Beşiktaş vs FC Midtjylland Prédiction

UEFA Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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FC Midtjylland

Away

Prédiction IA Beşiktaş ou match nul

40%

28%

32%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Beşiktaş vs FC Midtjylland : Sportiko estime que Beşiktaş a 40% de chances de s'imposer, FC Midtjylland 32% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 19:53.

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L'équipe extérieure marque 75%
L'équipe à domicile marque 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%
Moins de 3,5 buts 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Beşiktaş secured a narrow but important 1–0 victory over FC Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa League second qualifying round, with the match shaped early by a red card on 15 minutes that left the Danish visitors a man down before the half-hour mark. Orkun Kökçü made the numerical advantage count, converting a normal goal on 26 minutes to give the Turkish side the lead they would carry into the break and ultimately protect for the full 90.

The second half saw both benches heavily utilised, with Beşiktaş introducing Hyeon-gyu Oh and Salih Özcan among several changes around the hour mark, while Denil Castillo came on late as the hosts managed the game to its conclusion. Midtjylland, reduced to ten men for the majority of the contest, were unable to find an equaliser.

The result gives Beşiktaş a commanding position ahead of the second leg. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Beşiktaş win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 15'

Red Card

⇄ 18'

⇄ Denil Castillo

Orkun Kökçü

26' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ Martin Erlić

⇄ 63'

⇄ Gue-sung Cho

Hyeon-gyu Oh

63' ⇄

Salih Özcan

73' ⇄

⇄ Emmanuel Agbadou

78' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Denil Castillo

FT 1–0

Beşiktaş

Match Stats

FC Midtjylland

Ball Possession

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots off Goal

Blocked Shots

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 1

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Beşiktaş ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Beşiktaş

LWWWW

FC Midtjylland

DWWDW

Last 1 meetings Beşiktaş · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa League clash between Beşiktaş and FC Midtjylland, both teams will be looking to secure crucial points. Beşiktaş has shown strong form in their domestic league, with an average of 2.1 goals per match this season, indicating a potent attack. Conversely, FC Midtjylland has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match in their last five outings. The key battle will lie in Beşiktaş's ability to exploit Midtjylland's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining defensive solidity against their counter-attacks. Expect a tactical showdown with high stakes for both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Midtjylland goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	6	3	1
1	7	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Beşiktaş goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Beşiktaş

V. Černý 1 gls

I. Fakili 1 gls

A. Murillo 1 gls

FC Midtjylland

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

32%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

32%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Away (No Draw) 48% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 34% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	7.7%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
1	7.4%	14.0%	8.5%	3.9%	1.3%
2	6.0%	8.1%	5.6%	2.6%	0.9%
3	2.6%	3.6%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Beşiktaş	Draw	FC Midtjylland
Beşiktaş	22.1%	4.7%	1.9%
Draw	11.5%	17.9%	12.5%
FC Midtjylland	1.7%	4.5%	23.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Beşiktaş vs FC Midtjylland

1 Beşiktaş Wins

0 Draws

0 FC Midtjylland Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	FC Midtjylland	0 - 2	Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Amed	L	3 - 2
17 Sep	H Marseille	W	4 - 1
11 Sep	H Erzurumspor FK	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Fenerbahçe	W	1 - 2
31 Aug	H Çorum FK	W	6 - 2

FC Midtjylland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Odense	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Brondby	W	4 - 1
10 Sep	A Sundby	W	0 - 7
07 Sep	H FC Nordsjaelland	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	A Aarhus	W	0 - 2

UEFA Europa League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

Beşiktaş

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

1 Nübel

33 Yılmaz

53 Topçu

35 Djaló

62 Murillo

6 Özcan

29 Fakili

10 Kökçü

15 Olaitan

18 Černý

9 Oh

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Alexander Nübel	G
62	Amir Murillo	D
35	Tiago Djaló	D
53	Emirhan Topçu	D
33	Rıdvan Yılmaz	D
6	Salih Özcan	M
18	Václav Černý	M
15	Junior Olaitan	M
10	Orkun Kökçü	M
29	İlhan Fakili	M
9	Hyeon-gyu Oh	F

Substitutes

80	Doğan Alemdar	G
11	Kassoum Ouattara	D
12	Emmanuel Agbadou	D
22	Taylan Bulut	D
65	Cumali Gürsel	D
5	Amir Hadžiahmetović	M
7	Milot Rashica	M
8	Kartal Kayra Yılmaz	M
23	Mustafa Hekimoğlu	F
52	Devrim Şahin	F
70	Ahmet Sami Bircan	F
90	Semih Kılıçsoy	F

FC Midtjylland

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mike Tullberg

1 Ólafsson

55 Jensen

22 Sørensen

3 Lee

5 Kristensen

20 Byskov

19 Bravo

8 Billing

7 Djú

90 Etim

11 Osorio

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Elías Ólafsson	G
5	Rasmus Kristensen	D
3	Han-Beom Lee	D
22	Mads Bech Sørensen	D
55	Victor Bak Jensen	M
8	Philip Billing	M
19	Pedro Bravo	M
20	Valdemar Byskov	M
11	Darío Osorio	M
90	Friday Etim	F
7	Franculino Djú	F

Substitutes

21	Denil Castillo	M
6	Martin Erlić	D
25	Nordin Bakker	G
31	Liam Selin	G
13	Adam Gabriel	D
15	Beni Junior	D
34	Abdou Aziz Ndiaye	D
19	Stanley Iheanacho	M
27	Sofus Johannesen	M
29	Kjell Wätjen	M
10	Gue-sung Cho	F
38	Julius Emefile	F