Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca Prédiction

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 1
FT
Post on X
Estadio AKRON, Zapopan
Prédiction IA Guadalajara Chivas ou match nul
39%
30%
30%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca : Sportiko estime que Guadalajara Chivas a 39% de chances de s'imposer, Toluca 30% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Pronostics Premium

Premium
  • L'équipe à domicile marque 74%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi. Voir les sélections Premium

Timeline

▮ 19'
Franco Romero Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 42'
Alexis Vega Penalty
HT 0–1
Kevin Castañeda ⇄ Brian Gutiérrez
46' ⇄
Ángel Sepúlveda Red Card
50' ▮
Roberto Alvarado Yellow Card
54' ▮
Richard Ledezma ⇄ Armando González
56' ⇄
⇄ 59'
Érick Gutiérrez ⇄ Helinho
▮ 61'
Jesús Gallardo Yellow Card
Omar Govea ⇄ Jordan Carrillo
68' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Alexis Vega ⇄ Víctor Guzmán
⚽ 0–2 74'
Jesús Gallardo assist: Helinho
Diego Campillo ⇄ Ricardo Marín
86' ⇄
Daniel Aguirre ⇄ Miguel Gómez
86' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Nicolás Castro ⇄ Bruno Méndez
⇄ 87'
Jesús Ricardo Angulo ⇄ Fernando Arce Juárez
Jordan Carrillo Yellow Card
90+6' ▮
FT 0–2
Guadalajara Chivas

Match Stats

Toluca
40% Ball Possession 60%
0.96 Expected Goals (xG) 1.93
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 10
6 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 5
8 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
8 Goalkeeper Saves 3
355 Total passes 559
286 Passes accurate 496
81% Passes % 89%
0.23 goals_prevented 0.23
Guadalajara Chivas
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Raúl Rangel G 8.5 97' – – – 29 (23%) –
25 Roberto Alvarado F 7.2 97' – – 2 34 (25%) 4
37 Richard Ledezma M 6.9 56' – – 1 21 (19%) –
19 Kevin Castañeda M 6.9 45' – – 1 15 (13%) –
33 Jordan Carrillo M 6.9 29' – – – 20 (15%) –
3 Diego Campillo D 6.7 85' – – – 39 (34%) 1
6 Omar Govea M 6.7 68' – – – 30 (27%) 1
28 Fernando González M 6.7 97' – – – 26 (23%) 1
24 Miguel Gómez D 6.7 11' – – – 3 (2%) 1
17 Ricardo Marín F 6.7 12' – – – 5 (3%) –
11 Brian Gutiérrez M 6.3 52' – – 1 15 (10%) –
34 Armando González F 6.3 41' – – 1 6 (5%) –
23 Daniel Aguirre D 6.3 86' – – 1 31 (23%) 3
5 Bryan González M 6.3 97' – – 2 18 (15%) 1
7 Luis Romo D 6.2 97' – – – 48 (39%) 3
9 Ángel Sepúlveda F 5.2 50' – – 1 9 (6%) –
Toluca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Federico Pereira D 8.5 97' – – 1 69 (63%) 2
11 Helinho F 7.9 38' – 1 2 18 (17%) –
20 Jesús Gallardo D 7.3 97' 1 – 1 50 (40%) 1
22 Luis García G 7.2 97' – – – 41 (34%) –
19 Santiago Simón D 7.2 97' – – – 45 (41%) 4
25 Everardo López D 6.9 97' – – – 61 (54%) 3
35 Érick Gutiérrez M 6.9 59' – – – 24 (21%) 2
8 Nicolás Castro M 6.9 87' – – 2 62 (56%) 1
29 Jorge Díaz F 6.9 97' – – 3 19 (17%) 2
4 Bruno Méndez D 6.9 10' – – – 13 (13%) –
24 Fernando Arce Juárez M 6.7 10' – – – 6 (6%) –
9 Alexis Vega M 6.6 70' 1 – 3 37 (34%) –
10 Jesús Ricardo Angulo M 6.6 87' – – 2 38 (31%) 1
7 Víctor Guzmán M 6.5 27' – – – 13 (13%) –
5 Franco Romero M 6.3 97' – – – 57 (53%) 1
Premium

Accéder à l'analyse complète de l'IA pour Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca

