Stjarnan vs Ilves Prédiction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Ilves

Away

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

36%

27%

37%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Stjarnan vs Ilves : Sportiko estime que Stjarnan a 36% de chances de s'imposer, Ilves 37% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 20:54.

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Match Report

Stjarnan edged past Ilves 1–0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round, with a goalless first half giving way to a tighter, more combative second period that ultimately decided the tie.

Both sides made tactical adjustments after the break, with substitutions from each team arriving around the hour mark. The decisive moment came in the 84th minute when Stjarnan converted a normal goal to break the deadlock, leaving Ilves with little time to respond. Discipline was also a factor, with yellow cards shown to an Ilves player in the 64th minute, A. Popovitch in the 81st minute, and a further caution deep into stoppage time.

Ilves struggled to find a way back into the match despite late changes, and Stjarnan held firm to secure a narrow but important victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Ilves win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved wide of the mark as the Icelandic side claimed the spoils.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

⇄ 59'

J. Kilo ⇄ R. Riski

⇄ 59'

J. Veteli ⇄ O. Multala

Yellow Card

64' ▮

66' ⇄

⇄ 70'

⇄ 71'

S. Väisänen ⇄ V. Kumpu

▮ 81'

A. Popovitch Yellow Card

83' ⇄

84' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 85'

M. Rale

Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

90+5' ⇄

FT 1–0

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Trop serré pour trancher

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Stjarnan

LWDWW

Ilves

WWWLL

Last 1 meetings Stjarnan · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash between Stjarnan and Ilves, both teams will look to capitalize on their strengths. Stjarnan's recent form shows a solid home record, while Ilves has been consistent in their league performances. Key players to watch include Stjarnan’s top scorer, who has netted several crucial goals this season, and Ilves’ midfield general, known for creating scoring opportunities. The match will likely be decided by which team can better control possession and exploit defensive weaknesses. Expect a tightly contested encounter with potential for tactical adjustments from both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ilves goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	9	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Stjarnan goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

36%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

36%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	8.0%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
1	9.3%	14.5%	7.5%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.3%	8.5%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.2%	3.8%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Stjarnan	Draw	Ilves
Stjarnan	27.0%	5.6%	2.2%
Draw	11.5%	19.1%	12.9%
Ilves	1.2%	3.5%	17.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Stjarnan vs Ilves

0 Stjarnan Wins

0 Draws

1 Ilves Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Ilves	1 - 0	Stjarnan

Stjarnan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FH hafnarfjordur	L	5 - 2
13 Sep	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	A Breidablik	W	0 - 2
23 Aug	H Thor Akureyri	W	4 - 2

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
31 Aug	H HJK Helsinki	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	H VPS	L	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Ilves

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Joni Lehtonen

12 Krkalić

3 Rale

16 Miettunen

5 Väisänen

4 Pettersson

14 Popovitch

30 Kanga

7 Veteli

28 Kilo

9 Hytönen

13 Wallius

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Faris Krkalić	G
4	Oliver Pettersson	D
5	Sauli Väisänen	D
16	Tatu Miettunen	D
3	Matias Rale	D
7	Joona Veteli	M
30	Jardell Kanga	M
14	Anton Popovitch	M
13	Kalle Wallius	M
9	Teemu Hytönen	F
28	Jesse Kilo	M

Substitutes

22	Oskari Multala	M
10	Roope Riski	F
19	Bamba Abdoul Goudouss	D
24	Ville Kumpu	D
1	Otso Virtanen	G
31	Rasmus Leislahti	G
15	Lauri Ala-Myllymäki	M
17	Stanislav Baranov	M
20	Otto Tiitinen	M

Stjarnan

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Jokull Elisabetarson

12 Ólafsson

4 Þórisson

3 Kjeldsen

6 Ingimarsson

32 Örvarsson

8 Gunnarsson

18 Nokkvason

23 Warén

7 Eggertsson

22 Atlason

11 Ingason

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Árni Snær Ólafsson	G
32	Örvar Logi Örvarsson	D
6	Sindri Þór Ingimarsson	D
3	Gustav Kjeldsen	D
4	Þorri Mar Þórisson	D
23	Benedikt Warén	M
18	Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason	M
8	Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson	M
11	Birnir Snaer Ingason	M
22	Emil Atlason	F
7	Örvar Eggertsson	M

Substitutes

14	Bjarki Hauksson	D
1	Darri Bergmann Gylfason	G
183	Duro Stefan Beic	G
19	Ari Leifsson	D
5	Guðmundur Kristjánsson	D
24	Sigurdur Gunnar Jónsson	D
10	Daníel Finns Matthíasson	M
25	Christian Alexandersson	M
29	Alex Þór Hauksson	M
35	Bjarki Fridjon Saemundsson	M
99	Andri Rúnar Bjarnason	F
94	Árni Vilhjálmsson	F