Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Prédiction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Mornar

Home

1 : 2

HT 1 - 0

Match aller 1-2 · Cumulé 2-4

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Away

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

36%

28%

36%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes : Sportiko estime que Mornar a 36% de chances de s'imposer, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 36% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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L'équipe extérieure marque 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Match Report

Mornar took the lead in this UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round tie, scoring through a normal goal in the 20th minute to hold a 1–0 advantage at half-time. The first half was also marked by disciplinary issues, with yellow cards shown in the 25th and 41st minutes as the contest grew increasingly competitive.

The second half saw both sides make multiple substitutions as Atlètic Club d'Escaldes pushed for an equaliser, and the match became feistier still with three further yellow cards issued between the 50th and 64th minutes. The Andorran side's persistence ultimately paid off in dramatic fashion, with two penalty goals in the 90th and 93rd minutes completing a stunning late turnaround to seal a 2–1 victory.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Mornar win as the most likely outcome at 36%, a call that proved unsettled as the Montenegrin side were undone in stoppage time. Atlètic Club d'Escaldes advance to the next round on the back of one of the more remarkable late comebacks of the qualifying stage.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

20' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

25' ▮

▮ 41'

Yellow Card

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

▮ 50'

Yellow Card

63' ⇄

Yellow Card

64' ▮

▮ 64'

Yellow Card

⇄ 68'

72' ⇄

⇄ 79'

⚽ 1–1 90'

Penalty

⚽ 1–2 90+3'

Penalty

⇄ 90+5'

FT 1–2

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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Trop serré pour trancher

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Mornar

DLLWD

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

WWLDL

Last 1 meetings Mornar · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Mornar will face Atlético Club d'Escaldes. Mornar has shown solid form in recent domestic matches, with a strong defensive record, conceding less than a goal per game on average. Atlético Club d'Escaldes, meanwhile, is known for its aggressive attacking style, ranking highly in goals scored in their league. The match will likely hinge on Mornar's ability to withstand pressure and counter effectively, while Escaldes will seek to exploit any defensive lapses. Both teams will be keen to secure a crucial victory in this early stage of the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	7	6	3	1
1	7	13	8	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Mornar goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Away Win

36%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Away Win

36%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

50% Home (No Draw) 50% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 17% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 36% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	6.6%	5.8%	2.8%	1.0%
1	6.7%	13.3%	8.4%	4.0%	1.4%
2	5.9%	8.5%	6.1%	2.9%	1.0%
3	2.8%	4.1%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mornar	Draw	Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Mornar	21.8%	4.7%	2.3%
Draw	13.2%	16.8%	13.2%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	2.2%	4.6%	21.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

0 Mornar Wins

0 Draws

1 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Jul 2026	Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	2 - 1	Mornar

Mornar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Dečić	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Otrant-Olympic	L	0 - 1
08 Sep	A Sutjeska	L	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Bokelj	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A Petrovac	D	1 - 1

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Casa de Portugal	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Sporting Escaldes	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Inter Club d'Escaldes	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Penya Encarnada	D	1 - 1
30 Jul	H FC Vaduz	L	0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Marti Riverola

1 Fernandez

3 Blasco

5 Chinchu

15 Rodriguez

49 Gallego

10 Vieira

6 Emanoel

14 Ryahi

17 Boulayoune

7 Barragan

11 Climent

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Adriá Fernandez	G
49	Adrià Gallego	D
15	Sergio Rodriguez	D
5	Chinchu	D
3	Marcos Blasco	D
14	Hamza Ryahi	M
6	Emanoel	M
10	Gemelson Vieira	M
11	David Valero Climent	M
7	Juan Barragan	M
17	Sohaib Boulayoune	M

Substitutes

8	Jean Luc	M
9	Borja Morales Osuna	F
20	Jota	F
30	Pacho Cano	G
19	Diego Fernandes Antunes	G
23	Kevin Olah	M

Mornar

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Vesco Stesevic

24 Krijestarac

33 Stijepović

6 Martinović

15 Baošić

97 Vukčević

17 Dašić

4 Kaluđerović

18 Zorić

7 Denković

10 Skrijelj

11 Yao

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
24	Benjamin Krijestarac	G
97	Petar Vukčević	M
15	Jovan Baošić	D
6	Ilija Martinović	D
33	Nikola Stijepović	D
18	Darko Zorić	M
4	Andrija Kaluđerović	M
17	Jovan Dašić	M
11	Yann Michael Yao	M
10	Demir Skrijelj	M
7	Stefan Denković	M

Substitutes

21	Matija Rovčanin	M
23	Balša Dubljević	M
19	Nikola Vujnović	F
13	Vasilije Stojanović	G
14	Nikola Vuković	D
16	Filip Mitrović	D
32	Velimir Ljutica	D
8	Marko Đurišić	M
99	Vukas Dragović	M
30	Elmin Hjadarpasic	F