HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC Prédiction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Coleraine FC

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour HJK Helsinki

63%

22%

15%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC : Sportiko estime que HJK Helsinki a 63% de chances de s'imposer, Coleraine FC 15% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 17:52.

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1st Half Over 0.5 72%
L'équipe extérieure marque 71%

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Match Report

HJK Helsinki produced a commanding performance to defeat Coleraine FC 5–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round tie. The Finnish side were in control from the outset, taking a 2–0 lead into half-time through goals in the 12th and 32nd minutes, the latter finished by P. Mentu.

HJK continued where they left off after the break, adding a third goal just two minutes into the second half to effectively end the contest. A flurry of substitutions from both sides followed, with HJK making wholesale changes as the game opened up. Our pre-match AI model had rated an HJK win as the most likely outcome at 63%, a call that proved well-founded.

The evening's standout moment came late, as T. Pukki capped the rout with two goals in quick succession in the 80th and 82nd minutes, putting a emphatic gloss on the scoreline. Coleraine offered little in response throughout and were unable to test the HJK defence, leaving the Finnish hosts with a convincing victory and a strong platform heading into the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

assist: L. Lingman

12' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 22'

A. Ring Yellow Card

23' ▮

P. Mentu

32' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

47' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 52'

⇄ 53'

⇄ L. Lappalainen

65' ⇄

A. Ring

65' ⇄

P. Mentu ⇄ T. Pukki

65' ⇄

S. Haarala

73' ⇄

T. Pukki

80' ⚽ 4–0

T. Pukki assist: L. Lappalainen

82' ⚽ 5–0

⇄ M. Borchers

82' ⇄

FT 5–0

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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour HJK Helsinki

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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HJK Helsinki

DDWLW

Coleraine FC

LWWWW

Last 1 meetings HJK Helsinki · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, HJK Helsinki faces Coleraine FC. HJK is known for its solid defensive structure and ability to control possession, averaging 58% possession in recent league matches. Coleraine, on the other hand, tends to struggle against teams with higher pressing intensity, which HJK is likely to employ. The Finnish side's home form has been strong, often translating into a higher goal differential. This match will be pivotal for both teams' aspirations in the tournament, with HJK favored to leverage their experience and tactical discipline.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Coleraine FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	4	1
1	7	12	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	5	6	4	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ HJK Helsinki goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

22%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

22%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	4.5%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%
1	7.3%	12.1%	6.6%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.8%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%
3	4.8%	5.9%	3.7%	1.5%	0.5%
4	2.2%	2.7%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	HJK Helsinki	Draw	Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki	30.3%	4.3%	1.8%
Draw	17.5%	15.3%	9.4%
Coleraine FC	3.0%	4.5%	14.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC

1 HJK Helsinki Wins

0 Draws

0 Coleraine FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Coleraine FC	0 - 3	HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A KuPS	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Inter Turku	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	A Ilves	W	1 - 2

Coleraine FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Sep	H Linfield	L	1 - 3
19 Sep	H Limavady United	W	1 - 0
15 Sep	A Glentoran	W	1 - 2
11 Sep	H Ballymena United	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	H Crusaders FC	W	4 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

HJK Helsinki

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Joonas Rantanen

44 Marković

14 Montano

3 Cissokho

6 Tikkanen

13 Simojoki

10 Lingman

4 Ring

8 Mentu

18 Mero

29 Haarala

22 Möller

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
44	Matej Marković	G
13	Kaius Simojoki	D
6	Ville Tikkanen	D
3	Till Cissokho	D
14	Leonel Montano	D
8	Pyry Mentu	M
4	Alexander Ring	M
10	Lucas Lingman	M
22	Liam Möller	M
29	Santeri Haarala	F
18	Toivo Mero	M

Substitutes

26	Lassi Lappalainen	M
32	Mouhamed Gueye	M
20	Teemu Pukki	F
1	Jesse Öst	G
12	Mitja Haapanen	G
24	Emil Levealahti	D
28	Miska Ylitolva	D
31	Mihailo Bogićević	D
7	Alfie Cicale	M
15	Jere Kallinen	M
17	Martin Kirilov	M
9	Mads Borchers	F

Coleraine FC

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Ruaidhri Higgins

1 Schofield

15 Ives

16 Wilson

14 Coyle

23 Doherty

22 Wylie

21 McDonald

4 Boyle

2 Kane

24 McMenamin

17 Henderson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ryan Schofield	G
14	Mark Coyle	M
16	Aidan Wilson	D
15	Levi Ives	D
2	Lyndon Kane	D
4	Dylan Boyle	M
21	Rowan McDonald	M
22	Ben Wylie	M
23	Ben Doherty	D
17	Jay Henderson	M
24	Conor McMenamin	F

Substitutes

6	Kodi Lyons Foster	D
3	Dean Jarvis	D
9	Matthew Shevlin	F
8	William Patching	M
11	Joel Cooper	M
12	Lewis Webb	G
31	Zak Robinson	G
26	Conrad Hunt	D
7	Lewis McGregor	M
10	Connor Murray	M
20	Senan Devine	M