Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prédiction

First League · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Lokomotiv Sofia

Away

Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia

Prédiction IA Lokomotiv Sofia ou match nul

34%

30%

36%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia : Sportiko estime que Slavia Sofia a 34% de chances de s'imposer, Lokomotiv Sofia 36% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Jul 2026, 17:57.

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1st Half Home or Draw 76%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

15' ▮

⚽ 0–1 36'

42' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

46' ⇄

▮ 47'

Yellow Card

⇄ 59'

Yellow Card

60' ▮

Yellow Card

60' ▮

Yellow Card

66' ▮

66' ⇄

Goal Disallowed - video review

68' 🖵

⇄ 74'

77' ⇄

90+2' ⇄

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Lokomotiv Sofia ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Slavia Sofia

LDWLD

Lokomotiv Sofia

WLDLD

Last 1 meetings Slavia Sofia · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming First League match, Slavia Sofia faces Lokomotiv Sofia in a local derby. Slavia boasts a strong home record, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match in their last five home games, while Lokomotiv has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match in their recent away fixtures. Both teams will be looking to capitalize on their attacking strengths, but Slavia's recent form and goal-scoring ability may give them the edge in this matchup. Expect a competitive encounter as both squads vie for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

36%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lokomotiv Sofia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	10	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	3	1
2	7	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Slavia Sofia goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

34%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

34%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 32% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.7%	10.0%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%
1	10.8%	15.2%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.1%	7.6%	4.1%	1.5%	0.4%
3	2.7%	2.9%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.8%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Slavia Sofia	Draw	Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia	20.7%	4.2%	1.5%
Draw	14.3%	21.9%	13.1%
Lokomotiv Sofia	1.6%	4.3%	18.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia

0 Slavia Sofia Wins

1 Draws

0 Lokomotiv Sofia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Mar 2026	Lokomotiv Sofia	1 - 1	Slavia Sofia

Slavia Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H CSKA 1948	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Spartak Varna	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A Dunav Ruse	W	0 - 1
02 Sep	H Levski Sofia	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	H Septemvri Sofia	D	1 - 1

Lokomotiv Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Spartak Varna	W	0 - 1
16 Sep	H CSKA Sofia	L	0 - 2
11 Sep	A Cherno More Varna	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Ludogorets	L	1 - 2
31 Aug	A Dunav Ruse	D	2 - 2

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

Slavia Sofia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ratko Dostanic

99 Andonov

26 Burov

5 Malembana

4 Savić

87 Ferraresso

6 Todorov

73 Minchev

27 Baldé

13 Stefanov

77 Stoev

88 Nikolov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Ivan Andonov	G
87	Diego Ferraresso	D
4	Nikola Savić	D
5	David Malembana	D
26	Dimitar Burov	M
73	Ivan Minchev	M
6	Boris Todorov	M
77	Emil Stoev	M
13	Iliyan Stefanov	M
27	Umaro Baldé	F
88	Vladimir Nikolov	F

Substitutes

11	Mouhamed Dosso	M
7	Roberto Raychev	M
63	Levi Ntumba	G
3	Martin Georgiev	D
24	Lazar Marin	D
20	Jordan Semedo Varela	D
71	Kristiyan Stoyanov	M
23	Ilian Antonov	F
9	Yoan Bornosuzov	F
10	Yanis Guermouche	F
17	Vasil Kazaldzhiev	F

Lokomotiv Sofia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Lyuboslav Penev

99 Velichkov

14 Lyaskov

91 Bidounga

44 Katsarov

22 Daskalov

5 Dost

31 Stanoev

7 Delev

20 Kostadinov

71 Penev

10 Minchev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Martin Velichkov	G
22	Reyan Daskalov	D
44	Bozhidar Katsarov	D
91	Ryan Bidounga	D
14	Angel Lyaskov	D
31	Krasimir Stanoev	M
5	Erol Dost	M
71	Nikolas Penev	M
20	Dimitar Kostadinov	M
7	Spas Delev	M
10	Georgi Minchev	F

Substitutes

17	Mark Emilio Papazov	M
24	Aleksandar Lyubenov	G
6	Eirô	D
19	Mitko Mitkov	D
21	Kristian Chachev	M
16	Mohamed Medfai	M
26	Krasimir Miloshev	M
11	Adil Taoui	M
77	Caue Caruzo Alves	F
45	Gerov Emil	F