Shkendija vs Europa Prédiction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Shkendija

Home

1 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Match aller 5-0 · Cumulé 6-0

Europa

Away

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

67%

24%

10%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Shkendija vs Europa : Sportiko estime que Shkendija a 67% de chances de s'imposer, Europa 10% et le match nul 24%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Plus de 1,5 buts 70%

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Match Report

Shkendija edged past Europa 1–0 in the first leg of their UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round tie, with a hard-fought victory secured in the closing stages. The first half produced a goalless stalemate, with neither side able to break the deadlock before the interval.

The second half saw both managers turn to their benches, with a flurry of substitutions from the 59th minute onwards reshaping the contest. A yellow card on 71 minutes added some tension, and Europa picked up further bookings at 82 and 90 minutes as frustration crept in. The decisive moment arrived in the 86th minute when Shkendija converted a normal goal to claim the lead, leaving insufficient time for Europa to respond.

The single-goal margin gives Shkendija a narrow but meaningful advantage heading into the second leg. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Shkendija win as the most likely outcome at 67%, a call that proved correct. Europa will need to overturn the deficit away from home to progress in the competition.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

⇄ 59'

Yellow Card

71' ▮

71' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Yellow Card

82' ▮

86' ⚽ 1–0

86' ⇄

89' ⇄

▮ 90'

Yellow Card

FT 1–0

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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Trop serré pour trancher

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.4%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Shkendija

WDLWW

Europa

LLWLL

Last 1 meetings Shkendija · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, Shkendija faces Europa. Shkendija has shown a strong defensive record in previous outings, maintaining a clean sheet in 40% of their last ten matches. Europa, on the other hand, tends to struggle against teams with a solid defensive setup, having failed to score in 30% of their recent games. The key for Shkendija will be to leverage their home form and exploit any defensive lapses from Europa, who may find it challenging to create clear chances. Expect a tightly contested match, potentially favoring the team that can capitalize on set pieces or defensive errors.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Europa goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	4	1
1	15	11	3	1
2	15	9	3
3	9	5	2
4	4	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Shkendija goals · most likely 1–0 (15.4%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

24%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

24%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	3.9%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
1	15.4%	10.7%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.4%	8.8%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
3	9.5%	5.4%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
4	4.4%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shkendija	Draw	Europa
Shkendija	43.5%	2.7%	0.5%
Draw	22.6%	16.3%	4.3%
Europa	2.0%	2.9%	5.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

57%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shkendija vs Europa

1 Shkendija Wins

0 Draws

0 Europa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Jul 2026	Europa	0 - 5	Shkendija

Shkendija — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Bashkimi Kumanovo	W	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Aresimi	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Tikveš	L	1 - 3
28 Aug	A Sileks	W	0 - 2
24 Aug	H Struga	W	2 - 1

Europa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Jul	A Shkendija	L	1 - 0
09 Jul	H Shkendija	L	0 - 5
22 Mar	H Lynx	W	2 - 1
20 Jul	H Dukagjini	L	2 - 3
13 Jul	A Dukagjini	L	2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Shkendija

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Festim Ademi

25 Amzai

23 Dimoski

5 Islami

15 Fetai

2 Trumci

10 Krasniqi

8 Freitas

17 Zejnullai

11 Kryeziu

9 Ndzengue

29 Tamba

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	Astrit Amzai	G
2	Aleksander Trumci	D
15	Imran Fetai	D
5	Drilon Islami	M
23	Bojan Dimoski	D
17	Arbin Zejnullai	M
8	Rafael Freitas	M
10	Endrit Krasniqi	M
29	Fabrice Tamba	F
9	Fahd Ndzengue	F
11	Almir Kryeziu	M

Substitutes

21	Armir Isa	M
7	Besart Ibraimi	F
19	Vane Krstevski	F
30	Ferat Ramani	G
16	Mevlan Murati	D
18	Nazif Ceka	D
20	Lirian Djeladini	D
77	Florent Ramadani	M

Europa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Michele di Piedi

1 López

26 Drammeh

16 Mouelhi

4 Admonio

18 Bauti

44 Fernández

19 Heredia

12 Landu

10 Quintana

73 Ruiz

99 Piedi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Christian López	G
18	Bauti	M
4	Admonio	D
16	Ayman Mouelhi	D
26	Mustafá Drammeh	D
19	Juanpe Heredia	F
44	Borja Fernández	M
73	Aldair Ruiz	F
10	Alberto Quintana	M
12	Chardi Landu	F
99	Francesco Di Piedi	F

Substitutes

15	Manuel Caballero	M
30	Pepe Carmona	F
9	Labra	F
11	Vittorio Vigolo	F
23	Camillo De Luca	G
20	Shay Jones	D
21	Pablo de Castro	D
22	Sam Yeo	D
29	Patrick Cabezutto	F