Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian Prédiction

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher
36%
28%
35%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian : Sportiko estime que Sturm Graz a 36% de chances de s'imposer, Heart Of Midlothian 35% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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  • L'équipe à domicile marque 76%
  • L'équipe extérieure marque 75%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 72%
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Match Report

Sturm Graz eased into the next round of UEFA Champions League qualifying with a commanding 4–0 victory over Heart of Midlothian, a result that was effectively sealed within the opening stages of the second half. The Austrian side struck early through a fourth-minute goal to lead at the break, before an extraordinary nine-minute spell between the 50th and 59th minutes produced three more goals to put the tie beyond any doubt.

The second half was a chastening experience for Hearts, who saw their shape and discipline crumble rapidly. Two yellow cards and a flurry of substitutions from both sides reflected the turbulent nature of the half, with Sturm Graz ruthlessly exploiting any gaps that appeared. Despite the scoreline, Hearts matched their hosts for total shots at 20 apiece, though Sturm Graz's 67% ball possession told the true story of their dominance.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Sturm Graz win as most likely at just 36%, a call that proved well wide of the mark. The Austrian side advance comfortably, leaving Hearts with a mountain to climb in the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

4' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
46' ⇄
▮ 47'
Yellow Card
50' ⚽ 2–0
53' ⚽ 3–0
Yellow Card
56' ▮
59' ⚽ 4–0
⇄ 59'
⇄ 59'
⇄ 59'
70' ⇄
70' ⇄
70' ⇄
⇄ 75'
⇄ Arjan Malić
79' ⇄
⇄ 84'
▮ 86'
Yellow Card
FT 4–0
Sturm Graz

Match Stats

Heart Of Midlothian
33% Ball Possession 67%
Expected Goals (xG)
20 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Goal 6
9 Shots off Goal 8
5 Blocked Shots 5
16 Shots insidebox 11
4 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Corner Kicks 12
0 Offsides 2
18 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
221 Total passes 438
145 Passes accurate 351
66% Passes % 80%
goals_prevented
Sturm Graz
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
28 Jurgen Heil D 9.3 90' 1 – 1 19 (16%) 6
39 Luca Weinhandl M 8.5 90' 1 1 1 23 (14%) 3
2 Jeyland Mitchell D 8.3 90' 1 1 3 23 (13%) 1
10 Otar Kiteishvili M 8.0 45' – 1 – 9 (8%) 1
53 Daniil Khudyakov G 7.9 90' – – – 28 (11%) –
4 Jon Gorenc Stanković M 7.9 90' 1 – 3 24 (14%) 1
43 Jacob Hödl M 7.6 71' – 1 3 15 (11%) 3
18 Emran Soglo D 7.3 79' – – 1 19 (17%) 7
5 Albert Vallci D 6.9 90' – – – 22 (15%) 2
19 Simon Seidl M 6.9 45' – – – 5 (5%) 1
80 Ryan Fosso M 6.9 19' – – 1 4 (4%) 1
23 Arjan Malić D 6.7 11' – – – 3 (3%) 1
20 Seedy Jatta F 6.6 71' – – 1 6 (4%) –
44 Nelson Weiper F 6.5 19' – – – 5 (3%) –
11 Axel Kayombo F 6.3 20' – – – 2 (2%) –
17 Szymon Włodarczyk F 6.2 70' – – 1 14 (5%) –
Heart Of Midlothian
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Tomas Magnusson M 7.0 11' – – 1 12 (11%) 1
64 Malachi Fagan-Walcott D 6.9 90' – – – 48 (45%) 1
19 Severin Sabri Guendouz F 6.9 31' – – 1 25 (21%) 2
29 Sabah Kerjota F 6.9 31' – – – 15 (10%) –
77 Amadou Ba-Sy F 6.9 31' – – – 12 (9%) –
6 Oisin McEntee M 6.6 84' – – 1 31 (23%) 3
5 Jamie McCart D 6.5 90' – – 2 54 (47%) 2
16 Blair Spittal M 6.5 75' – – – 34 (27%) 1
10 Cláudio Braga M 6.3 90' – – 3 21 (14%) 1
12 Tom Renaud M 6.3 15' – – 1 11 (6%) 1
18 Harry Milne D 6.2 90' – – – 44 (36%) 3
89 Alexandros Kyziridis M 6.2 59' – – 2 12 (12%) 1
11 Pierre Landry Kaboré F 6.2 59' – – 1 15 (9%) 2
1 Alexander Schwolow G 5.9 90' – – – 37 (29%) –
2 Christian Borchgrevink D 5.9 90' – – 1 47 (37%) 1
7 Calvin Miller M 5.9 59' – – 1 20 (15%) 1
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

