Linfield vs Kalju Nomme Prédiction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Linfield

Home

2 : 2

HT 1 - 1

Match aller 0-1 · Cumulé 2-3

Kalju Nomme

Away

Prédiction IA Kalju Nomme ou match nul

28%

29%

43%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Linfield vs Kalju Nomme : Sportiko estime que Linfield a 28% de chances de s'imposer, Kalju Nomme 43% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Plus de 1,5 buts 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Match Report

Linfield and Kalju Nomme played out a dramatic 2–2 draw in their UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round first leg, with the match turning on a red card and a missed penalty in a frantic opening half-hour. The opening exchanges were intense, with a goal arriving in the 11th minute followed immediately by a yellow card. A red card on 26 minutes reduced one side to ten men, and although a penalty was won shortly after, the spot kick was missed — only for a goal to follow from open play at the 27-minute mark, leaving the sides level at 1–1 at the break.

Both managers made changes at half-time, and the second half continued in lively fashion. A goal on 49 minutes shifted the advantage before further yellow cards and substitutions disrupted the flow. Kalju Nomme secured a late equaliser deep into stoppage time, netting in the 90th minute to ensure the tie is perfectly poised ahead of the second leg.

The result means Kalju Nomme take an away goal back to Estonia — a positive outcome for the visitors, and one our pre-match AI model anticipated, having rated a Kalju Nomme result as the most likely outcome at 43%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

11' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

12' ▮

Red Card

26' ▮

✗ 27'

Missed Penalty

⚽ 1–1 27'

HT 1–1

46' ⇄

49' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 62'

Yellow Card

⇄ 63'

Yellow Card

65' ▮

⇄ 73'

⚽ 2–2 90+2'

FT 2–2

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Kalju Nomme ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Linfield

WDWWW

Kalju Nomme

WWLLL

Last 1 meetings Linfield · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, Linfield faces Kalju Nomme. Linfield has shown strong form in the competition with a solid home record, averaging 2.1 goals per match in their last five fixtures. Kalju Nomme, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match in recent outings. Both teams will be looking to secure a valuable result, but Linfield's attacking prowess could give them the upper hand in this encounter. The match promises to be competitive with key players from both sides likely to influence the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kalju Nomme goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	5	2
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Linfield goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	9.2%	8.0%	4.0%	1.5%
1	6.7%	14.0%	9.1%	4.5%	1.7%
2	4.8%	7.0%	5.2%	2.6%	1.0%
3	1.8%	2.7%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Linfield	Draw	Kalju Nomme
Linfield	15.9%	4.4%	2.2%
Draw	10.9%	18.2%	15.7%
Kalju Nomme	1.7%	4.5%	26.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Linfield vs Kalju Nomme

0 Linfield Wins

0 Draws

1 Kalju Nomme Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Jul 2026	Kalju Nomme	1 - 0	Linfield

Linfield — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Crusaders FC	W	1 - 0
15 Sep	A Portadown	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Dungannon Swifts	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Carrick Rangers	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Limavady United	W	0 - 2

Kalju Nomme — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Tammeka	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Trans Narva	W	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Nõmme United	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A Flora Tallinn	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H FC Levadia Tallinn	L	2 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Kalju Nomme

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Nikita Andreev

1 Perk

22 Nikolajev

46 Vukušić

50 Podholjuzin

78 Mashchenko

59 Vastsuk

20 Tambedou

8 Musolitin

26 Siht

21 Baptista

17 Esono

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Henri Perk	G
78	Danyl Mashchenko	D
50	Maksim Podholjuzin	D
46	Roko Vukušić	D
22	Aleksandr Nikolajev	D
26	Rommi Siht	M
8	Oleksandr Musolitin	M
20	Modou Tambedou	D
59	Bogdan Vastsuk	M
17	Enrique Esono	M
21	Tiago Baptista	M

Substitutes

96	Joonas Kindel	G
5	Uku Korre	D
4	Alex Boronilštšikov	D
7	Daniil Tarassenkov	D
88	Daniil Sotsugov	D
10	Nikita Ivanov	M
9	Godwin Chinemeren	F
30	Ibrahim Jabir	F
11	Mihhail Orlov	F
52	Idalécio	F

Linfield

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: David Healy

1 Johns

33 Leahy

15 Hall

5 Shields

4 Nolan

27 McGee

8 McClean

10 Frizzell

16 Wells

29 Fitzpatrick

7 Millar

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Chris Johns	G
27	Ethan McGee	D
4	Ryan Nolan	D
5	Chris Shields	M
15	Ben Hall	D
33	Darragh Leahy	D
16	Dylan Wells	F
10	Adam Frizzell	M
8	Kyle McClean	M
7	Kirk Millar	M
29	Matthew Fitzpatrick	F

Substitutes

18	Aidan Glavin	G
24	Sean Brown	D
34	Dane McCullough	D
37	Ryan McKay	D
74	Donatas Jermakovas	D
70	Jon Graham	D
26	Isaac Baird	M
9	Kieran Offord	F
30	Kobei Moore	F
66	Charlie Chapman	F