Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche Prédiction

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

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Elche

Away

Prédiction IA Deportivo La Coruna ou match nul

42%

31%

26%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche : Sportiko estime que Deportivo La Coruna a 42% de chances de s'imposer, Elche 26% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 17 Aug 2026, 20:58.

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L'équipe à domicile marque 72%
1st Half Draw or Away 71%

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Match Report

Deportivo La Coruna took the lead early at home when Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang struck in the 21st minute, giving the hosts a deserved advantage they carried into half-time. La Coruna dominated possession throughout, finishing the match with 62% of the ball and an expected goals figure of 1.41 compared to Elche's modest 0.23, reflecting their clear territorial superiority.

Elche, however, refused to capitulate and drew level through Marc Aguado in the 76th minute, cancelling out Aubameyang's opener and denying La Coruna all three points. A flurry of substitutions from both sides in the second half failed to shift the outcome, and four yellow cards across the 90 minutes added some edge to the contest.

The final scoreline of 1–1 means La Coruna must settle for a single point from their opening La Liga fixture, despite creating the better opportunities. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Deportivo La Coruna win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that reflected the home side's dominance even if the result ultimately eluded them.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang assist: Lorenzo Amatucci

21' ⚽ 1–0

Ximo Navarro Yellow Card

27' ▮

Lorenzo Amatucci Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

HT 1–0

Jonathan Asp Jensen ⇄ Diego Villares

60' ⇄

Bil Nsongo ⇄ Zakaria Eddahchouri

60' ⇄

⇄ 60'

Martim Neto ⇄ Lucas Cepeda

⇄ 60'

Federico Redondo ⇄ Tete Morente

▮ 68'

Gonzalo Villar Yellow Card

⇄ 69'

Fernando Niño ⇄ Umaru Konare Tounkara

Adrià Altimira ⇄ Luismi Cruz

71' ⇄

Mario Soriano ⇄ David Mella

71' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 76'

Marc Aguado assist: Gonzalo Villar

⇄ 81'

Germán Valera ⇄ Álvaro Padilla

⇄ 81'

Ali Houary ⇄ Javi Morcillo

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang ⇄ Kevin Sánchez

85' ⇄

▮ 88'

Umaru Konare Tounkara Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Deportivo La Coruna

Match Stats

Elche

38% Ball Possession 62%

0.23 Expected Goals (xG) 1.41

7 Total Shots 11

3 Shots on Goal 6

3 Shots off Goal 2

1 Blocked Shots 3

5 Shots insidebox 7

2 Shots outsidebox 4

2 Corner Kicks 6

2 Offsides 0

15 Fouls 12

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

387 Total passes 637

317 Passes accurate 563

82% Passes % 88%

-0.57 goals_prevented -0.57

Deportivo La Coruna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F	7.6	85'	1	–	2	15 (11%)	–
13 Leo Román G	7.3	94'	–	–	–	31 (23%)	–
16 Lorenzo Amatucci M	7.3	94'	–	1	–	59 (51%)	2
22 Bright Ede D	7.0	94'	–	–	1	37 (32%)	2
21 Mario Soriano M	7.0	71'	–	–	–	41 (36%)	2
2 Adrià Altimira M	6.9	71'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	1
4 Lucas Noubi D	6.7	94'	–	–	–	53 (44%)	–
32 Bil Nsongo M	6.6	60'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	2
8 Diego Villares M	6.6	34'	–	–	–	29 (23%)	3
9 Zakaria Eddahchouri F	6.6	34'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	2
18 Jonathan Asp Jensen M	6.5	60'	–	–	1	9 (7%)	2
11 David Mella F	6.5	23'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	1
33 Kevin Sánchez F	6.3	9'	–	–	–	1	–
19 Luismi Cruz F	6.3	23'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	–
23 Ximo Navarro D	6.2	94'	–	–	–	35 (30%)	3
12 Giacomo Quagliata D	6.2	94'	–	–	–	29 (23%)	–

Elche

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Marc Aguado M	7.6	94'	1	–	1	65 (60%)	–
11 Germán Valera D	7.0	81'	–	–	–	35 (31%)	1
22 David Affengruber D	6.9	94'	–	–	1	88 (83%)	2
47 Javi Morcillo M	6.9	13'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	1
23 Víctor Chust D	6.9	94'	–	–	–	80 (71%)	2
20 Tete Morente F	6.7	34'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1
30 Álvaro Padilla F	6.7	13'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
12 Gonzalo Villar M	6.6	94'	–	1	2	71 (59%)	1
5 Federico Redondo D	6.6	60'	–	–	–	64 (60%)	1
29 Ali Houary M	6.6	81'	–	–	2	42 (37%)	2
21 Lucas Cepeda F	6.5	34'	–	–	1	20 (17%)	–
16 Martim Neto M	6.3	60'	–	–	–	24 (23%)	1
36 Umaru Konare Tounkara F	6.3	25'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
1 Matías Dituro G	6.2	94'	–	–	–	54 (40%)	–
2 Buba Sangare D	6.2	94'	–	–	–	44 (41%)	2
14 Fernando Niño F	6.2	69'	–	–	1	18 (13%)	1

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Deportivo La Coruna ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Deportivo La Coruna

DLDWW

Elche

WLDLL

Last 2 meetings Deportivo La Coruna · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

Deportivo La Coruna faces Elche in an intriguing La Liga clash. Deportivo has shown a solid defensive record in recent matches, conceding only 1.2 goals per game in their last five outings. Elche, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.8 goals per match in their last five, which may hinder their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Both teams will need to focus on midfield control, but Deportivo's stronger home form could give them the edge in this matchup. Expect a closely contested game, but Deportivo's defense may prove crucial in securing a favorable result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Elche goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	13	15	6	2
2	9	8	4	1
3	4	4	2
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Deportivo La Coruna goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Deportivo La Coruna

P. Aubameyang 5 gls

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

31%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

31%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.0%	8.4%	4.5%	1.3%	0.3%
1	12.9%	14.7%	5.8%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.4%	8.4%	3.7%	1.1%	0.3%
3	4.1%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.3%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Deportivo La Coruna	Draw	Elche
Deportivo La Coruna	25.0%	3.3%	0.8%
Draw	18.1%	21.6%	8.8%
Elche	2.2%	4.9%	15.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche

1 Deportivo La Coruna Wins

0 Draws

1 Elche Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Apr 2015	Elche	4 - 0	Deportivo La Coruna
15 Dec 2014	Deportivo La Coruna	1 - 0	Elche

Deportivo La Coruna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Betis	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Sevilla	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Villarreal	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Valencia	W	3 - 1

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Elche

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Martin Anselmi

1 Dituro

11 Valera

23 Chust

5 Redondo

22 Affengruber

2 Sangaré

29 Houary

8 Aguado

16 Neto

12 Villar

14 Niño

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Matías Dituro	G
2	Buba Sangaré	D
22	David Affengruber	D
5	Federico Redondo	D
23	Víctor Chust	D
11	Germán Valera	D
12	Gonzalo Villar	M
16	Martim Neto	M
8	Marc Aguado	M
29	Ali Houary	M
14	Fernando Niño	F

Substitutes

21	Lucas Cepeda	F
20	Tete Morente	F
36	Umaru Konare Tounkara	F
43	Alejandro Iturbe	G
6	Pedro Bigas	D
26	Matia Barzić	D
10	Facundo Buonanotte	M
17	Josan	M
33	Nordin Al Lal	F
47	Javi Morcillo	M
9	Ezequiel Ponce	F
30	Álvaro Padilla	F