  • Tous les 70+ marchés de probabilité
  • Rapport de match — Analyse approfondie IA
  • Avantage Analytique — modèle vs marché
  • Types de sélections que vous choisissez
Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Guadalajara Chivas ou match nul
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Guadalajara Chivas
DWWDW
Toluca
LWWWW
Last 2 meetings Guadalajara Chivas · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX match, Guadalajara Chivas will face Toluca, showcasing two teams with contrasting current form. Chivas has been strong defensively, boasting one of the league's best goals against records, while Toluca has struggled with consistency, particularly in away fixtures. Key players to watch include Chivas' top scorer, who can exploit defensive gaps, and Toluca's playmaker, capable of turning games with creativity. This match presents an intriguing tactical battle, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Guadalajara Chivas
R. Alvarado 3 gls
Toluca
F. Viñas 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca

0 Guadalajara Chivas Wins
0 Draws
2 Toluca Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Feb 2026 Toluca 2 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas
20 Sep 2025 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 3 Toluca

Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Club America D 2 - 2
14 Sep H U.N.A.M. - Pumas W 3 - 0
05 Sep A Atletico San Luis W 0 - 3
29 Aug A CF Pachuca D 1 - 1
22 Aug H Club Tijuana W 5 - 2

Toluca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
21 Sep H Santos Laguna L 2 - 3
16 Sep A Puebla W 0 - 1
12 Sep H Atlas W 5 - 2
07 Sep H Monterrey W 2 - 0
03 Sep H Leon W 2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Toluca
9 6 1 2 +11 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas
9 5 3 1 +9 18
3
Club America
8 5 2 1 +9 17
4
Cruz Azul
9 5 0 4 +1 15
5
Club Queretaro
8 4 2 2 +3 14
6
Club Tijuana
8 4 2 2 +2 14
7
Leon
9 4 2 3 +2 14
8
Puebla
9 4 2 3 0 14
9
Atlas
9 4 2 3 -2 14
10
Monterrey
8 4 1 3 +4 13
11
CF Pachuca
9 3 3 3 +5 12
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Atletico San Luis
9 2 3 4 -5 9
14
Atlante FC
9 1 5 3 -5 8
15
Necaxa
9 2 2 5 -6 8
16
Tigres UANL
9 1 4 4 -4 7
17
Santos Laguna
9 2 1 6 -6 7
18
FC Juarez
9 1 0 8 -17 3

Guadalajara Chivas

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: G. Milito
1 Rangel
3 Campillo
7 Romo
23 Aguirre
28 González
5 González
19 Castañeda
6 Govea
37 Ledezma
9 Sepúlveda
25 Alvarado

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Raúl Rangel G
23 Daniel Aguirre D
7 Luis Romo D
3 Diego Campillo D
28 Fernando González M
37 Richard Ledezma M
6 Omar Govea M
19 Kevin Castañeda M
5 Bryan González M
25 Roberto Alvarado F
9 Ángel Sepúlveda F

Substitutes

11 Brian Gutiérrez M
34 Armando González F
13 Óscar Whalley G
4 Miguel Tapias D
2 José Castillo D
24 Miguel Gómez D
18 Jonathan Perez M
33 Jordan Carrillo M
16 Luis Gabriel Rey D
17 Ricardo Marín F

Toluca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Mohamed
22 García
20 Gallardo
25 López
6 Pereira
19 Simón
35 Gutiérrez
5 Romero
9 Vega
8 Castro
10 Angulo
29 Díaz

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Luis García G
19 Santiago Simón D
6 Federico Pereira D
25 Everardo López D
20 Jesús Gallardo D
5 Franco Romero M
35 Érick Gutiérrez M
10 Jesús Ricardo Angulo M
8 Nicolás Castro M
9 Alexis Vega M
29 Jorge Díaz F

Substitutes

1 Hugo Gonzalez G
2 Diego Barbosa D
3 Antonio Briseño D
17 Brian García D
13 Luan D
4 Bruno Méndez D
24 Fernando Arce Juárez M
11 Helinho F
7 Víctor Guzmán M
191 Carlos Carrillo F

Assistant Sportiko

Fonctionnalités, le concours ou le football

Inscrivez-vous gratuitement pour discuter avec l'Assistant Sportiko — posez vos questions sur les prédictions, le concours, tout ce qui touche au football.

Inscription gratuite Vous avez déjà un compte ? Connectez-vous