Leeds vs Newcastle Prédiction
Pronostic Leeds vs Newcastle : Sportiko estime que Leeds a 41% de chances de s'imposer, Newcastle 30% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 14 Sep 2026, 20:54.
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Match Report
Leeds produced a dominant first-half display to secure a convincing 4–1 victory over Newcastle at Elland Road. The home side took control after a Lewis Miley own goal on 32 minutes opened the scoring, with Jayden Bogle adding a second just two minutes later. Dominic Calvert-Lewin, despite picking up a yellow card moments before the break, capped a commanding half by netting on the stroke of half-time to send Leeds in 3–0 ahead.
Newcastle made a flurry of changes after the interval in an attempt to stem the tide, but Noah Okafor extended Leeds' lead on 59 minutes to effectively end the contest. The visitors did pull one back late on through Bazoumana Touré in the 90th minute, though it amounted to little more than a consolation. A late yellow card for Valentino Livramento added further frustration for Newcastle in stoppage time.
Despite Newcastle edging total shots 15 to 7, Leeds were clinical when it mattered, converting five of their efforts. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leeds win as the most likely outcome at 41%, a call that proved correct on the day.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Leeds
Match Stats
Leeds
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F | 8.4 | 78' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 (10%) | – |
| 2 Jayden Bogle M | 8.2 | 83' | 1 | – | 3 | 19 (15%) | 2 |
| 19 Noah Okafor F | 7.9 | 72' | 1 | – | 2 | 17 (14%) | 2 |
| 5 Tarik Muharemović D | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 59 (52%) | 1 |
| 1 James Trafford G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (32%) | – |
| 30 Nico Elvedi D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (52%) | 1 |
| 7 Daniel James F | 6.9 | 7' | – | – | 2 | – | – |
| 22 Ao Tanaka M | 6.7 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 42 (40%) | 2 |
| 24 James Justin D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (29%) | 2 |
| 10 Harry Wilson F | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 18 Anton Stach M | 6.6 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 35 (31%) | 2 |
| 11 Brenden Aaronson M | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 4 Ethan Ampadu M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 47 (44%) | 1 |
| 26 Melvin Bard D | 6.4 | 18' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 8 Sean Longstaff M | 6.4 | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 3 Gabriel Gudmundsson M | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | – | 29 (23%) | 3 |
| 14 Lukas Nmecha F | 6.1 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
Newcastle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Bazoumana Touré F | 7.3 | 33' | 1 | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 9 Yoane Wissa F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (11%) | 1 |
| 3 Lewis Hall D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (48%) | 4 |
| 4 Sven Botman D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (44%) | 2 |
| 14 Sean Steur M | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 54 (48%) | 2 |
| 28 Joe Willock M | 6.1 | 33' | – | – | 2 | 10 (10%) | 1 |
| 11 Harvey Barnes M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 23 (19%) | – |
| 12 Malick Thiaw D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (33%) | – |
| 20 Matías Fernández-Pardo M | 5.9 | 57' | – | – | – | 9 (5%) | 1 |
| 8 Aladji Bamba M | 5.8 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 6 Nico González M | 5.8 | 19' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 21 Lukáš Horníček G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (16%) | – |
| 23 Jacob Murphy M | 5.5 | 57' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 2 Valentino Livramento D | 5.4 | 32' | – | 1 | – | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 67 Lewis Miley M | 5.4 | 80' | – | – | – | 55 (48%) | 1 |
| 37 Amar Dedić D | 5.2 | 58' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | 3 |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
D. Calvert-Lewin
3 gls
J. Willock
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Leeds vs Newcastle
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 4 - 3 | Leeds |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Leeds | 0 - 0 | Newcastle |
| 13 May 2023 | Leeds | 2 - 2 | Newcastle |
Leeds — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Crystal Palace | D | 0 - 0 |
| 14 Sep | H Newcastle | W | 4 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | A Chelsea | L | 6 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Brighton | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Brentford | D | 1 - 1 |
Newcastle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Hull City | W | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Leeds | L | 4 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A Millwall | W | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Bournemouth | D | 2 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A Tottenham | W | 0 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Newcastle
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | L. Horníček | G |
| 37 | A. Dedić | D |
| 12 | M. Thiaw | D |
| 4 | S. Botman | D |
| 3 | L. Hall | D |
| 67 | L. Miley | M |
| 6 | Nico González | M |
| 23 | J. Murphy | M |
| 20 | M. Fernandez-Pardo | M |
| 11 | H. Barnes | M |
| 9 | Y. Wissa | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | N. Pope | G |
| 2 | T. Livramento | D |
| 5 | F. Schär | D |
| 8 | A. Bamba | M |
| 14 | Sean Steur | M |
| 17 | B. Touré | F |
| 28 | J. Willock | M |
| 41 | J. Ramsey | M |
| 76 | M. Miley | M |
Leeds
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: D. Farke
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Trafford | G |
| 24 | J. Justin | D |
| 30 | N. Elvedi | D |
| 5 | T. Muharemović | D |
| 2 | J. Bogle | M |
| 18 | A. Stach | M |
| 4 | E. Ampadu | M |
| 22 | A. Tanaka | M |
| 3 | G. Gudmundsson | M |
| 9 | D. Calvert-Lewin | F |
| 19 | N. Okafor | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | M. Zetterer | G |
| 11 | B. Aaronson | M |
| 23 | J. Bahoya | F |
| 26 | M. Bard | D |
| 15 | J. Bijol | D |
| 7 | D. James | F |
| 8 | S. Longstaff | M |
| 14 | L. Nmecha | F |
| 10 | H. Wilson | F |