Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski Prédiction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Zrinjski

Away

Prédiction IA Zrinjski ou match nul

33%

29%

39%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski : Sportiko estime que Valur Reykjavik a 33% de chances de s'imposer, Zrinjski 39% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 21:07.

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L'équipe extérieure marque 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
1st Half Home or Draw 71%

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Match Report

Valur Reykjavik secured a narrow but important 1–0 victory over Zrinjski in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round, with the first half producing little of note as both sides went into the break level.

The decisive moment arrived in the 65th minute when Valur broke the deadlock with a well-taken goal, a strike that coincided with a flurry of substitutions from both managers as they looked to influence the contest. Zrinjski, who had entered the tie as the more fancied side, were unable to find an equaliser despite their efforts in the closing stages, with a yellow card shown in the 79th minute reflecting the growing tension on the pitch.

The Icelandic hosts held firm to claim a clean sheet and a one-goal advantage heading into the second leg. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Zrinjski win as the most likely outcome at 39%, a call that proved wide of the mark as Valur's disciplined defensive display and clinical finishing earned them a deserved first-leg edge.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card

32' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 56'

65' ⚽ 1–0

65' ⇄

66' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Yellow Card

79' ▮

⇄ 83'

⇄ 84'

86' ⇄

FT 1–0

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Zrinjski ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Valur Reykjavik

DWWDL

Zrinjski

WLWWW

Last 1 meetings Valur Reykjavik · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Valur Reykjavik faces Zrinjski on July 23, 2026. Valur's recent domestic form shows a solid home record, with a strong offensive output averaging 2 goals per game over the last five fixtures. Conversely, Zrinjski has demonstrated resilience in away matches, maintaining a sturdy defense that concedes under 1 goal per game in similar situations. The match will likely hinge on Valur's ability to break through Zrinjski's defensive line while capitalizing on set pieces, given the latter's tendency to struggle with aerial threats. Expect a tightly contested match with both teams vying for an essential early win in the group stage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Zrinjski goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	11	8	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Valur Reykjavik goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

33%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

33%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

57% Away (No Draw) 43% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 29% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.6%	10.7%	7.8%	3.3%	1.0%
1	8.7%	14.9%	8.3%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.5%	7.0%	4.4%	1.9%	0.6%
3	2.0%	2.5%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Valur Reykjavik	Draw	Zrinjski
Valur Reykjavik	17.1%	4.4%	1.9%
Draw	11.8%	20.7%	15.4%
Zrinjski	1.5%	4.2%	23.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Valur Reykjavik vs Zrinjski

0 Valur Reykjavik Wins

1 Draws

0 Zrinjski Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Zrinjski	2 - 2	Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Thor Akureyri	W	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Keflavik	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H IA Akranes	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	A Vikingur Reykjavik	L	2 - 0

Zrinjski — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Velež	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Borac Banja Luka	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Siroki Brijeg	W	2 - 1
01 Sep	H BSK Banja Luka	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	A FK Sarajevo	W	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Zrinjski

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Simon Rozman

31 Šubarić

15 Stapić

37 Morris

4 Barišić

19 Vranjković

10 Čuić

20 Ivančić

25 Ćuže

22 Nalić

17 Ilić

99 Bilbija

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Zvonimir Šubarić	G
19	Marko Vranjković	D
4	Hrvoje Barišić	D
37	Darick Kobie Morris	D
15	Karlo Stapić	D
20	Antonio Ivančić	M
10	Mario Čuić	M
17	Antonio Ilić	M
22	Adi Nalić	M
25	Mario Ćuže	M
99	Nemanja Bilbija	F

Substitutes

8	Ivica Vidović	M
1	Matej Bogdan	G
44	Antonio Đaković	G
12	Petar Mamić	D
21	Viktor Grbić	D
27	Slobodan Jakovljević	D
5	Dan Lagumdzija	M
14	Matej Šakota	M
42	Marijan Ćavar	M
77	Karlo Abramović	M
80	Hamza Ljukovac	M
11	Tomi Jurić	F

Valur Reykjavik

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Hermann Hreidarsson

1 Schram

24 Veldman

28 Friðjónsson

15 Eyjólfsson

22 Heimisson

14 Skoglund

17 Heimisson

12 Haraldsson

29 Veseli

8 Jónsson

19 Gardarson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Frederik Schram	G
22	Birkir Heimisson	M
15	Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson	D
28	Samúel Kári Friðjónsson	M
24	Myles Veldman	D
17	Lúkas Logi Heimisson	M
14	Albin Skoglund	M
8	Jónatan Ingi Jónsson	M
29	Shkelzen Veseli	M
12	Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson	M
19	Dagur Orri Gardarson	F

Substitutes

25	Stefan Thor Agustsson	G
95	Tomas Blöndal-Petersson	G
4	Markus Nakkim	D
11	Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole	D
21	Jakob Franz Pálsson	D
5	Kristófer Dagur Arnarsson	M
6	Bjarni Antonsson Duffield	M
13	Kristján Oddur Kristjánsson	M
26	Emil Nonnu Sigurbjornsson	M
30	Gunnar Heiðdal	M
9	Patrick Pedersen	F