.9 94' – – 1 22 (16%) 5
Elche
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Fernando Niño F 7.5 94' 1 – 3 13 (12%) 1
22 David Affengruber D 7.0 94' – – 1 75 (69%) 1
2 Buba Sangare D 6.9 84' 1 – 1 35 (31%) 4
20 Tete Morente F 6.9 49' – 1 1 32 (27%) 1
12 Gonzalo Villar M 6.9 94' – – 1 54 (46%) 2
23 Víctor Chust D 6.9 94' – – 1 92 (86%) 2
17 Josan M 6.7 10' – – – 8 (6%) –
9 Ezequiel Ponce F 6.6 49' – – – 5 (4%) –
1 Matías Dituro G 6.5 94' – – – 34 (24%) –
6 Pedro Bigas D 6.3 62' – – – 45 (40%) –
21 Lucas Cepeda F 6.3 25' – 1 – 18 (16%) –
10 Facundo Buonanotte M 6.3 69' – – 2 27 (20%) 3
47 Javi Morcillo M 6.2 32' – – – 16 (16%) –
8 Marc Aguado M 6.2 45' – – – 25 (23%) –
11 Germán Valera D 5.9 94' – – – 43 (39%) –
29 Ali Houary M 5.9 45' – – 1 24 (15%) –
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Racing Santander ou match nul
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Racing Santander
LLWLW
Elche
WLDLL

Match summary

Racing Santander will face Elche in an upcoming La Liga clash. Santander has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Elche has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per game. A key battle will be in midfield, where both teams' ability to control possession could dictate the match tempo. If Santander can exploit Elche's defensive vulnerabilities, they could secure a crucial victory. The match will be pivotal for both teams in their quest for points as the season progresses.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
27%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Racing Santander
M. Zabiri 6 gls
Elche
Fer Niño 5 gls

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Head to Head: Racing Santander vs Elche

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Racing Santander — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Celta Vigo L 5 - 0
16 Sep A Barcelona L 7 - 2
12 Sep H Alaves W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Rayo Vallecano L 3 - 2
28 Aug H Elche W 3 - 2

Elche — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Espanyol W 1 - 3
15 Sep H Real Madrid L 2 - 3
12 Sep A Athletic Club D 1 - 1
07 Sep H Real Sociedad L 2 - 3
28 Aug A Racing Santander L 3 - 2

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Elche

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Martin Anselmi
1 Dituro
11 Valera
6 Bigas
23 Chust
22 Affengruber
2 Sangaré
29 Houary
8 Aguado
12 Villar
10 Buonanotte
14 Niño

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Matías Dituro G
2 Buba Sangaré D
22 David Affengruber D
23 Víctor Chust D
6 Pedro Bigas D
11 Germán Valera D
10 Facundo Buonanotte M
12 Gonzalo Villar M
8 Marc Aguado M
29 Ali Houary M
14 Fernando Niño F

Substitutes

20 Tete Morente F
9 Ezequiel Ponce F
47 Javi Morcillo M
21 Lucas Cepeda F
43 Alejandro Iturbe G
26 Matia Barzić D
16 Martim Neto M
5 Federico Redondo M
17 Josan M
19 Grady Diangana F
30 Alvaro Padilla F
24 Abiel Osorio F

Racing Santander

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Jose Lopez
13 Agirrezabala
17 Salinas
16 González
4 Hernando
2 Mantilla
8 Puerta
23 Martín
10 Vicente
20 Canales
11 Martín
21 Zabiri

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Julen Agirrezabala G
2 Alvaro Mantilla D
4 Manu Hernando D
16 Facundo González D
17 Jorge Salinas D
23 Iván Martín M
8 Gustavo Puerta M
11 Andrés Martín M
20 Sergio Canales M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
21 Yassir Zabiri F

Substitutes

18 Matteo Prati M
7 Giorgi Guliashvili F
12 Asier Villalibre F
1 Simon Eriksson G
5 Pablo Ramón D
30 Carlos Sánchez D
36 Sergio Martinez M
34 Diego Díaz M
14 Maguette Gueye M
6 Íñigo Sáinz-Maza M
38 Hugo Pérez F
9 Juan Carlos Arana F

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