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Sturm Graz
LDWWL
Heart Of Midlothian
DLWWW
Last 1 meetings Sturm Graz · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League clash, Sturm Graz will face Heart of Midlothian. Sturm Graz has shown a strong domestic performance, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last season, while Heart of Midlothian has been solid in the Scottish league with a defensive record conceding just 1 goal per match. Both teams will need to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, as the match could hinge on set pieces and defensive organization. A key factor will be the midfield battle, where Sturm Graz's ability to control possession could be decisive. Expect a tightly contested match with potential for tactical adjustments from both sides.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Head to Head: Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian

1 Sturm Graz Wins
0 Draws
0 Heart Of Midlothian Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Jul 2026 Heart Of Midlothian 0 - 2 Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Red Bull Salzburg L 3 - 0
16 Sep H Rennes D 0 - 0
13 Sep H Lask Linz W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Voitsberg W 1 - 4
30 Aug A Rapid Vienna L 3 - 1

Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Kilmarnock D 1 - 1
15 Sep A Falkirk L 2 - 1
11 Sep A Stenhousemuir W 0 - 3
06 Sep H Dundee W 2 - 1
03 Sep A Hibernian W 1 - 3

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Heart Of Midlothian

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Wouter Vrancken
1 Schwolow
18 Milne
5 McCart
64 Fagan-Walcott
2 Borchgrevink
6 McEntee
16 Spittal
89 Kyziridis
10 Braga
7 Miller
11 Kaboré

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Alexander Schwolow G
2 Christian Borchgrevink D
64 Malachi Fagan-Walcott D
5 Jamie McCart D
18 Harry Milne D
16 Blair Spittal M
6 Oisin McEntee M
7 Calvin Miller M
10 Cláudio Braga M
89 Alexandros Kyziridis M
11 Pierre Landry Kaboré F

Substitutes

19 Severin Sabri Guendouz F
29 Sabah Kerjota F
77 Amadou Ba-Sy F
12 Tom Renaud M
22 Tomas Magnusson M
28 Zander Clark G
30 Ryan Fulton G
3 Stephen Kingsley D
17 Stuart Findlay D
23 Jordi Altena D
21 James Wilson F

Sturm Graz

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: F. Ingolitsch
53 Khudyakov
18 Soglo
2 Mitchell
5 Vallci
28 Heil
43 Hödl
39 Weinhandl
4 Stanković
19 Seidl
20 Jatta
17 Włodarczyk

Starting XI

# Player Pos
53 Daniil Khudyakov G
28 Jurgen Heil D
5 Albert Vallci D
2 Jeyland Mitchell D
18 Emran Soglo D
19 Simon Seidl M
4 Jon Gorenc Stanković M
39 Luca Weinhandl M
43 Jacob Hödl M
17 Szymon Włodarczyk F
20 Seedy Jatta F

Substitutes

10 Otar Kiteishvili M
11 Axel Kayombo F
80 Ryan Fosso M
44 Nelson Weiper F
23 Arjan Malić D
22 Ammar Helac G
41 Elias Lorenz G
21 Petar Petrović D
30 Paul Koller D
27 Gabriel Haider D
15 Gizo Mamageishvili M
26 Belmin Beganović F

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