Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas Prédiction
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Prédiction IA
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Guadalajara Chivas
22%
28%
50%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas : Sportiko estime que Puebla a 22% de chances de s'imposer, Guadalajara Chivas 50% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 1 Aug 2026, 02:54.
Pronostics Premium
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 71%
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Timeline
Eduardo Mustre
26'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
⚽
1–1
63'
Roberto Alvarado
assist: Efrain Alvarez
⇄
63'
Fernando González
⇄ Efrain Alvarez
⇄
63'
Jordan Carrillo
⇄ Omar Govea
Eduardo Mustre
⇄ Luifer Hernández
71'
⇄
⇄
71'
Armando González
⇄ Ángel Sepúlveda
Carlos Baltazar
⇄ Mathías Tomás
71'
⇄
⇄
77'
Brian Gutiérrez
⇄ Kevin Castañeda
⇄
77'
Richard Ledezma
⇄ Ricardo Marín
Alejandro Organista
⇄ Óscar Villa
79'
⇄
Emiliano Gómez
⇄ Omar Moreno
90+1'
⇄
FT 1–1
Puebla
Match Stats
Guadalajara Chivas
35%
Ball Possession
65%
0.59
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
6
Total Shots
24
2
Shots on Goal
8
3
Shots off Goal
14
1
Blocked Shots
2
1
Shots insidebox
16
5
Shots outsidebox
8
1
Corner Kicks
7
Offsides
7
Fouls
12
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
7
Goalkeeper Saves
1
348
Total passes
630
285
Passes accurate
565
82%
Passes %
90%
-0.25
goals_prevented
-0.25
Puebla
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Daniel Gutierrez G | 8.3 | 91' | – | – | – | 34 (18%) | – |
| 29 Eduardo Mustre F | 7.3 | 71' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (10%) | 1 |
| 4 Juan Pablo Vargas D | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 2 |
| 26 Kevin Velasco M | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 35 (32%) | 1 |
| 12 Iker Moreno D | 6.9 | 91' | – | – | – | 35 (31%) | – |
| 11 Emiliano Gómez M | 6.9 | 91' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 10 Mathías Tomás M | 6.9 | 20' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 22 Carlos Baltazar M | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 9 Luifer Hernández F | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 5 Facundo Almada D | 6.6 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 38 (30%) | – |
| 24 Alejandro Organista M | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | – | 38 (37%) | – |
| 15 Óscar Villa D | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 7 Fernando Monarrez D | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 31 (27%) | 2 |
| 21 Sergio Sanabria M | 6.0 | 91' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | 4 |
Guadalajara Chivas
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Roberto Alvarado F | 8.7 | 91' | 1 | – | 4 | 64 (59%) | 1 |
| 5 Bryan González M | 7.5 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 47 (41%) | 2 |
| 33 Jordan Carrillo M | 7.5 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 47 (42%) | – |
| 37 Richard Ledezma M | 7.3 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 52 (45%) | – |
| 11 Brian Gutiérrez M | 7.2 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 48 (43%) | 3 |
| 7 Luis Romo D | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 81 (75%) | 3 |
| 2 José Castillo D | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 60 (55%) | 2 |
| 10 Efrain Alvarez F | 7.2 | 28' | – | 1 | 1 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 23 Daniel Aguirre D | 7.0 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 76 (67%) | – |
| 6 Omar Govea M | 6.9 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 18 (17%) | 1 |
| 28 Fernando González M | 6.9 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 64 (58%) | – |
| 19 Kevin Castañeda M | 6.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 9 Ángel Sepúlveda F | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 17 Ricardo Marín F | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
| 34 Armando González F | 6.5 | 71' | – | – | 4 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 1 Raúl Rangel G | 6.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 27 (26%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (50%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Guadalajara Chivas
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Puebla
DLWLW
Guadalajara Chivas
DWWDW
Last 2 meetings
Puebla · 0W 0D 2L
Match summary
Puebla faces Guadalajara Chivas in a Liga MX clash, with both teams looking to secure vital points early in the season. Puebla's home form has been generally solid, while Guadalajara has demonstrated a strong attacking prowess, having scored an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last five outings. Defensively, Puebla will need to be vigilant against Chivas' fast breaks, as they have been successful in exploiting defensive lapses. This matchup promises to be competitive, with both teams aiming to establish early momentum in the league.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
22%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
50%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Puebla
E. Mustre
3 gls
Guadalajara Chivas
R. Alvarado
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas
0
Puebla Wins
0
Draws
2
Guadalajara Chivas Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 - 0 | Puebla |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Puebla | 0 - 2 | Guadalajara Chivas |
Puebla — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Atlante FC | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | H Toluca | L | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Necaxa | W | 0 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Club America | L | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | H Santos Laguna | W | 3 - 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Club America | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | H U.N.A.M. - Pumas | W | 3 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Atletico San Luis | W | 0 - 3 |
| 29 Aug | A CF Pachuca | D | 1 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Club Tijuana | W | 5 - 2 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
Guadalajara Chivas
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: G. Milito
1
Rangel
2
Castillo
7
Romo
23
Aguirre
28
González
5
González
33
Carrillo
11
Gutiérrez
37
Ledezma
34
González
25
Alvarado
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raúl Rangel | G |
| 23 | Daniel Aguirre | D |
| 7 | Luis Romo | D |
| 2 | José Castillo | D |
| 28 | Fernando González | M |
| 37 | Richard Ledezma | M |
| 11 | Brian Gutiérrez | M |
| 33 | Jordan Carrillo | M |
| 5 | Bryan González | M |
| 25 | Roberto Alvarado | F |
| 34 | Armando González | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | Omar Govea | M |
| 10 | Efrain Alvarez | F |
| 9 | Ángel Sepúlveda | F |
| 13 | Óscar Whalley | G |
| 3 | Diego Campillo | D |
| 24 | Miguel Gómez | D |
| 19 | Kevin Castañeda | M |
| 18 | Jonathan Perez | M |
| 16 | Luis Gabriel Rey | D |
| 17 | Ricardo Marín | F |
Puebla
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Gerardo Espinoza
28
Gutierrez
7
Monarrez
4
Vargas
5
Almada
12
Moreno
21
Sanabria
24
Organista
11
Gómez
22
Baltazar
26
Velasco
29
Mustre
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Daniel Gutierrez | G |
| 12 | Iker Moreno | D |
| 5 | Facundo Almada | D |
| 4 | Juan Pablo Vargas | D |
| 7 | Fernando Monarrez | D |
| 24 | Alejandro Organista | M |
| 21 | Sergio Sanabria | M |
| 26 | Kevin Velasco | M |
| 22 | Carlos Baltazar | M |
| 11 | Emiliano Gómez | M |
| 29 | Eduardo Mustre | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | Mathías Tomás | M |
| 9 | Luifer Hernández | F |
| 33 | Jesús Rodríguez | G |
| 2 | Angel Leyva | D |
| 15 | Óscar Villa | D |
| 3 | Alberto Herrera | M |
| 34 | Lucas Camilo | M |
| 16 | Alonso Ramirez | M |
| 8 | Omar Moreno | F |
| 27 | Brayan Garnica | F |