Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

23 Aug 2026, 15:30

Post on X

Liverpool

Away

Prédiction IA Liverpool gagnant

13%

24%

63%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Newcastle vs Liverpool prediction: Sportiko gives Newcastle a 13% chance of winning, Liverpool 63% and the draw 24%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:43.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Newcastle

LDLWD

Liverpool

LWWDL

Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In this Premier League clash, Newcastle faces Liverpool, two teams with contrasting styles. Newcastle has shown solid defensive organization, posting a defensive record of 1.2 goals conceded per match last season, while Liverpool boasts an attacking prowess with 2.1 goals scored per match. Key players to watch include Newcastle's Bruno Guimarães, who excels in midfield control, and Liverpool's Mohamed Salah, a constant threat in the final third. Both teams will be keen to secure early points in the season, making this match crucial for momentum. Expect a tactical battle as they vie for dominance in midfield.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Liverpool goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	11	12	8	4	2
1	4	11	10	7	3	1
2	2	4	4	3	1	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Newcastle goals · most likely 0–2 (12.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

24%

Home Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

24%

Home Win

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

83% Away (No Draw) 17% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 13% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	11.0%	12.2%	8.1%	4.0%
1	3.7%	11.3%	9.9%	6.6%	3.3%
2	2.0%	4.0%	4.0%	2.7%	1.3%
3	0.6%	1.1%	1.1%	0.7%	0.4%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newcastle	Draw	Liverpool
Newcastle	7.4%	3.5%	2.6%
Draw	5.5%	14.7%	20.5%
Liverpool	0.9%	3.4%	41.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs Liverpool

0 Newcastle Wins

0 Draws

3 Liverpool Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	Liverpool	4 - 1	Newcastle
25 Aug 2025	Newcastle	2 - 3	Liverpool
26 Feb 2025	Liverpool	2 - 0	Newcastle

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
29 Jul	A Bristol City	L	4 - 1
25 Jul	A Gateshead	D	1 - 1
24 May	A Fulham	L	2 - 0
17 May	H West Ham	W	3 - 1
10 May	A Nottingham Forest	D	1 - 1

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Leeds	L	2 - 4
29 Jul	H Wrexham	W	1 - 0
25 Jul	H Sunderland	W	4 - 2
24 May	H Brentford	D	1 - 1
15 May	A Aston Villa	L	4 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.