Mariehamn vs Lahti Prédiction

Veikkausliiga Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 16
FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Lahti
16%
30%
54%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Mariehamn vs Lahti : Sportiko estime que Mariehamn a 16% de chances de s'imposer, Lahti 54% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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  • L'équipe extérieure marque 76%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 21'
Y. Cassubie assist: R. Sans
⇄ N. Nurmi
30' ⇄
✗ 42'
R. Sans Missed Penalty
HT 0–1
N. Nurmi Yellow Card
52' ▮
⚽ 0–2 55'
assist: Martim Ferreira
A. Huttunen ⇄ Arvid Bergvik
62' ⇄
⇄ W. Nuñez
62' ⇄
J. Nissinen
62' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Martim Ferreira ⇄ A. Belabid
⇄ 76'
O. Koskinen ⇄ A. Lindholm
⇄ 76'
⇄ D. Heikkinen
T. Koivisto ⇄ J. van der Heyden
83' ⇄
J. Svedberg Yellow Card
84' ▮
⇄ 86'
V. Vehkonen ⇄ T. Inkinen
⇄ 86'
E. Andersson ⇄ A. Kabashi
FT 0–2
Mariehamn

Match Stats

Lahti
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Goal 9
0 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 3
1 Shots insidebox 12
1 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 4
13 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
7 Goalkeeper Saves 1
262 Total passes 366
200 Passes accurate 310
10 Free Kicks 13
Mariehamn
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 K. Lund G 7.2 71' – – – 21 (10%) –
28 J. Nissinen D 6.7 62' – – – 24 (20%) 4
5 T. Koivisto D 6.6 71' – – 1 46 (35%) 2
20 E. Patut M 6.6 71' – – – 29 (26%) 1
3 A. Soiniemi D 6.4 71' – – – 17 (13%) 1
16 A. Huttunen M 6.3 62' – – 1 18 (17%) –
18 A. Stroud M 6.3 71' – – – 7 (6%) 1
15 T. Jakobsen M 6.3 71' – – – 5 (2%) 1
9 W. Nuñez F 6.2 9' – – 1 2 (2%) –
K. Ward 6.1 30' – – – 14 (14%) –
14 Arvid Bergvik M 6.0 9' – – – 1 (1%) 1
2 N. Nurmi D 5.8 41' – – – 18 (14%) –
11 J. Svedberg M 5.6 71' – – – 41 (27%) 3
Lahti
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
Neemias Barbosa 8.2 71' 1 – 2 22 (17%) –
18 Y. Cassubie M 8.2 71' 1 – 5 35 (34%) –
3 R. Sans D 7.7 71' – 1 1 34 (26%) –
11 Martim Ferreira F 7.5 69' – 1 2 15 (11%) 2
4 J. Muller D 7.2 71' – – 1 50 (46%) –
27 R. Yapi D 7.1 71' – – – 38 (32%) 2
6 V. Vehkonen D 7.1 71' – – – 60 (56%) –
31 O. Maukonen G 6.9 71' – – – 35 (26%) –
17 A. Belabid F 6.7 2' – – 1 – –
10 O. Koskinen M 6.7 71' – – 1 20 (15%) 2
14 E. Andersson M 6.5 71' – – 2 30 (24%) 1
77 M. Sarr F 6.4 71' – – 1 27 (23%) 2
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Lahti
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Mariehamn
LWLWW
Lahti
DLWWW
Last 2 meetings Mariehamn · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

Mariehamn will face Lahti in an upcoming Veikkausliiga clash. Mariehamn has struggled this season, currently sitting near the bottom of the table with a low goal-scoring rate, averaging just 1 goal per match. In contrast, Lahti has been more consistent, showcasing a solid defense and a better points tally. The outcome may hinge on Mariehamn's ability to overcome their scoring woes against Lahti’s organized backline. Expect a tight contest as both teams look to secure crucial points in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
16%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
54%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Mariehamn

No scorer data.

Lahti
Martim Ferreira 4 gls

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Head to Head: Mariehamn vs Lahti

1 Mariehamn Wins
0 Draws
1 Lahti Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Sep 2026 Lahti 2 - 1 Mariehamn
05 Mar 2026 Mariehamn 4 - 0 Lahti

Mariehamn — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A SJK L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Turku PS W 1 - 0
08 Sep A Lahti L 2 - 1
31 Aug H FF Jaro W 2 - 0
23 Aug A KuPS W 2 - 4

Lahti — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H FF Jaro D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Ilves L 3 - 1
08 Sep H Mariehamn W 2 - 1
31 Aug A VPS W 0 - 1
21 Aug A SJK W 1 - 2

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
KuPS
25 13 9 3 +17 48
2
Inter Turku
25 13 9 3 +14 48
3
HJK Helsinki
25 12 6 7 +10 42
4
Gnistan
25 11 8 6 +8 41
5
VPS
25 10 6 9 +5 36
6
AC Oulu
25 10 4 11 -3 34

Relegation Play-Off

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lahti
25 10 6 9 +6 36
2
Ilves
25 10 4 11 +4 34
3
Turku PS
25 8 8 9 +1 32
4
SJK
25 5 9 11 -7 24
5
Mariehamn
25 4 5 16 -27 17
6
FF Jaro
25 3 8 14 -28 17

Mariehamn

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo
1 Lund
3 Soiniemi
5 Koivisto
4 Ward
28 Nissinen
23 Widlund
20 Patut
16 Huttunen
11 Svedberg
18 Stroud
15 Jakobsen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Kevin Lund G
28 Jiri Nissinen D
4 Karl Ward D
5 Tuomas Koivisto D
3 Aaro Soiniemi D
20 Emmanuel Patut M
23 Viktor Widlund D
18 Adam Stroud M
11 Jonathan Svedberg M
16 Anttoni Huttunen M
15 Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen M

Substitutes

2 Noah Nurmi D
14 Arvid Bergvik M
22 Rui Monteiro M
9 Wille Nuñez F
32 Matias Riikonen G
31 Samson Ngulube D
8 Jelle van der Heyden M
7 Adam Larsson F
43 Leo Andersson F

Lahti

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Goncalo Pereira
31 Maukonen
3 Sans
6 Vehkonen
4 Müller
27 Yapi
10 Koskinen
18 Cassubie
14 Andersson
11 Ferreira
19 Barbosa
77 Sarr

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Osku Maukonen G
27 Romaric Yapi D
4 José Müller D
6 Väinö Vehkonen D
3 Romain Sans D
14 Erik Andersson M
18 Yohan Cassubie M
10 Otso Koskinen M
77 Momodou Sarr F
19 Neemias Barbosa F
11 Martim Ferreira F

Substitutes

12 Aatu Hakala G
25 Topias Inkinen D
7 Daniel Heikkinen M
20 Justus Ojanen M
28 Armend Kabashi M
9 Aaron Lindholm F
17 Amir Belabid F

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