Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana Prédiction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Dinamo Tirana

Away

Prédiction IA Dinamo Tirana ou match nul

34%

30%

37%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana : Sportiko estime que Aluminij a 34% de chances de s'imposer, Dinamo Tirana 37% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 20:22.

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1st Half Draw or Away 75%

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Match Report

Aluminij and Dinamo Tirana played out a 1–1 draw in their UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round first leg, with the Albanian side taking an early advantage before the Slovenian hosts levelled late on.

Dinamo Tirana broke the deadlock in the 15th minute to lead at half-time, and that advantage held well into the second half despite a lively contest punctuated by four yellow cards and several substitutions from both sides. Aluminij pushed for an equaliser and were rewarded in the 84th minute, cancelling out Tirana's lead and ensuring the tie remains finely poised heading into the second leg.

The draw leaves both clubs with everything to play for, with Aluminij's late goal proving crucial in denying Tirana a potentially decisive away advantage. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Dinamo Tirana win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that looked well-founded for much of the contest before Aluminij's late intervention changed the complexion of the tie entirely.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 15'

Yellow Card

30' ▮

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

Yellow Card

52' ▮

61' ⇄

Yellow Card

63' ▮

71' ⇄

⇄ 81'

84' ⚽ 1–1

Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Dinamo Tirana ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Aluminij

DWDLL

Dinamo Tirana

WWWWL

Last 1 meetings Aluminij · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Aluminij faces Dinamo Tirana. Aluminij has shown a solid defensive record, allowing an average of 1 goal per match in recent fixtures, while Dinamo Tirana boasts a more potent attack, averaging 2 goals per game in their last five outings. Both teams will need to capitalize on set-pieces, as Aluminij has struggled with defending corners. The match could hinge on Dinamo’s ability to break through Aluminij’s organized defense. A key battle will be in midfield, where possession and control will dictate the flow of the game.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dinamo Tirana goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	10	7	3	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	7	7	4	2
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Aluminij goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

34%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

34%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

51% Away (No Draw) 49% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.3%	10.3%	6.9%	2.6%	0.7%
1	10.0%	15.1%	7.6%	2.9%	0.8%
2	6.5%	7.4%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
3	2.4%	2.7%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aluminij	Draw	Dinamo Tirana
Aluminij	19.3%	4.3%	1.7%
Draw	13.3%	21.5%	13.9%
Dinamo Tirana	1.6%	4.3%	20.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana

0 Aluminij Wins

0 Draws

1 Dinamo Tirana Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Dinamo Tirana	3 - 0	Aluminij

Aluminij — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Maribor	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Mura	W	1 - 6
05 Sep	H Bravo	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H Celje	L	0 - 2
28 Aug	H Koper	L	0 - 1

Dinamo Tirana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Laci	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Partizani	W	2 - 4
06 Sep	H AF Elbasani	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Skenderbeu Korce	W	0 - 1
27 Aug	A Pafos	L	4 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Dinamo Tirana

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Ilir Daja

77 Teqja

27 Aliji

22 Dita

2 Ismaili

88 Ruci

21 Qefalija

28 Manellari

10 Vila

13 Perndreca

8 Qardaku

29 Berisha

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
77	Aldo Teqja	G
2	Ysni Ismaili	D
22	Bruno Dita	D
27	Naser Aliji	D
13	Fabjan Perndreca	D
10	Lorenco Vila	M
28	Isi Manellari	M
21	Klevi Qefalija	M
88	Flamur Ruci	M
29	Hekuran Berisha	F
8	Eridon Qardaku	M

Substitutes

1	Edmir Sali	G
97	Tomas Kiri	G
5	Erion Hoxhallari	D
47	Lorran	D
16	Noel Bleta	M
33	David Fadairo	M
11	Ruben Silva-Richards	F
18	Dejvi Metaj	F
24	Florenc Ferruku	F

Aluminij

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Jure Arsic

31 Raduha

4 Schaubach

5 Boben

6 Šimunić

32 Težak

8 Taylor

14 Jagić

13 Vrbanec

42 Koderman

40 Osuji

45 Susso

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Florijan Raduha	G
6	Dino Šimunić	D
5	Matija Boben	D
4	Rok Schaubach	D
42	Vid Koderman	M
13	Matic Vrbanec	M
14	Tomislav Jagić	M
8	Eric Taylor	M
32	Vito Težak	D
45	Bamba Susso	F
40	Bede Amarachi Osuji	M

Substitutes

1	Anej Mrežar	G
66	Lukas Tomažič	G
3	Domen Zajšek	D
21	Lan Drevenšek	D
80	Hanus Sørensen	D
18	Simon Rogina	M
23	Enej Kramberger	M
27	Maj Blažič	M
44	Petar Petriško	M
77	Josip Pejić	M
9	Adriano Bloudek	F
25	Murat Bajraj	F