Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Prédiction

I Liga · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Podbeskidzie

Away

Prédiction IA Stal Mielec ou match nul

49%

25%

26%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie : Sportiko estime que Stal Mielec a 49% de chances de s'imposer, Podbeskidzie 26% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 2 Aug 2026, 17:02.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 70%
1st Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

3' ⚽ 1–0

9' ⚽ 2–0

20' ⚽ 3–0

▮ 22'

Yellow Card

HT 3–0

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

49' ▮

⚽ 3–1 56'

60' ⇄

⚽ 3–2 62'

Yellow Card

64' ▮

⚽ 3–3 65'

Penalty

Yellow Card

68' ▮

68' ⇄

⇄ 73'

83' ⇄

▮ 86'

Yellow Card

FT 3–3

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Stal Mielec ou match nul

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Stal Mielec

LLDDL

Podbeskidzie

DDDLL

Match summary

In the upcoming I Liga clash, Stal Mielec will face Podbeskidzie, both looking to secure crucial points as the season progresses. Stal Mielec has shown a solid defensive record, conceding just 10 goals in their last 10 matches. Meanwhile, Podbeskidzie has struggled for consistency, scoring an average of 1 goal per game in their recent outings. Key players to watch include Mielec's top scorer, who has netted crucial goals recently, and Podbeskidzie's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. The match promises to be competitive, with both teams needing a win to bolster their league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Podbeskidzie goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	3	2
1	11	11	3	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	9	7	3	1
4	5	4	1
5	2	1	1

↑ Stal Mielec goals · most likely 2–0 (13.2%)

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Away Win

26%

Draw

25%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Away Win

26%

Draw

25%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	3.3%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
1	11.4%	10.5%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
2	13.2%	9.7%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
3	9.2%	6.8%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
4	4.8%	3.5%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Stal Mielec	Draw	Podbeskidzie
Stal Mielec	43.6%	2.9%	0.7%
Draw	22.1%	13.8%	4.6%
Podbeskidzie	2.7%	3.3%	6.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Stal Mielec — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lechia Gdansk	L	7 - 1
14 Sep	H Nieciecza	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	H Odra Opole	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	A Górnik Łęczna	D	3 - 3
29 Aug	A Pogoń Siedlce	L	2 - 0

Podbeskidzie — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Unia Skierniewice	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ruch Chorzów	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Polonia Bytom	D	0 - 0
01 Sep	A Stal Rzeszów	L	3 - 0
29 Aug	A Puszcza Niepołomice	L	2 - 0

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.