Liverpool vs Manchester City Prédiction
Pronostic Liverpool vs Manchester City : Sportiko estime que Liverpool a 30% de chances de s'imposer, Manchester City 43% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 11 Oct 2026, 17:22.
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Match Report
Manchester City claimed a commanding 3–0 victory at Anfield, with the game's decisive moments arriving in the second half following a goalless opening 45 minutes. Liverpool's afternoon unravelled when Ryan Gravenberch, already on a yellow card from the 47th minute, was dismissed in the 62nd minute, leaving the hosts to defend with ten men.
City wasted little time exploiting the numerical advantage. Erling Haaland broke the deadlock in the 65th minute, and Jeremy Doku doubled the lead just three minutes later. Rayan Cherki added a third in the 78th minute to seal a dominant win. The visitors controlled the contest throughout, finishing with 64% possession and an xG of 1.3 compared to Liverpool's 0.94, though Liverpool did edge City on shots on target, six to four.
The result was a significant statement from Manchester City, who were clinical once the red card shifted the balance. The pre-match AI model had rated a City win as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that proved well-founded.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Liverpool
Match Stats
Liverpool
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Rio Ngumoha F | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 10 Alexis Mac Allister M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 46 (39%) | 1 |
| 5 Jérémy Jacquet D | 6.5 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | 3 |
| 14 Federico Chiesa F | 6.4 | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 29 Bradley Barcola M | 6.3 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | 3 |
| 67 Lewis Koumas F | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 7 Florian Wirtz M | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 23 Victor Muñoz M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 30 Jeremie Frimpong D | 6.1 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 2 Joe Gomez D | 6.1 | 2' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 38 R. Gravenberch M | 6.0 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 6 Miloš Kerkez D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (21%) | 3 |
| 42 Trey Nyoni M | 5.9 | 24' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 33 Ronald Araújo D | 5.8 | 75' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | 1 |
| 4 V. van Dijk D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (43%) | – |
| 1 Alisson G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (16%) | – |
Manchester City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Rayan Cherki M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 67 (61%) | 3 |
| 1 Gianluigi Donnarumma G | 8.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (24%) | – |
| 11 Jérémy Doku F | 7.9 | 34' | 1 | – | 2 | 25 (20%) | – |
| 3 Rúben Dias D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (59%) | – |
| 5 Elliot Anderson M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 78 (71%) | 1 |
| 9 Erling Haaland F | 7.6 | 80' | 1 | – | 2 | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 6 Marc Guéhi D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (71%) | 1 |
| 24 Joško Gvardiol D | 7.4 | 24' | – | 1 | 1 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 42 Antoine Semenyo M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (31%) | – |
| 17 Enzo Fernández M | 7.1 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 67 (60%) | 1 |
| 27 Matheus Nunes D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 2 |
| 32 Ayyoub Bouaddi M | 6.8 | 10' | – | – | 1 | 18 (17%) | – |
| 7 Iliman Ndiaye M | 6.7 | 56' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 33 Nico O'Reilly D | 6.5 | 66' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 1 |
| 37 Allan F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
A. Isak
6 gls
E. Haaland
9 gls
R. Cherki
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Liverpool vs Manchester City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Liverpool | 1 - 2 | Manchester City |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Manchester City | 3 - 0 | Liverpool |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Manchester City | 0 - 2 | Liverpool |
Liverpool — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | A Fenerbahçe | L | 3 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Arsenal | L | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Chelsea | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Brighton | W | 2 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Villarreal | W | 4 - 3 |
Manchester City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Nottingham Forest | L | 3 - 1 |
| 04 Nov | A RB Leipzig | W | 2 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | H Brighton | L | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Brighton | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Aston Villa | L | 2 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Liverpool
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alisson Becker | G |
| 33 | R. Araújo | D |
| 5 | J. Jacquet | D |
| 4 | V. van Dijk | D |
| 6 | M. Kerkez | D |
| 38 | R. Gravenberch | M |
| 10 | A. Mac Allister | M |
| 23 | Víctor Muñoz | M |
| 7 | F. Wirtz | M |
| 29 | B. Barcola | M |
| 67 | L. Koumas | F |
Substitutes
| 73 | R. Ngumoha | F |
| 14 | F. Chiesa | F |
| 42 | T. Nyoni | M |
| 3 | W. Endo | M |
| 30 | J. Frimpong | D |
| 21 | K. Tsimikas | D |
| 2 | J. Gomez | D |
| 25 | G. Mamardashvili | G |
| 53 | J. McConnell | M |
Manchester City
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: E. Maresca
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Donnarumma | G |
| 27 | Matheus Nunes | D |
| 3 | Rúben Dias | D |
| 6 | M. Guéhi | D |
| 33 | N. O'Reilly | D |
| 5 | E. Anderson | M |
| 17 | E. Fernández | M |
| 7 | I. Ndiaye | M |
| 10 | R. Cherki | M |
| 42 | A. Semenyo | M |
| 9 | E. Haaland | F |
Substitutes
| 37 | Allan | F |
| 32 | A. Bouaddi | M |
| 11 | J. Doku | F |
| 8 | M. Kovačić | M |
| 82 | R. Lewis | D |
| 45 | A. Khusanov | D |
| 24 | J. Gvardiol | D |
| 22 | Vitor Nunes | D |
| 28 | G. Rulli | G |