Fulham vs Manchester United Prédiction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Craven Cottage, London
Prédiction IA Manchester United ou match nul
28%
26%
46%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Fulham vs Manchester United : Sportiko estime que Fulham a 28% de chances de s'imposer, Manchester United 46% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Sep 2026, 17:21.

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Match Report

Fulham and Manchester United played out a 1–1 draw at Craven Cottage in a match that remained goalless at the break, with both sides picking up yellow cards late in the first half through Joshua King and Timothy Castagne respectively.

The deadlock was broken in unfortunate circumstances for Manchester United when Lisandro Martínez turned the ball into his own net on 63 minutes, handing Fulham the lead. A flurry of substitutions from both sides followed, and United drew level through Matheus Cunha with just a minute to spare in normal time, rescuing a point for the visitors. Rodrigo Muniz had been cautioned four minutes earlier as Fulham's defensive discipline came under pressure.

Despite the equaliser, the underlying numbers told a story of Fulham's dominance — the hosts enjoyed 57% possession, registered 29 total shots and won 13 corners to United's three. It was a result that perhaps reflected the balance of the contest, with United's pre-match AI model probability of 46% for a United win ultimately not materialising, the point representing a more modest return from a difficult away fixture.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Joshua King Yellow Card
45'
HT 0–0
Timothy Castagne Yellow Card
50'
Lisandro Martínez Own Goal
63' 1–0
Oscar Bobb ⇄ Kevin
71'
Alex Iwobi ⇄ César Palacios
71'
Sander Berge ⇄ Hugo Larsson
77'
77'
Marcus Rashford ⇄ Joshua Zirkzee
Gonzalo García ⇄ Rodrigo Muniz
80'
Joshua King ⇄ Joachim Andersen
80'
80'
Kobbie Mainoo ⇄ Mason Mount
84'
Luke Shaw ⇄ Patrick Dorgu
Rodrigo Muniz Yellow Card
85'
1–1 89'
Matheus Cunha assist: Patrick Dorgu
FT 1–1
Fulham

Match Stats

Manchester United
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 29
6 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 10
1 Blocked Shots 13
11 Shots insidebox 17
1 Shots outsidebox 12
3 Corner Kicks 13
1 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 6
448 Total passes 588
394 Passes accurate 527
5 Free Kicks 8
Fulham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Bernd Leno G 7.5 90' 45 (33%)
33 Antonee Robinson D 7.4 90' 34 (33%) 3
3 Calvin Bassey D 7.4 90' 1 61 (55%) 2
17 Alex Iwobi M 7.2 71' 2 36 (36%) 1
22 David Affengruber D 7.1 90' 64 (60%) 2
15 Hugo Larsson M 6.9 13' 5 (1%)
16 Sander Berge M 6.8 77' 1 45 (43%)
11 Kevin F 6.8 19' 1 3 (3%)
8 César Palacios M 6.6 19' 5 (5%) 1
24 Joshua King M 6.6 80' 3 30 (27%)
14 Oscar Bobb M 6.5 71' 1 25 (24%) 2
7 Gonzalo García F 6.5 80' 3 10 (6%)
9 Rodrigo Muniz F 6.4 10' 2 (2%)
19 Shea Charles M 6.3 90' 38 (32%) 2
5 Joachim Andersen D 6.2 10'
21 Timothy Castagne D 6.1 90' 44 (34%)
Manchester United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Matheus Cunha F 8.2 90' 1 3 27 (23%)
1 Senne Lammens G 7.5 90' 24 (18%)
5 Harry Maguire D 7.3 90' 1 70 (67%) 1
19 Bryan Mbeumo M 7.2 90' 5 36 (36%) 1
9 Marcus Rashford M 7.1 77' 6 35 (31%)
37 Kobbie Mainoo M 7.0 80' 1 67 (63%)
18 Youri Tielemans M 6.9 90' 1 74 (67%) 3
2 Diogo Dalot D 6.8 90' 2 48 (39%) 1
23 Luke Shaw D 6.7 84' 1 48 (43%)
6 Lisandro Martínez D 6.6 90' 4 83 (75%)
11 Joshua Zirkzee F 6.6 13' 4 (3%)
8 Bruno Fernandes M 6.5 90' 3 61 (51%) 1
7 Mason Mount M 6.4 10' 1 5 (5%)
13 Patrick Dorgu D 6.2 6' 1 1 6 (6%)
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Manchester United ou match nul
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Fulham
DWDLL
Manchester United
DLLWD
Last 3 meetings Fulham · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In this Premier League clash, Fulham will face Manchester United, showcasing two teams with contrasting styles. Fulham has typically leaned on a solid defensive structure, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match in the previous season, while Manchester United's attack has been potent, scoring around 1.8 goals per match. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where United's ability to control possession could dictate the tempo. Fulham will need to capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks to secure a positive result. Overall, this match promises to be an intriguing tactical contest between a disciplined Fulham side and a high-octane United attack.

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Fulham leads 1-0. Win probability: 79%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 21%.

63' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Fulham win: 70.3%. BTTS: 42.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 78.1%. Over 1.5 remaining: 49%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Fulham

No scorer data.

Manchester United
Bruno Fernandes 3 gls

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Head to Head: Fulham vs Manchester United

0 Fulham Wins
1 Draws
2 Manchester United Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Feb 2026 Manchester United 3 - 2 Fulham
24 Aug 2025 Fulham 1 - 1 Manchester United
26 Jan 2025 Fulham 0 - 1 Manchester United
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Fulham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Manchester United D 1 - 1
15 Sep A West Ham W 2 - 3
12 Sep A Liverpool D 0 - 0
05 Sep H Crystal Palace L 2 - 3
30 Aug A Sunderland L 1 - 0

Manchester United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Fulham D 1 - 1
16 Sep H Brighton L 2 - 3
13 Sep H Manchester City L 0 - 1
10 Sep H Sabah FA W 4 - 0
06 Sep A Everton D 2 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Manchester United

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Carrick
1 Lammens
23 Shaw
6 Martínez
5 Maguire
2 Dalot
18 Tielemans
37 Mainoo
9 Rashford
8 Fernandes
19 Mbeumo
10 Cunha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Lammens G
2 Diogo Dalot D
5 H. Maguire D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
23 L. Shaw D
37 K. Mainoo M
18 Y. Tielemans M
19 B. Mbeumo M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
9 M. Rashford M
10 Matheus Cunha F

Substitutes

11 J. Zirkzee F
20 C. Baleba M
12 K. Darlow G
13 P. Dorgu D
31 S. Lacey F
3 N. Mazraoui D
7 M. Mount M
17 Andrey Santos M
15 L. Yoro D

Fulham

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
1 Leno
33 Robinson
3 Bassey
22 Affengruber
21 Castagne
19 Charles
16 Berge
17 Iwobi
24 King
14 Bobb
7 García

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Leno G
21 T. Castagne D
22 D. Affengruber D
3 C. Bassey D
33 A. Robinson D
16 S. Berge M
19 S. Charles M
14 Oscar Bobb M
24 Joshua King M
17 A. Iwobi M
7 Gonzalo García F

Substitutes

32 E. Smith Rowe M
30 R. Sessegnon M
11 Kevin F
8 César Palacios M
9 Rodrigo Muniz F
20 Manuel Ángel M
23 B. Lecomte G
15 H. Larsson M
5 J. Andersen D

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