Manchester City vs Sunderland Prédiction

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Post on X

Sunderland

Away

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Prédiction IA Manchester City pour gagner ou match nul

69%

20%

11%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Manchester City vs Sunderland : Sportiko estime que Manchester City a 69% de chances de s'imposer, Sunderland 11% et le match nul 20%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Sep 2026, 15:00.

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Match Report

Manchester City edged past Sunderland in a breathless Premier League encounter that produced eight goals and rarely allowed either side to settle. Sunderland struck first through Enzo Fernández in the ninth minute, only for B. Brobbey to equalise almost immediately. Rayan Cherki put City ahead before Brobbey netted again to restore parity, leaving the score 2–2 heading into the final stages of the first half. Antoine Semenyo then struck on 43 minutes to give City a 3–2 lead at the break.

The second half continued in similarly frantic fashion. Semenyo doubled his tally on 57 minutes, and Brobbey completed his hat-trick two minutes later to make it 5–2, effectively settling the contest. Erling Haaland added a late goal, confirmed by VAR, to round off a comfortable victory for the hosts, though Sunderland's consolation efforts kept the scoreline respectable at 5–3.

Our pre-match AI model rated a Manchester City win as most likely at 69%, a call that proved correct. Despite Sunderland's nine shots on goal — more than City's six — the home side's clinical finishing proved the decisive factor across a high-tempo afternoon.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 8'

Dayann Methalie Yellow Card

Enzo Fernández

9' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 12'

B. Brobbey assist: Enzo Le Fée

Rayan Cherki assist: Antoine Semenyo

29' ⚽ 2–1

⚽ 2–2 33'

B. Brobbey assist: Thomas Meunier

Antoine Semenyo assist: Marc Guéhi

43' ⚽ 3–2

HT 3–2

Antoine Semenyo

57' ⚽ 4–2

⚽ 4–3 59'

B. Brobbey assist: Nilson Angulo

⇄ 60'

Nilson Angulo ⇄ Malick Fofana

⇄ 68'

Noah Sadiki ⇄ Wilson Isidor

Iliman Ndiaye ⇄ Jérémy Doku

75' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Thomas Meunier ⇄ Trai Hume

Erling Haaland assist: Joško Gvardiol

81' ⚽ 5–3

Erling Haaland Goal confirmed

83' 🖵

Rayan Cherki ⇄ Nico O'Reilly

85' ⇄

FT 5–3

Manchester City

Match Stats

Sunderland

55% Ball Possession 45%

16 Total Shots 17

6 Shots on Goal 9

5 Shots off Goal 5

5 Blocked Shots 3

12 Shots insidebox 14

4 Shots outsidebox 3

6 Corner Kicks 5

0 Offsides 0

14 Fouls 14

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

470 Total passes 385

403 Passes accurate 315

14 Free Kicks 14

Manchester City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
42 Antoine Semenyo M	9.0	90'	2	1	2	29 (29%)	2
10 Rayan Cherki M	8.0	85'	1	–	2	66 (59%)	–
9 Erling Haaland F	7.4	90'	1	–	4	13 (9%)	–
17 Enzo Fernández M	7.1	90'	1	–	1	54 (44%)	–
11 Jérémy Doku F	6.8	15'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
6 Marc Guéhi D	6.7	90'	–	1	1	57 (54%)	–
7 Iliman Ndiaye M	6.6	75'	–	–	2	33 (32%)	–
5 Elliot Anderson M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	72 (62%)	2
27 Matheus Nunes D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	58 (51%)	1
1 Gianluigi Donnarumma G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	24 (9%)	–
3 Rúben Dias D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	31 (27%)	–
24 Joško Gvardiol D	6.1	90'	–	1	–	25 (20%)	–
33 Nico O'Reilly D	5.7	5'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	1

Sunderland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 B. Brobbey F	9.7	90'	3	–	5	18 (15%)	–
28 Enzo Le Fée M	7.7	90'	–	1	–	27 (21%)	1
34 Granit Xhaka M	7.1	90'	–	–	–	47 (42%)	3
12 Thomas Meunier M	7.1	79'	–	1	–	23 (21%)	2
39 Malick Fofana F	6.6	30'	–	–	3	8 (5%)	2
18 Wilson Isidor F	6.3	22'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
10 Nilson Angulo M	6.2	60'	–	1	2	12 (11%)	–
20 Nordi Mukiele D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	35 (28%)	4
5 Daniel Ballard D	6.0	90'	–	–	2	34 (26%)	4
27 Noah Sadiki M	5.9	68'	–	–	1	31 (26%)	–
4 Kevin Danso D	5.8	90'	–	–	1	60 (49%)	–
6 Dayann Methalie D	5.7	90'	–	–	1	39 (35%)	1
32 Trai Hume D	5.7	11'	–	–	1	5 (5%)	1
22 R. Roefs G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	43 (29%)	–

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Confidence Medium (69%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Manchester City pour gagner ou match nul

Most likely score

2:0 · 11.6%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Manchester City

WWWWW

Sunderland

LWLWD

Last 3 meetings Manchester City · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Manchester City will face Sunderland in a Premier League clash on September 19, 2026. Manchester City boasts a strong offensive record, averaging 2.4 goals per match this season, and has a possession rate of around 65%. Sunderland, while showing improvement, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Set pieces and transitions could be crucial for Sunderland if they aim to capitalize on Manchester City's occasional defensive lapses. Overall, City’s attacking prowess and depth make them favorites to secure a win in this matchup.

Live insights

83' Goal 85% sure

Manchester City now leads 5-3 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 22%.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Manchester City leads 5-3. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Manchester City leads 4-3. Win probability: 91.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8.4%.

60' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 4-3. Manchester City win: 88.5%. BTTS: 100%.

57' Goal 85% sure

Manchester City now leads 4-2 with 98.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 68.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sunderland goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	2	2
1	9	9	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	9	8	3	1
4	5	5	2	1
5	3	2	1

↑ Manchester City goals · most likely 2–0 (11.6%)

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Players in form

Manchester City

E. Haaland 5 gls

R. Cherki 3 gls

A. Semenyo 2 gls

Sunderland

B. Brobbey 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

20%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

20%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	2.5%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
1	8.8%	9.5%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
2	11.6%	9.9%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	9.2%	7.8%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
4	5.4%	4.6%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Manchester City	Draw	Sunderland
Manchester City	40.8%	2.6%	0.8%
Draw	25.9%	12.0%	4.6%
Sunderland	4.0%	3.5%	5.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

33%

1.5

67%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

21%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Manchester City vs Sunderland

2 Manchester City Wins

1 Draws

0 Sunderland Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Jan 2026	Sunderland	0 - 0	Manchester City
06 Dec 2025	Manchester City	3 - 0	Sunderland
05 Mar 2017	Sunderland	0 - 2	Manchester City

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Manchester City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sunderland	W	5 - 3
17 Sep	H Norwich	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Manchester United	W	0 - 1
08 Sep	A FC Porto	W	0 - 2
05 Sep	H Coventry	W	1 - 0

Sunderland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Manchester City	L	5 - 3
16 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 2
08 Sep	H Hull City	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Brentford	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2